CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Thu Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
JMU 79.9%20.1% APP
Projected margin
JMU by 12.9
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
JMU 32 to APP 6
Win probability
JMU 79.9%

Current team profiles

James Madison
App State

When James Madison has the ball

Passing

JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
JMU offense
#22
APP defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.42
#22
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
JMU offense
#28
APP defense
#56
EPA comparison
0.21
#28
0.02
#56
Rush EPA

Drive success

JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
JMU offense
#37
APP defense
#72
Success rates
48%
#37
40%
#72
Success rate
More metrics
0.29
#20
0.02
#52
EPA / play
1.24
#65
1.06
#12
Explosiveness
10%
#13
19%
#28
Havoc

When App State has the ball

Passing

JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
JMU defense
#41
APP offense
#47
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
JMU defense
#22
APP offense
#107
EPA comparison
-0.09
#22
0.01
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
JMU defense
#22
APP offense
#83
Success rates
35%
#22
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#22
0.12
#84
EPA / play
1.29
#100
1.26
#52
Explosiveness
17%
#59
15%
#87
Havoc

Current key players

James Madison
QBArrington Maiden
111 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.763/729
SJayon Harvey
34 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.1
Coverage
79.6
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
98.7
Missed tackles
4
81.247/2969
LBJT Hooten
27 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.6
Coverage
69.4
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
39
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
81.069/1796
WRArrion Concepcion
1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
79.065/2069
SD'Kwan Thomas
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.1
Coverage
68.0
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
83.3
Missed tackles
0
75.3184/2969
CBKen Willis
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
65.1
Coverage
67.8
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
119
Passer rating allowed
65.4
Missed tackles
5
74.9195/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Za'Ron Collins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Panthers on Saturday, October 17th.

App State
QBMalachi Singleton
1206 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
91.28/729
RBKanye Roberts
31 yds · 0 TD · 7.8 YPC
81.361/1044
LBCarson Sloan
15 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.5
Coverage
59.9
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
78.6107/1796
WRJackson Grier
5 rec · 48 yds · 1 TD
77.976/2069
WRSam Pickett III
20 rec · 326 yds · 3 TD
76.795/2069
DBDre Walker
8 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
39.2
Coverage
83.2
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
97
Passer rating allowed
34.6
Missed tackles
3
75.2187/2969
Position units

Position-unit comparison

JMU
APP
vs
Offense
81.7
#54 of 138
QB
91.2
#9 of 138
71.7
#107 of 138
RB
77.7
#49 of 138
74.5
#36 of 138
WR
76.6
#28 of 138
73.1
#45 of 138
TE
67.0
#83 of 138
71.7
#39 of 138
OL
62.7
#116 of 138
Defense
76.6
#39 of 138
DL
76.3
#41 of 138
75.0
#59 of 138
LB
74.1
#68 of 138
74.0
#45 of 138
DB
67.2
#124 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

James Madison
opponent
App State
A+26.0
ODU#130
-7.0H
H+28.0
MRSH#124
-1.8A
H+23.9
CCU#127
+3.0A
H+16.5
GAST#81
+0.8H
A+3.0
GASO#102
-2.6A