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Model
All rankings
American Athletic

Navy

Midshipmen2-38th in American Athletic
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium · Annapolis, MD · 34,000
TeamShort on both sides · outplaying the roster
OffenseMethodical running attack · solidweak point: passing game, 119th
DefenseStingy until it breaks · average · stout against the runweak point: big plays allowed, 126th

The season

Best win
W 34-26 vs #98 Tulsa
Wk 6 · Oct 10 · won as a 30% underdog
Worst loss
L 20-24 @ #137 UAB
Wk 4 · Sep 25 · model had 27%

Schedule

model 4/5 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsTowson
    W 42–15
    Win chance 83%Model margin +12.9Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    atFlorida Atlantic
    L 30–38
    Win chance 29%Model margin -7.3Game details
  3. Week 4 · Sep 25
    atUAB
    L 20–24
    Win chance 27%Model margin -8.4Game details
  4. Week 5 · Oct 3
    atAir Force
    L 9–14
    Win chance 30%Model margin -7.1Game details
  5. Week 6 · Oct 10
    vsTulsa
    W 34–26
    Win chance 30%Model margin -7.2Game details
  6. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atUTSA
    Win chance 28%Model margin -7.7Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsNorth Texas
    Win chance 50%Model margin +0.1Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsNotre DameNeutral
    Win chance 2%Model margin -27.4Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsTemple
    Win chance 68%Model margin +6.3Game details
  10. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsMemphis
    Win chance 38%Model margin -4.1Game details
  11. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atCharlotte
    Win chance 87%Model margin +15.1Game details
  12. Week 15 · Dec 12
    vsArmyNeutral
    Win chance 49%Model margin -0.4Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
54
#61 of 138
Defense efficiency
45
#74 of 138
Efficiency
#480.20
EPA / play
#830.09
#1190.04
Pass
#1090.29
#120.26
Rush
#41-0.01
#3048%
Success
#3436%
Big plays & havoc
#1121.14
Explosive
#1261.38
#5014%
Havoc
#11313%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB80th
RB124th
WR96th
TE125th
OL73rd
DL104th
LB34th
DB138th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Braxton WoodsonSR
71 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
75.7
107th QB
RB
Jacob WilliamsFR
34 yds · 0 TD · 6.8 YPC
71.6
269th RB
WR
Truman BrasfieldFR
2 rec · 107 yds · 1 TD
69.1
301st WR
WR
Charles RobinsonJR
6 rec · 50 yds · 1 TD
68.9
311th WR
TE
Jake NorrisSR
— rec · — yds · — TD
59.6
294th TE
Defense
LB
MarcAnthony ParkerJR
33 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 4.0 sk
80.9
70th LB
LB
Coleman CauleySR
31 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
78.6
106th LB
CB
Cam RobinsonSO
14 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
66.5
725th DB
S
Matthew SeligaSR
13 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
65.5
807th DB
CB
Phillip HamiltonJR
8 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
65.2
841st DB

Injury report

4 listed
Ques.
Landon WalkerRB

Walker is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.

61.810-11
Ques.
Jake NorrisTE

Norris is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against UTSA on Saturday, October 17th.

59.610-10
Ques.
Merrick BarlowTE

Barlow is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.

53.310-11
Ques.
Jeremiah ChalmersRB

Chalmers is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Roadrunners on Saturday, October 17th.

—10-11

Past seasons

Year by year
+3.4 points since 2022
405060708059.1202252.1202362.2202462.52025
2022 59.12023 52.12024 62.22025 62.5

2025

9-2
D-I rank
#61
Rating
62.5
Listed games · 11
WWWWWWWLLWW
357 pts scored296 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs VMIW 52–7
  2. W2 vs UABW 38–24
  3. W3 at TulsaW 42–23
  4. W5 vs RiceW 21–13
  5. W6 vs Air ForceW 34–31
  6. W7 at TempleW 32–31
  7. W9 vs Florida AtlanticW 42–32
  8. W10 at North TexasL 17–31
  9. W11 at Notre DameL 10–49
  10. W12 vs South FloridaW 41–38
  11. W14 at MemphisW 28–17

2024

8-3
D-I rank
#64
Rating
62.2
Listed games · 12
WWWWWWLLWLWW
386 pts scored268 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs BucknellW 49–21
  2. W2 vs TempleW 38–11
  3. W4 vs MemphisW 56–44
  4. W5 at UABW 41–18
  5. W6 at Air ForceW 34–7
  6. W8 vs CharlotteW 51–17
  7. W9 vs Notre DameL 14–51
  8. W10 at RiceL 10–24
  9. W11 at South FloridaW 28–7
  10. W12 vs TulaneL 0–35
  11. W14 at East CarolinaW 34–20
  12. W16 vs ArmyW 31–13

2023

5-7
D-I rank
#109
Rating
52.1
Listed games · 12
LWLLWWLLWWLL
212 pts scored269 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Notre DameL 3–42
  2. W2 vs WagnerW 24–0
  3. W3 at MemphisL 24–28
  4. W5 vs South FloridaL 30–44
  5. W6 vs North TexasW 27–24
  6. W7 at CharlotteW 14–0
  7. W8 vs Air ForceL 6–17
  8. W10 at TempleL 18–32
  9. W11 vs UABW 31–6
  10. W12 vs East CarolinaW 10–0
  11. W13 at SMUL 14–59
  12. W15 vs ArmyL 11–17

2022

4-8
D-I rank
#74
Rating
59.1
Listed games · 12
LLWLWLLWLLWL
263 pts scored292 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs DelawareL 7–14
  2. W2 vs MemphisL 13–37
  3. W4 at East CarolinaW 23–20
  4. W5 at Air ForceL 10–13
  5. W6 vs TulsaW 53–21
  6. W7 at SMUL 34–40
  7. W8 vs HoustonL 20–38
  8. W9 vs TempleW 27–20
  9. W10 at CincinnatiL 10–20
  10. W11 vs Notre DameL 32–35
  11. W12 at UCFW 17–14
  12. W15 vs ArmyL 17–20