CFB
Model
All rankings
ACC

Wake Forest

Demon Deacons5-12nd in ACC
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium · Winston-Salem, NC · 31,500
TeamCarried by the offense
OffenseEfficient and explosive · elite
DefenseBend-don't-break · average · stout against the runweak point: getting off the field, 105th

The season

Best win
W 30-27 @ #27 Louisville
Wk 4 · Sep 26 · won as a 18% underdog
Worst loss
L 20-33 vs #4 Miami
Wk 3 · Sep 18 · model had 11%

Schedule

model 5/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 3
    vsAkron
    W 38–16
    Win chance 89%Model margin +16.7Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    atPurdue
    W 38–36
    Win chance 69%Model margin +6.8Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 18
    vsMiami
    L 20–33
    Win chance 11%Model margin -16.4Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atLouisville
    W 30–27
    Win chance 18%Model margin -12.6Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    vsStanford
    W 57–3
    Win chance 87%Model margin +15.1Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    atNC State
    W 38–14
    Win chance 54%Model margin +1.2Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atCalifornia
    Win chance 80%Model margin +11.4Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsVirginia
    Win chance 68%Model margin +6.2Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsMerrimack
    Win chance >99%Model margin +53.4Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atSMU
    Win chance 31%Model margin -6.5Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atGeorgia Tech
    Win chance 67%Model margin +6.0Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsDuke
    Win chance 54%Model margin +1.4Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
81
#13 of 138
Defense efficiency
33
#101 of 138
Efficiency
#120.32
EPA / play
#780.08
#150.45
Pass
#750.16
#300.20
Rush
#41-0.01
#3448%
Success
#10544%
Big plays & havoc
#371.28
Explosive
#101.06
#1811%
Havoc
#9614%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB33rd
RB96th
WR6th
TE78th
OL67th
DL65th
LB82nd
DB16th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Gio LopezJR
1377 yds · 10 TD · 1 INT
86.0
35th QB
RB
Deuce LawrenceFR
235 yds · 2 TD · 5.0 YPC
79.8
86th RB
WR
Devin GoldstonFR
1 rec · 51 yds · 0 TD
87.3
18th WR
WR
Carlos HernandezSR
37 rec · 603 yds · 3 TD
83.3
33rd WR
TE
Matthew LusardiSR
— rec · — yds · — TD
67.3
128th TE
Defense
LB
Vincent FirenzeJR
38 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
84.7
42nd LB
LB
Deuce DyceFR
7 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
67.8
463rd LB
DB
Somad EaddyFR
12 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
85.8
21st DB
DB
Joshua PattersonFR
1 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
76.9
129th DB
DB
Myles TurpinSO
15 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
75.4
180th DB

Injury report

1 listed
Ques.
Ny CarrWR

Carr is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the California on Saturday, September 17th.

79.1202510-10

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atCalifornia
    Playoff chance if win
    5.8%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.2%
  2. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsVirginia
    Playoff chance if win
    6.7%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.1%
  3. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atSMU
    Playoff chance if win
    11.4%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.3%
  4. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atGeorgia Tech
    Playoff chance if win
    6.5%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.5%
  5. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsDuke
    Playoff chance if win
    7.7%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.2%

Past seasons

Year by year
-6.9 points since 2022
405060708069.2202258.1202358.7202462.32025
2022 69.22023 58.12024 58.72025 62.3

2025

8-4
D-I rank
#62
Rating
62.3
Listed games · 12
WWLLWWWLWWWL
322 pts scored258 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Kennesaw StateW 10–9
  2. W2 vs Western CarolinaW 42–10
  3. W3 vs NC StateL 24–34
  4. W5 vs Georgia TechL 29–30
  5. W6 at Virginia TechW 30–23
  6. W7 at Oregon StateW 39–14
  7. W9 vs SMUW 13–12
  8. W10 at Florida StateL 7–42
  9. W11 at VirginiaW 16–9
  10. W12 vs North CarolinaW 28–12
  11. W13 vs DelawareW 52–14
  12. W14 at DukeL 32–49

2024

4-8
D-I rank
#74
Rating
58.7
Listed games · 12
WLLLWLWWLLLL
308 pts scored390 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs North Carolina A&TW 45–13
  2. W2 vs VirginiaL 30–31
  3. W3 vs Ole MissL 6–40
  4. W5 vs LouisianaL 38–41
  5. W6 at NC StateW 34–30
  6. W7 vs ClemsonL 14–49
  7. W8 at UConnW 23–20
  8. W9 at StanfordW 27–24
  9. W11 vs CaliforniaL 36–46
  10. W12 at North CarolinaL 24–31
  11. W13 at MiamiL 14–42
  12. W14 vs DukeL 17–23

2023

4-8
D-I rank
#73
Rating
58.1
Listed games · 12
WWWLLLWLLLLL
243 pts scored326 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs ElonW 37–17
  2. W2 vs VanderbiltW 36–20
  3. W3 at Old DominionW 27–24
  4. W4 vs Georgia TechL 16–30
  5. W6 at ClemsonL 12–17
  6. W7 at Virginia TechL 13–30
  7. W8 vs PittsburghW 21–17
  8. W9 vs Florida StateL 16–41
  9. W10 at DukeL 21–24
  10. W11 vs NC StateL 6–26
  11. W12 at Notre DameL 7–45
  12. W13 at SyracuseL 31–35

2022

7-5
D-I rank
#28
Rating
69.2
Listed games · 12
WWWLWWWLLLWL
442 pts scored351 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs VMIW 44–10
  2. W2 at VanderbiltW 45–25
  3. W3 vs LibertyW 37–36
  4. W4 vs ClemsonL 45–51
  5. W5 at Florida StateW 31–21
  6. W6 vs ArmyW 45–10
  7. W8 vs Boston CollegeW 43–15
  8. W9 at LouisvilleL 21–48
  9. W10 at NC StateL 21–30
  10. W11 vs North CarolinaL 34–36
  11. W12 vs SyracuseW 45–35
  12. W13 at DukeL 31–34