CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ME 6.6%93.4% APP
Projected margin
APP by 24.1
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
APP 4 to APP 45
Win probability
APP 93.4%
FinalME 3 · APP 55model had +24.1, off by 27.9

Current team profiles

Maine
App State

When Maine has the ball

Passing

No comparison
ME offense
—
APP defense
#41
EPA comparison
—
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
ME offense
—
APP defense
#56
EPA comparison
—
0.02
#56
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
ME offense
#124
APP defense
#72
Success rates
37%
#124
40%
#72
Success rate
More metrics
-0.07
#122
0.02
#52
EPA / play
0.18
#112
1.06
#12
Explosiveness
—
19%
#28
Havoc

When App State has the ball

Passing

No comparison
ME defense
—
APP offense
#47
EPA comparison
—
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
ME defense
—
APP offense
#107
EPA comparison
—
0.01
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
ME defense
#60
APP offense
#83
Success rates
43%
#60
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#40
0.12
#84
EPA / play
0.18
#8
1.26
#52
Explosiveness
—
15%
#87
Havoc

Current key players

Maine
DBJamaree Gibson
24 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
85.3
Coverage
80.8
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
56
Passer rating allowed
53.6
Missed tackles
0
83.222/1765
DLKye Pressley
18 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.2
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
85
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
1
75.7108/1549
KTim Crockett
0 punts · 0.0 avg
74.840/416
DLDerek Berlitz
30 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.9
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
113
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.2142/1549
KSamuel Tremblay
8/8 FG · 0%
72.463/416
DBJeremiah McGill
44 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.7
Coverage
69.9
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
142
Passer rating allowed
103.3
Missed tackles
5
72.0274/1765
App State
QBMalachi Singleton
1206 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
91.28/729
RBKanye Roberts
31 yds · 0 TD · 7.8 YPC
81.361/1044
LBCarson Sloan
15 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.5
Coverage
59.9
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
78.6107/1796
WRJackson Grier
5 rec · 48 yds · 1 TD
77.976/2069
WRSam Pickett III
20 rec · 326 yds · 3 TD
76.795/2069
DBDre Walker
8 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
39.2
Coverage
83.2
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
97
Passer rating allowed
34.6
Missed tackles
3
75.2187/2969
Position units

Position-unit comparison

ME
APP
vs
Offense
64.3
#94 of 125
QB
91.2
#9 of 138
68.2
#88 of 126
RB
77.7
#49 of 138
60.7
#125 of 126
WR
76.6
#28 of 138
63.2
#71 of 124
TE
67.0
#83 of 138
66.4
#45 of 125
OL
62.7
#116 of 138
Defense
72.1
#45 of 126
DL
76.3
#41 of 138
60.1
#123 of 126
LB
74.1
#68 of 138
70.9
#70 of 126
DB
67.2
#124 of 138
Common opponents