CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
APP 43.1%56.9% GASO
Projected margin
GASO by 2.6
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
APP 16 to GASO 21
Win probability
GASO 56.9%

Current team profiles

App State
Georgia Southern

When App State has the ball

Passing

APP offense
Higher-ranked profile
APP offense
#47
GASO defense
#102
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.26
#102
Pass EPA

Rushing

GASO defense
Higher-ranked profile
APP offense
#107
GASO defense
#52
EPA comparison
0.01
#107
0.01
#52
Rush EPA

Drive success

GASO defense
Higher-ranked profile
APP offense
#83
GASO defense
#52
Success rates
42%
#83
39%
#52
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#84
0.09
#81
EPA / play
1.26
#52
1.15
#32
Explosiveness
15%
#87
17%
#52
Havoc

When Georgia Southern has the ball

Passing

APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
APP defense
#41
GASO offense
#47
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
APP defense
#56
GASO offense
#107
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
0.01
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
APP defense
#72
GASO offense
#75
Success rates
40%
#72
43%
#75
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#52
0.14
#75
EPA / play
1.06
#12
1.22
#81
Explosiveness
19%
#28
17%
#105
Havoc

Current key players

App State
QBMalachi Singleton
1206 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
91.28/729
RBKanye Roberts
31 yds · 0 TD · 7.8 YPC
81.361/1044
LBCarson Sloan
15 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.5
Coverage
59.9
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
78.6107/1796
WRJackson Grier
5 rec · 48 yds · 1 TD
77.976/2069
WRSam Pickett III
20 rec · 326 yds · 3 TD
76.795/2069
DBDre Walker
8 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
39.2
Coverage
83.2
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
97
Passer rating allowed
34.6
Missed tackles
3
75.2187/2969
Georgia Southern
QBWeston Bryan
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
78.782/729
LBMJ Stroud
11 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.4
Coverage
65.9
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
92
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
79.787/1796
DBJakyri Jones
29 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.6
Coverage
69.6
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
49
Passer rating allowed
69.1
Missed tackles
4
76.5145/2969
RBTaeo Todd
48 yds · 0 TD · 2.7 YPC
74.1192/1044
DBChace Calicut
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
88.7
Coverage
64.8
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
65
Passer rating allowed
62.5
Missed tackles
1
73.2268/2969
WRCam King
1 rec · 18 yds · 0 TD
72.9172/2069
Availability reports · 1
  • Ashton Hollins · WRout · 2026-10-01

    Hollins is liad up with a shoulder injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

APP
GASO
vs
Offense
91.2
#9 of 138
QB
78.7
#63 of 138
77.7
#49 of 138
RB
73.2
#95 of 138
76.6
#28 of 138
WR
71.3
#70 of 138
67.0
#83 of 138
TE
66.0
#85 of 138
62.7
#116 of 138
OL
67.9
#68 of 138
Defense
76.3
#41 of 138
DL
67.9
#123 of 138
74.1
#68 of 138
LB
73.5
#75 of 138
67.2
#124 of 138
DB
71.7
#73 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

App State
opponent
Georgia Southern
H-12.9
JMU#51
-3.0H
H+0.8
GAST#81
-4.5A
A-1.8
MRSH#124
+3.5H
H-7.0
ODU#130
-1.8A
A+3.0
CCU#127
+7.0A