CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 1:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ODU 23.1%76.9% APP
Projected margin
APP by 11.1
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
ODU 7 to APP 31
Win probability
APP 76.9%
FinalODU 10 · APP 3model had +11.1, off by 18.1

Current team profiles

Old Dominion
App State

When Old Dominion has the ball

Passing

APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
ODU offense
#138
APP defense
#41
EPA comparison
-0.19
#138
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
ODU offense
#134
APP defense
#56
EPA comparison
-0.11
#134
0.02
#56
Rush EPA

Drive success

APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
ODU offense
#138
APP defense
#72
Success rates
31%
#138
40%
#72
Success rate
More metrics
-0.15
#137
0.02
#52
EPA / play
1.20
#90
1.06
#12
Explosiveness
25%
#138
19%
#28
Havoc

When App State has the ball

Passing

APP offense
Higher-ranked profile
ODU defense
#55
APP offense
#47
EPA comparison
0.10
#55
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

ODU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ODU defense
#14
APP offense
#107
EPA comparison
-0.12
#14
0.01
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

ODU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ODU defense
#22
APP offense
#83
Success rates
35%
#22
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#23
0.12
#84
EPA / play
1.20
#60
1.26
#52
Explosiveness
18%
#34
15%
#87
Havoc

Current key players

Old Dominion
QBQuinn Henicle
467 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
57.6324/729
LBJackson Forrest
30 tkl · 6.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.6
Coverage
88.5
Pressures
11
Pass-rush snaps
36
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
1
91.85/1796
LBKoa Naotala
31 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.0
Coverage
71.3
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
84.939/1796
SLucas Struck
35 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
80.8
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
13
Yards allowed
122
Passer rating allowed
98.4
Missed tackles
4
80.854/2969
SAsher Horn
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.1
Coverage
73.2
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
73.9239/2969
CBShaq Leaks
6 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.9
Coverage
69.3
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
47
Passer rating allowed
97.4
Missed tackles
1
73.1274/2969
App State
QBMalachi Singleton
1206 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
91.28/729
RBKanye Roberts
31 yds · 0 TD · 7.8 YPC
81.361/1044
LBCarson Sloan
15 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.5
Coverage
59.9
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
78.6107/1796
WRJackson Grier
5 rec · 48 yds · 1 TD
77.976/2069
WRSam Pickett III
20 rec · 326 yds · 3 TD
76.795/2069
DBDre Walker
8 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
39.2
Coverage
83.2
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
97
Passer rating allowed
34.6
Missed tackles
3
75.2187/2969
Position units

Position-unit comparison

ODU
APP
vs
Offense
57.6
#136 of 138
QB
91.2
#9 of 138
67.3
#133 of 138
RB
77.7
#49 of 138
60.7
#137 of 138
WR
76.6
#28 of 138
67.1
#80 of 138
TE
67.0
#83 of 138
59.7
#132 of 138
OL
62.7
#116 of 138
Defense
69.9
#108 of 138
DL
76.3
#41 of 138
85.2
#4 of 138
LB
74.1
#68 of 138
73.4
#51 of 138
DB
67.2
#124 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Old Dominion
opponent
App State
A-32.0
GAST#81
+0.8H
H-26.0
JMU#51
-12.9H
H-3.0
ECU#94
+3.0A
H+1.8
GASO#102
-2.6A
H+2.6
MRSH#124
-1.8A
A+2.1
CCU#127
+3.0A