AVRCFB Model
All rankings
ACC

SMU

Mustangs0-02nd in ACC
Gerald J. Ford Stadium · University Park, TX · 32,000
Rank —
18
Rating
69.4
TeamDefense-leaning roster
OffenseLoaded at the skill spots
DefenseStrong front seven, experienced secondary

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
at#30Florida State
57%
Sep 728-26p›
2
vsUC Davis
100%
Sep 1249-8p›
3
at#28Louisville
60%
Sep 1930-27p›
4
vs#125Missouri State
99%
Sep 2645-11p›
5
vs#79Boston College
93%
Oct 339-19p›
7
vs#49Virginia
85%
Oct 1737-22p›
8
vs#68California
92%
Oct 2437-18p›
9
at#71Syracuse
86%
Oct 3136-21p›
10
vs#57Virginia Tech
88%
Nov 736-20p›
11
vs#46Wake Forest
85%
Nov 1435-21p›
12
at#4Notre Dame
18%
Nov 2223-35p›
13
at#96Stanford
94%
Nov 2838-17p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#5270
Talent
#981
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB17th
RB43rd
WR26th
TE11th
OL43rd
DL25th
LB17th
DB16th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named8 ratedavg 67.52 top-252025 ratings
X67.8
Y. Smith
WR · JR66th
LT64.4
A. Nichols
OL · SR89th
LG51.2
A. Chamblee
OL · SR136th
C—
A. Woods
OL · JR
RG—
J. Bates
OL · JR
RT—
P. Williams
OL · SR
TE70.6
R. Pittman
TE · SR11th
SL62.5
J. Cooper
WR · SO98th
Z64.5
Y. Knight
WR · SR88th
QB82.1
K. Jennings
QB · SR17th
RB77.0
K. Raphael
RB · SR32nd

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Kevin JenningsSR
82.1
17th QB
RB
Kendrick RaphaelSR
77.0
32nd RB
WR
Yannick SmithJR
67.8
66th WR
WR
Yamir KnightSR
64.5
88th WR
TE
Randy PittmanSR
70.6
11th TE
Defense
LB
Brandon MiyazonoSR
79.3
63rd LB
LB
Alexander KilgoreSR
75.8
98th LB
CB
Marcellus Barnes Jr.JR
80.1
90th DB
CB
Jaelyn Davis-RobinsonSR
78.8
103rd DB
S
Jimmy WyrickSR
77.0
124th DB

Injury report

3 out
out
Braylon WilliamsLB
08-20
out
Abel HoopiiOL
08-26
out
L. RhodesRB
08-26
questionable
Miller Moss
08-07
questionable
M. UterTE
08-11
questionable
SMU QBQB
08-11
questionable
C. RhodesRB
08-19
questionable
OLOL
08-19
questionable
K. JenningsQB
08-21
probable
Jalen HaleWR
08-24

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

13%–48% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W3
at#28Louisville
19% lose46% win
±8.4
likely move
in odds
60% to win
W1
at#30Florida State
21% lose46% win
±7.5
likely move
in odds
57% to win
W7
vs#49Virginia
14% lose39% win
±4.5
likely move
in odds
83% to win
W9
at#71Syracuse
16% lose39% win
±3.7
likely move
in odds
84% to win
W11
vs#46Wake Forest
16% lose39% win
±3.6
likely move
in odds
83% to win
W10
vs#57Virginia Tech
15% lose38% win
±3.2
likely move
in odds
86% to win
W8
vs#68California
13% lose37% win
±2.6
likely move
in odds
90% to win
W5
vs#79Boston College
13% lose37% win
±2.5
likely move
in odds
91% to win