CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
ULM 13.9%86.1% APP
Projected margin
APP by 16.8
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
ULM 2 to APP 35
Win probability
APP 86.1%

Current team profiles

UL Monroe
App State

When UL Monroe has the ball

Passing

APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
ULM offense
#111
APP defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.08
#111
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
ULM offense
#100
APP defense
#56
EPA comparison
0.03
#100
0.02
#56
Rush EPA

Drive success

APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
ULM offense
#88
APP defense
#72
Success rates
42%
#88
40%
#72
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#121
0.02
#52
EPA / play
1.16
#102
1.06
#12
Explosiveness
17%
#120
19%
#28
Havoc

When App State has the ball

Passing

APP offense
Higher-ranked profile
ULM defense
#132
APP offense
#47
EPA comparison
0.45
#132
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

APP offense
Higher-ranked profile
ULM defense
#136
APP offense
#107
EPA comparison
0.27
#136
0.01
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

APP offense
Higher-ranked profile
ULM defense
#136
APP offense
#83
Success rates
51%
#136
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#137
0.12
#84
EPA / play
1.24
#84
1.26
#52
Explosiveness
11%
#133
15%
#87
Havoc

Current key players

UL Monroe
QBAustin Carlisle
312 yds · 3 TD · 3 INT
70.1152/729
LBBilly Pullen
8 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.8
Coverage
78.7
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
55
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
74.3206/1796
RBZach Palmer-Smith
68 yds · 1 TD · 4.9 YPC
73.9197/1044
SLarell Howling
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.0
Coverage
67.7
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
72.5308/2969
LBMarcus Ross
27 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.8
Coverage
70.5
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
35
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
71.6304/1796
WRJaiden Tucker
1 rec · 52 yds · 0 TD
70.7237/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Jaydon Wright · RBout · 2026-10-03

    Wright is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he is unlikely to be available against South Alabama on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Derrick Jameson · RBQues. · 2026-10-01

    Jameson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against the South Alabama on Saturday.

App State
QBMalachi Singleton
1206 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
91.28/729
RBKanye Roberts
31 yds · 0 TD · 7.8 YPC
81.361/1044
LBCarson Sloan
15 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.5
Coverage
59.9
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
78.6107/1796
WRJackson Grier
5 rec · 48 yds · 1 TD
77.976/2069
WRSam Pickett III
20 rec · 326 yds · 3 TD
76.795/2069
DBDre Walker
8 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
39.2
Coverage
83.2
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
97
Passer rating allowed
34.6
Missed tackles
3
75.2187/2969
Position units

Position-unit comparison

ULM
APP
vs
Offense
70.1
#99 of 138
QB
91.2
#9 of 138
73.6
#91 of 138
RB
77.7
#49 of 138
69.2
#92 of 138
WR
76.6
#28 of 138
60.2
#118 of 138
TE
67.0
#83 of 138
64.2
#103 of 138
OL
62.7
#116 of 138
Defense
70.7
#96 of 138
DL
76.3
#41 of 138
71.7
#91 of 138
LB
74.1
#68 of 138
63.4
#137 of 138
DB
67.2
#124 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

UL Monroe
opponent
App State
A-17.0
USA#96
-5.1A
H-10.7
MRSH#124
-1.8A