AVRCFB Model
All rankings
ACC

NC State

Wolfpack0-17th in ACC
Carter-Finley Stadium · Raleigh, NC · 58,000
Rank —
34
Rating
60.6
TeamSolid roster · better than the record
OffenseQuarterback-drivenweak point: offensive line, 90th
DefenseUnprovenweak point: defensive line, 132nd

The season

1 games played
Worst loss
L 8-34 @ #49 Virginia
Wk 1 · Aug 29 · model had 19%

Rank by week

Not enough weekly data

Schedule

model 1/1 straight up
WkOpponentWin probResultModelGame page
1
at#49Virginia
19%
L 8-34
-11.7✓
›
2
vsRichmond
99%
Sep 11
+33.7
›
3
at#23Vanderbilt
26%
Sep 19
-8.6
›
4
vs#103App State
92%
Sep 26
+18.6
›
5
vs#28Louisville
52%
Oct 3
+0.8
›
6
vs#46Wake Forest
68%
Oct 10
+6.5
›
8
at#96Stanford
84%
Oct 24
+13.2
›
9
vs#68California
80%
Oct 31
+11.5
›
10
vs#39Duke
63%
Nov 7
+4.6
›
11
vs#71Syracuse
81%
Nov 14
+12.0
›
12
at#30Florida State
31%
Nov 21
-6.8
›
13
at#61North CarolinaCarolina Rivalry
59%
Nov 28
+3.2
›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#2874
Talent
#5769
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB15th
RB49th
WR38th
TE47th
OL90th
DL132nd
LB64th
DB98th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named9 ratedavg 55.21 top-252025 ratings
X73.0
T. Hoffmann
WR · SO39th
LT42.5
R. Vann
OL · SR170th
LG33.1
K. Evans
OL · SR208th
C23.7
Y. Mugharbil
OL · SR254th
RG—
D. Cruz
OL · JR
RT—
J. McCrimon
OL · SR
TE59.2
P. Douglas
TE · SO61st
SL54.1
J. Trader
WR · JR191st
Z55.2
K. Jackson
WR · JR172nd
QB83.1
C. Bailey
QB · JR15th
RB72.5
J. Scott
RB · JR44th

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
CJ BaileyJR
83.1
15th QB
RB
Jayden ScottJR
72.5
44th RB
WR
Teddy HoffmannSO
73.0
39th WR
WR
Keenan JacksonJR
55.2
172nd WR
TE
Preston DouglasSO
59.2
61st TE
Defense
LB
Harvey Dyson IIISR
70.6
134th LB
LB
Popo AguirreSR
66.2
197th LB
S
King MackSR
75.8
143rd DB
CB
Asaad Brown Jr.JR
60.2
476th DB
CB
Brian Nelson IISR
56.8
566th DB

Injury report

7 out
out
Carmelo McKenzieDL
08-27
out
Gus RitcheyTE
08-27
out
Isaiah Crowell
08-27
out
JJ Ferguson Jr.DL
08-27
out
Rylan VannOL
08-27
out
Teddy HoffmannWR
08-27
out
Tyreek CopperWR
08-27
questionable
J. PaylorRB
08-29
probable
KaTron EvansDL
08-27

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

0%–7% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W5
vs#28Louisville
1% lose5% win
±1.7
likely move
in odds
52% to win
W13
at#61North Carolina
1% lose4% win
±1.3
likely move
in odds
58% to win
W1
at#49Virginia
2% lose7% win
±1.3
likely move
in odds
21% to win
W12
at#30Florida State
1% lose6% win
±1.3
likely move
in odds
32% to win
W10
vs#39Duke
1% lose4% win
±1.3
likely move
in odds
63% to win
W6
vs#46Wake Forest
1% lose4% win
±1.2
likely move
in odds
67% to win
W9
vs#68California
0% lose3% win
±0.8
likely move
in odds
78% to win
W11
vs#71Syracuse
1% lose3% win
±0.7
likely move
in odds
79% to win