Passing
ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- APP offense
- #47
- ECU defense
- #7
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
APP 50.4%49.6% ECU
- Projected margin
- APP by 0.8
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- APP 21 to ECU 18
- Win probability
- APP 50.4%
FinalAPP 27 · ECU 24model had -0.8, off by 2.2
Current team profiles
App StateEast CarolinaWhen App State has the ball
Rushing
ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- APP offense
- #107
- ECU defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.01
#107
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA
Drive success
ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- APP offense
- #83
- ECU defense
- #11
Success rates
42%
#83
34%
#11
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#84
-0.07
#15
EPA / play
1.26
#52
1.24
#82
Explosiveness
15%
#87
21%
#12
Havoc
When East Carolina has the ball
Passing
APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
- APP defense
- #41
- ECU offense
- #92
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.13
#92
Pass EPA
Rushing
APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
- APP defense
- #56
- ECU offense
- #116
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA
Drive success
APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
- APP defense
- #72
- ECU offense
- #119
Success rates
40%
#72
38%
#119
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#52
0.04
#110
EPA / play
1.06
#12
1.22
#75
Explosiveness
19%
#28
19%
#128
Havoc
Current key players
App StateQBMalachi Singleton
1206 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
91.28/729
RBKanye Roberts
31 yds · 0 TD · 7.8 YPC
81.361/1044
LBCarson Sloan
15 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 88.5
- Coverage
- 59.9
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 9
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.6107/1796
WRJackson Grier
5 rec · 48 yds · 1 TD
77.976/2069
WRSam Pickett III
20 rec · 326 yds · 3 TD
76.795/2069
DBDre Walker
8 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 39.2
- Coverage
- 83.2
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 97
- Passer rating allowed
- 34.6
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.2187/2969
East CarolinaQBMitch Griffis
425 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
56.8332/729
DBMyles Pollard
9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 88.3
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 41
- Passer rating allowed
- 69.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
83.733/2969
RBAshton Gray
152 yds · 0 TD · 4.8 YPC
83.646/1044
LBDJ Johnson Jr.
29 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.0
- Coverage
- 75.6
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 20
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.873/1796
LBLJ Porter
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.8
- Coverage
- 64.7
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.1139/1796
DBAyden Duncanson
6 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 40.2
- Coverage
- 89.2
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 110
- Passer rating allowed
- 69.0
- Missed tackles
- 3
77.0123/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Jeremiah Melvin · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Melvin is dealing with a back injury, and it is unknown if he will face UAB on Friday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
APPApp State
ECUEast Carolina
vs
Offense
91.2
#9 of 138
QB
Quarterback
56.8
#137 of 138
77.7
#49 of 138
RB
Running backs
78.5
#44 of 138
76.6
#28 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.5
#52 of 138
67.0
#83 of 138
TE
Tight ends
62.0
#106 of 138
62.7
#116 of 138
OL
Offensive line
61.1
#127 of 138
Defense
76.3
#41 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.0
#36 of 138
74.1
#68 of 138
LB
Linebackers
77.7
#39 of 138
67.2
#124 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.0
#33 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
App State
opponent
East Carolina
Hhome-7.0
ODUOld Dominion#130+3.0Aaway
Hhome+5.0
CLTCharlotte#184+13.8Aaway