CFB
Model
All rankings
Indep.

Notre Dame

Fighting Irish6-0Independent
Notre Dame Stadium · Notre Dame, IN · 80,795
TeamWell-rounded
OffenseMethodical · eliteweak point: explosiveness, 107th
DefenseHavoc-driven · elite · stout against the run

The season

Best win
W 41-13 vs (N) #32 Wisconsin
Wk 1 · Sep 6 · model had 95%
Undefeated.

Schedule

model 6/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 6
    vsWisconsinNeutral
    W 41–13
    Win chance 95%Model margin +21.9Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsRice
    W 52–0
    Win chance >99%Model margin +40.7Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsMichigan State
    W 27–10
    Win chance 96%Model margin +23.1Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atPurdue
    W 49–10
    Win chance 99%Model margin +30.6Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    atNorth Carolina
    W 37–26
    Win chance 95%Model margin +22.6Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    vsStanford
    W 58–7
    Win chance >99%Model margin +41.4Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atBYU
    Win chance 77%Model margin +9.8Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsNavyNeutral
    Win chance 98%Model margin +27.4Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 8
    vsMiami
    Win chance 66%Model margin +5.6Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsBoston College
    Win chance 99%Model margin +33.4Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 22
    vsSMU
    Win chance 85%Model margin +13.9Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atSyracuse
    Win chance 97%Model margin +25.7Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
73
#26 of 138
Defense efficiency
95
#4 of 138
Efficiency
#40.36
EPA / play
#11-0.09
#80.54
Pass
#340.05
#190.24
Rush
#2-0.23
#353%
Success
#933%
Big plays & havoc
#1071.15
Explosive
#651.20
#910%
Havoc
#323%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB5th
RB15th
WR5th
TE126th
OL77th
DL3rd
LB22nd
DB2nd

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
CJ CarrSO
1197 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.4
5th QB
RB
Jonaz WaltonFR
228 yds · 0 TD · 5.8 YPC
84.5
42nd RB
WR
Devin FitzgeraldFR
1 rec · 20 yds · 0 TD
87.0
20th WR
WR
Jerome Bettis Jr.FR
3 rec · 87 yds · 0 TD
80.2
57th WR
TE
Cooper FlanaganJR
6 rec · 48 yds · 2 TD
59.4
306th TE
Defense
LB
Kyngstonn Viliamu-AsaJR
13 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
92.1
4th LB
LB
Kahanu KiaJR
2 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
78.0
120th LB
S
Luke TalichSR
14 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
89.6
11th DB
S
Joey O'BrienFR
9 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
80.6
56th DB
S
Adon ShulerJR
22 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
77.4
110th DB

Injury report

1 out
out
Quincy PorterWR

Porter is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

70.8202509-28
Ques.
Kyngstonn Viliamu-AsaLB

Viliamu-Asa is nursing with a thumb injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 17th.

92.110-11
Ques.
Leonard MooreCB

Moore is dealing with a concussion injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against BYU on Saturday, Saturday 17th.

77.010-10
Ques.
Blake HebertQB

Hebert is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Cougars on Saturday, October 17th.

—10-11

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atBYU
    Playoff chance if win
    97.0%
    Playoff chance if loss
    89.3%
  2. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsNavy
    Playoff chance if win
    95.4%
    Playoff chance if loss
    85.8%
  3. Week 10 · Nov 8
    vsMiami
    Playoff chance if win
    97.1%
    Playoff chance if loss
    91.3%
  4. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsBoston College
    Playoff chance if win
    95.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    79.9%
  5. Week 12 · Nov 22
    vsSMU
    Playoff chance if win
    96.7%
    Playoff chance if loss
    87.5%
  6. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atSyracuse
    Playoff chance if win
    95.6%
    Playoff chance if loss
    82.9%

Past seasons

Year by year
+14.1 points since 2022
6070809010071.8202278.4202383.1202485.82025
2022 71.82023 78.42024 83.12025 85.8

2025

10-2
D-I rank
#3
Rating
85.8
Listed games · 12
LLWWWWWWWWWW
504 pts scored211 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at MiamiL 24–27
  2. W3 vs Texas A&ML 40–41
  3. W4 vs PurdueW 56–30
  4. W5 at ArkansasW 56–13
  5. W6 vs Boise StateW 28–7
  6. W7 vs NC StateW 36–7
  7. W8 vs USCW 34–24
  8. W10 at Boston CollegeW 25–10
  9. W11 vs NavyW 49–10
  10. W12 at PittsburghW 37–15
  11. W13 vs SyracuseW 70–7
  12. W14 at StanfordW 49–20

2024

11-1
D-I rank
#2
Rating
83.1
Listed games · 12
WLWWWWWWWWWW
478 pts scored163 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at Texas A&MW 23–13
  2. W2 vs Northern IllinoisL 14–16
  3. W3 at PurdueW 66–7
  4. W4 vs Miami (OH)W 28–3
  5. W5 vs LouisvilleW 31–24
  6. W7 vs StanfordW 49–7
  7. W8 vs Georgia TechW 31–13
  8. W9 vs NavyW 51–14
  9. W11 vs Florida StateW 52–3
  10. W12 vs VirginiaW 35–14
  11. W13 vs ArmyW 49–14
  12. W14 at USCW 49–35

2023

9-3
D-I rank
#10
Rating
78.4
Listed games · 12
WWWWLWLWWLWW
469 pts scored199 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs NavyW 42–3
  2. W1 vs Tennessee StateW 56–3
  3. W2 at NC StateW 45–24
  4. W3 vs Central MichiganW 41–17
  5. W4 vs Ohio StateL 14–17
  6. W5 at DukeW 21–14
  7. W6 at LouisvilleL 20–33
  8. W7 vs USCW 48–20
  9. W9 vs PittsburghW 58–7
  10. W10 at ClemsonL 23–31
  11. W12 vs Wake ForestW 45–7
  12. W13 at StanfordW 56–23

2022

8-4
D-I rank
#18
Rating
71.8
Listed games · 12
LLWWWLWWWWWL
368 pts scored261 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at Ohio StateL 10–21
  2. W2 vs MarshallL 21–26
  3. W3 vs CaliforniaW 24–17
  4. W4 at North CarolinaW 45–32
  5. W6 vs BYUW 28–20
  6. W7 vs StanfordL 14–16
  7. W8 vs UNLVW 44–21
  8. W9 at SyracuseW 41–24
  9. W10 vs ClemsonW 35–14
  10. W11 vs NavyW 35–32
  11. W12 vs Boston CollegeW 44–0
  12. W13 at USCL 27–38