AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Indep.

Notre Dame

Fighting Irish0-0Independent
Notre Dame Stadium · Notre Dame, IN · 80,795
Rank —
4
Rating
79.4
TeamBlue-chip roster
OffenseQuarterback-drivenweak point: offensive line, 109th
DefenseStrong front seven, experienced secondary

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
vs#58WisconsinN
91%
Sep 633-15p›
2
vs#127Rice
100%
Sep 1250-8p›
3
vs#65Michigan StateMegaphone Trophy
98%
Sep 1944-15p›
4
at#69PurdueShillelagh Trophy
96%
Sep 2640-16p›
5
at#61North Carolina
94%
Oct 338-17p›
6
vs#96StanfordLegends Trophy
100%
Oct 1046-10p›
7
at#19BYU
72%
Oct 1732-24p›
9
vs#82NavyNRip Miller Trophy
99%
Oct 3144-14p›
10
vs#6Miami
73%
Nov 832-24p›
11
vs#79Boston CollegeIreland Trophy; Frank Leahy Memorial Bowl
99%
Nov 1445-15p›
12
vs#18SMU
82%
Nov 2235-23p›
13
at#71Syracuse
97%
Nov 2841-17p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#3074
Talent
#1379
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB3rd
RB87th
WR29th
TE39th
OL109th
DL14th
LB6th
DB1st

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named9 ratedavg 53.81 top-252025 ratings
X74.7
J. Faison
WR · SR33rd
LT31.1
S. Absher
OL · JR222nd
LG28.3
A. Craig
OL · SR237th
C20.9
C. Jagusah
OL · SO265th
RG—
A. Knapp
OL · JR
RT—
G. Lambert
OL · SO
TE60.8
J. Larsen
TE · SO49th
SL57.7
M. Jeffery
WR · SO137th
Z58.3
M. Gilbert
WR · SO128th
QB95.1
C. Carr
QB · SO3rd
RB56.9
A. Williams
RB · JR142nd

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
CJ CarrSO
95.1
3rd QB
RB
Aneyas WilliamsJR
56.9
142nd RB
WR
Jordan FaisonSR
74.7
33rd WR
WR
Micah GilbertSO
58.3
128th WR
TE
Jack LarsenSO
60.8
49th TE
Defense
LB
Kyngstonn Viliamu-AsaJR
86.5
16th LB
LB
Drayk BowenSR
82.7
38th LB
CB
Leonard MooreJR
101.6
1st DB
S
Brauntae JohnsonSO
91.5
8th DB
S
Adon ShulerJR
86.9
29th DB

Injury report

10 out · 5 starters
out
Charles Jagusahstarter
08-04
out
Player 2
08-04
out
Matty AugustineOL
08-12
out
Notre Dame reserve
08-12
out
Quincy PorterWRstarter
08-21
out
Decision Means Losing
08-22
out
Jackson HillRB
08-24
out
Notre Dame football 2027 commit
08-24
out
offensive line commitOL
08-25
out
Badger of Honor
08-27
questionable
B. HebertQB
08-12
questionable
Ashton CraigOLstarter
08-21
probable
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa
08-17
probable
Jaden GreathouseWR
08-19
probable
Armel MukamDT
08-20
probable
CJ CarrQBstarter
08-21
probable
Cooper FlanaganTEstarter
08-29

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

73%–96% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W7
at#19BYU
84% lose96% win
±2.2
likely move
in odds
70% to win
W10
vs#6Miami
84% lose95% win
±2.1
likely move
in odds
71% to win
W12
vs#18SMU
83% lose95% win
±1.7
likely move
in odds
80% to win
W1
vs#58Wisconsin
79% lose94% win
±0.9
likely move
in odds
90% to win
W5
at#61North Carolina
79% lose93% win
±0.7
likely move
in odds
92% to win
W4
at#69Purdue
77% lose93% win
±0.5
likely move
in odds
95% to win
W13
at#71Syracuse
78% lose93% win
±0.5
likely move
in odds
95% to win
W11
vs#79Boston College
73% lose93% win
±0.2
likely move
in odds
98% to win