CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 7:30 PM ET
#39Away
SMU
4-1 · AVR 66.1
21p
#1Home
Notre Dame
6-0 · AVR 83.2
35p
Forecast win probability
SMU 18.5%81.5% ND
Projected margin
ND by 13.9
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
SMU 5 to ND 32
Win probability
ND 81.5%

Current team profiles

SMU
Notre Dame

When SMU has the ball

Passing

SMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
SMU offense
#10
ND defense
#34
EPA comparison
0.51
#10
0.05
#34
Pass EPA

Rushing

ND defense
Higher-ranked profile
SMU offense
#116
ND defense
#2
EPA comparison
-0.02
#116
-0.23
#2
Rush EPA

Drive success

ND defense
Higher-ranked profile
SMU offense
#26
ND defense
#9
Success rates
49%
#26
33%
#9
Success rate
More metrics
0.22
#41
-0.09
#11
EPA / play
1.27
#44
1.20
#65
Explosiveness
14%
#52
23%
#3
Havoc

When Notre Dame has the ball

Passing

ND offense
Higher-ranked profile
SMU defense
#34
ND offense
#8
EPA comparison
0.05
#34
0.54
#8
Pass EPA

Rushing

ND offense
Higher-ranked profile
SMU defense
#81
ND offense
#19
EPA comparison
0.06
#81
0.24
#19
Rush EPA

Drive success

ND offense
Higher-ranked profile
SMU defense
#37
ND offense
#3
Success rates
37%
#37
53%
#3
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#58
0.36
#4
EPA / play
1.38
#124
1.15
#107
Explosiveness
22%
#5
10%
#9
Havoc

Current key players

SMU
QBTy Hawkins
104 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
90.124/729
SJarvis Lee
22 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
90.9
Coverage
82.3
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
139
Passer rating allowed
75.7
Missed tackles
2
87.318/2969
SJaylen Moses
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
50.1
Coverage
90.0
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-2
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
1
86.520/2969
TEZack Turner
3 rec · 53 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
68.5
Run blocking
55.8
Penalties
0
78.631/1017
LBAlexander Kilgore
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.8
Coverage
69.8
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
16
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
78.3113/1796
LBJamal Anderson
12 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
72.4
Coverage
72.1
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
14
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
76.6148/1796
Availability reports · 8
  • Ira Singleton · DLout · 2026-09-29

    Singleton is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Link Rhodes · RBout · 2026-08-26

    Rhodes has been out of the lineup with a tore ACL injury, and he will be out of commission for the remainder of the season.

  • Yamir Knight · WRQues. · 2026-09-29

    Knight is dealing with un undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play Saturday against the Boston College.

  • Yannick Smith · WRQues. · 2026-09-29

    Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play Saturday against the Boston

  • Nick Reed · KQues. · 2026-10-01

    Reed is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play Saturday against the Boston.

  • Miles Uter · TEQues. · 2026-09-12

    Uter is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be available against Louisville on Saturday, Septembe

  • Christian Rhodes · RBQues. · 2026-09-12

    Rhodes is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be available against Louisville on Saturday, Septem

  • EJ Kelly · RBprobable · 2026-09-17

    Kelly is dealing with an undisclosed injury , but he is likely to play against Louisville on Saturday, 19th September.

Notre Dame
QBCJ Carr
1197 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.45/729
LBKyngstonn Viliamu-Asa
13 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.2
Coverage
72.0
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
19
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
92.14/1796
SLuke Talich
14 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
88.3
Targets allowed
9
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
52.5
Missed tackles
1
89.611/2969
WRDevin Fitzgerald
1 rec · 20 yds · 0 TD
87.020/2069
RBJonaz Walton
228 yds · 0 TD · 5.8 YPC
84.542/1044
SJoey O'Brien
9 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.6
Coverage
80.3
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
12
Passer rating allowed
77.1
Missed tackles
0
80.656/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Quincy Porter · WRout · 2026-09-28

    Porter is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa · LBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Viliamu-Asa is nursing with a thumb injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Leonard Moore · CBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Moore is dealing with a concussion injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against BYU on Saturday, Saturday 17th.

  • Blake Hebert · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hebert is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Cougars on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

SMU
ND
vs
Offense
90.1
#23 of 138
QB
92.4
#5 of 138
70.7
#115 of 138
RB
83.8
#15 of 138
73.9
#44 of 138
WR
82.3
#5 of 138
78.6
#28 of 138
TE
59.4
#126 of 138
66.6
#83 of 138
OL
67.2
#77 of 138
Defense
77.2
#33 of 138
DL
83.8
#3 of 138
71.9
#90 of 138
LB
80.0
#22 of 138
78.1
#9 of 138
DB
80.1
#2 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

SMU
opponent
Notre Dame
A+16.7
STAN#106
+51.0H
H+9.0
BC#121
+33.4H
A+14.5
SYR#68
+25.7A