CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WAKE 69.8%30.2% PUR
Projected margin
WAKE by 6.8
Projected total
51
80% outcome range
WAKE 27 to PUR 14
Win probability
WAKE 69.8%
FinalWAKE 38 · PUR 36model had -6.8, off by 4.8

Current team profiles

Wake Forest
Purdue

When Wake Forest has the ball

Passing

WAKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
WAKE offense
#15
PUR defense
#119
EPA comparison
0.45
#15
0.34
#119
Pass EPA

Rushing

WAKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
WAKE offense
#30
PUR defense
#125
EPA comparison
0.20
#30
0.20
#125
Rush EPA

Drive success

WAKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
WAKE offense
#34
PUR defense
#120
Success rates
48%
#34
46%
#120
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#12
0.25
#132
EPA / play
1.28
#37
1.40
#127
Explosiveness
11%
#18
14%
#105
Havoc

When Purdue has the ball

Passing

PUR offense
Higher-ranked profile
WAKE defense
#75
PUR offense
#24
EPA comparison
0.16
#75
0.40
#24
Pass EPA

Rushing

WAKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
WAKE defense
#41
PUR offense
#63
EPA comparison
-0.01
#41
0.12
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

PUR offense
Higher-ranked profile
WAKE defense
#105
PUR offense
#44
Success rates
44%
#105
46%
#44
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#78
0.25
#29
EPA / play
1.06
#10
1.21
#83
Explosiveness
14%
#96
12%
#30
Havoc

Current key players

Wake Forest
QBGio Lopez
1377 yds · 10 TD · 1 INT
86.035/729
WRDevin Goldston
1 rec · 51 yds · 0 TD
87.318/2069
DBSomad Eaddy
12 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
81.1
Coverage
84.5
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
57
Passer rating allowed
51.2
Missed tackles
0
85.821/2969
LBVincent Firenze
38 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.7
Coverage
70.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
16
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
1
84.742/1796
WRCarlos Hernandez
37 rec · 603 yds · 3 TD
83.333/2069
RBDeuce Lawrence
235 yds · 2 TD · 5.0 YPC
79.886/1044
Availability reports · 1
  • Ny Carr · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Carr is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the California on Saturday, September 17th.

Purdue
QBRyan Browne
1390 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
77.595/729
WRAsaad Waseem
27 rec · 453 yds · 1 TD
83.630/2069
DBMister Clark
5 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.8
Coverage
76.7
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
59
Passer rating allowed
95.8
Missed tackles
1
79.965/2969
RBFame Ijeboi
354 yds · 6 TD · 4.1 YPC
79.590/1044
WRXavier Townsend
28 rec · 307 yds · 2 TD
74.0146/2069
LBHudson Miller
7 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
64.4
Coverage
70.6
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
70.1362/1796
Availability reports · 1
  • Kylan Fox · TEout · 2026-08-13

    Fox is laid up with a knee injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WAKE
PUR
vs
Offense
86.0
#33 of 138
QB
77.5
#72 of 138
73.0
#96 of 138
RB
75.2
#72 of 138
81.1
#6 of 138
WR
77.0
#26 of 138
67.3
#78 of 138
TE
69.3
#69 of 138
68.1
#67 of 138
OL
61.7
#121 of 138
Defense
73.4
#65 of 138
DL
72.2
#83 of 138
72.6
#82 of 138
LB
65.6
#132 of 138
77.0
#16 of 138
DB
66.1
#133 of 138
Common opponents