CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Fri Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
APP 57.9%42.1% CCU
Projected margin
APP by 3.0
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
APP 22 to CCU 16
Win probability
APP 57.9%

Current team profiles

App State
Coastal Carolina

When App State has the ball

Passing

APP offense
Higher-ranked profile
APP offense
#47
CCU defense
#112
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.31
#112
Pass EPA

Rushing

CCU defense
Higher-ranked profile
APP offense
#107
CCU defense
#73
EPA comparison
0.01
#107
0.05
#73
Rush EPA

Drive success

APP offense
Higher-ranked profile
APP offense
#83
CCU defense
#114
Success rates
42%
#83
45%
#114
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#84
0.11
#89
EPA / play
1.26
#52
1.10
#23
Explosiveness
15%
#87
16%
#68
Havoc

When Coastal Carolina has the ball

Passing

APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
APP defense
#41
CCU offense
#78
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.19
#78
Pass EPA

Rushing

APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
APP defense
#56
CCU offense
#72
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
0.10
#72
Rush EPA

Drive success

APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
APP defense
#72
CCU offense
#111
Success rates
40%
#72
39%
#111
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#52
0.12
#82
EPA / play
1.06
#12
1.33
#24
Explosiveness
19%
#28
19%
#130
Havoc

Current key players

App State
QBMalachi Singleton
1206 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
91.28/729
RBKanye Roberts
31 yds · 0 TD · 7.8 YPC
81.361/1044
LBCarson Sloan
15 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.5
Coverage
59.9
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
78.6107/1796
WRJackson Grier
5 rec · 48 yds · 1 TD
77.976/2069
WRSam Pickett III
20 rec · 326 yds · 3 TD
76.795/2069
DBDre Walker
8 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
39.2
Coverage
83.2
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
97
Passer rating allowed
34.6
Missed tackles
3
75.2187/2969
Coastal Carolina
QBDeuce Bailey
1267 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
75.2112/729
SZeke Marshall
1 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
55.1
Coverage
60.0
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
0
91.45/2969
WRNathan Schuessler
1 rec · 6 yds · 0 TD
77.284/2069
DBJesse Powell II
19 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
84.0
Missed tackles
0
76.7140/2969
WRColton Hinton
10 rec · 220 yds · 4 TD
76.4102/2069
CBTravis Roman
19 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.3
Coverage
74.1
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
107
Passer rating allowed
50.8
Missed tackles
4
73.4258/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Colton Hinton · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hinton is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mountaineers on Friday, October 16th.

  • K. Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Johnson is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mountaineers on Friday, October 16th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

APP
CCU
vs
Offense
91.2
#9 of 138
QB
75.2
#82 of 138
77.7
#49 of 138
RB
71.1
#111 of 138
76.6
#28 of 138
WR
73.4
#46 of 138
67.0
#83 of 138
TE
60.3
#117 of 138
62.7
#116 of 138
OL
67.2
#76 of 138
Defense
76.3
#41 of 138
DL
71.9
#88 of 138
74.1
#68 of 138
LB
68.4
#120 of 138
67.2
#124 of 138
DB
75.8
#25 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

App State
opponent
Coastal Carolina
H-12.9
JMU#51
-23.9A
H+0.8
GAST#81
-10.1A
A-1.8
MRSH#124
+6.0A
H-7.0
ODU#130
-2.1H
A-2.6
GASO#102
-7.0H