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American Athletic

North Texas

Mean Green4-22nd in American Athletic
DATCU Stadium · Denton, TX · 30,850
TeamCarried by the offense · outplaying the roster
OffenseEfficient and explosive passing attack · strong
DefenseStout against the run · averageweak point: pass defense, 98th

The season

Best win
W 44-6 vs #83 UNLV
Wk 2 · Sep 12 · model had 52%
Worst loss
L 35-49 @ #55 Texas State
Wk 3 · Sep 19 · lost as a 64% favorite

Schedule

model 5/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    atIndiana
    L 16–52
    Win chance 6%Model margin -21.4Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsUNLV
    W 44–6
    Win chance 52%Model margin +0.7Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    atTexas State
    L 35–49
    Win chance 64%Model margin +4.8Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    vsHouston Christian
    W 63–14
    Win chance >99%Model margin +39.1Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 1
    atTulsa
    W 45–44
    Win chance 60%Model margin +3.2Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    vsCharlotte
    W 50–10
    Win chance 99%Model margin +31.4Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atNavy
    Win chance 50%Model margin -0.1Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 29
    vsFlorida Atlantic
    Win chance 79%Model margin +10.9Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsRice
    Win chance 83%Model margin +13.1Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atUTSA
    Win chance 35%Model margin -5.2Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atTulane
    Win chance 43%Model margin -2.5Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsUAB
    Win chance 87%Model margin +15.4Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
83
#11 of 138
Defense efficiency
50
#66 of 138
Efficiency
#180.30
EPA / play
#760.08
#120.49
Pass
#980.25
#550.14
Rush
#560.02
#3048%
Success
#7841%
Big plays & havoc
#211.33
Explosive
#811.24
#1210%
Havoc
#5217%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB22nd
RB48th
WR27th
TE19th
OL96th
DL42nd
LB49th
DB43rd

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Tayven JacksonSR
1510 yds · 10 TD · 4 INT
90.2
23rd QB
RB
Jahiem WhiteSR
571 yds · 8 TD · 6.7 YPC
81.2
63rd RB
WR
TJ ChukwurahSR
7 rec · 92 yds · 1 TD
80.4
54th WR
WR
Kyle KochJR
11 rec · 163 yds · 2 TD
78.0
74th WR
TE
Jerious SingletaryFR
— rec · — yds · — TD
82.8
19th TE
Defense
LB
Kenton AllenSR
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
77.3
132nd LB
LB
Zakye BarkerSR
40 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
77.2
134th LB
CB
Keshawn DavilaSR
8 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
78.4
88th DB
S
Ja'Bree BickhamSO
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
77.6
106th DB
CB
Peyton TaylorSR
15 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
76.8
134th DB

Injury report

4 listed
Ques.
Corri MillinerWR

Milliner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Navy on October 24th.

71.710-10
Ques.
James TyreWR

Tyre is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

56.710-11
Ques.
Drew ClemensTE

Clemens is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

—10-11
Ques.
Victor AderungboyeTE

Aderungboye is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

44.7202510-11

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atNavy
    Playoff chance if win
    1.1%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.2%
  2. Week 9 · Oct 29
    vsFlorida Atlantic
    Playoff chance if win
    0.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.1%
  3. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsRice
    Playoff chance if win
    0.8%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.1%
  4. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atUTSA
    Playoff chance if win
    1.5%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.1%
  5. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atTulane
    Playoff chance if win
    1.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.3%

Past seasons

Year by year
+10.0 points since 2022
405060708056.6202252.7202350.8202466.62025
2022 56.62023 52.72024 50.82025 66.6

2025

11-2
D-I rank
#42
Rating
66.6
Listed games · 13
WWWWWLWWWWWWL
582 pts scored324 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs LamarW 51–0
  2. W2 at Western MichiganW 33–30
  3. W3 vs Washington StateW 59–10
  4. W4 at ArmyW 45–38
  5. W5 vs South AlabamaW 36–22
  6. W7 vs South FloridaL 36–63
  7. W8 vs UTSAW 55–17
  8. W9 at CharlotteW 54–20
  9. W10 vs NavyW 31–17
  10. W12 at UABW 53–24
  11. W13 at RiceW 56–24
  12. W14 vs TempleW 52–25
  13. W15 at TulaneL 21–34

2024

6-6
D-I rank
#118
Rating
50.8
Listed games · 12
WWLWWWLLLLLW
408 pts scored414 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at South AlabamaW 52–38
  2. W2 vs Stephen F. AustinW 35–20
  3. W3 at Texas TechL 21–66
  4. W4 vs WyomingW 44–17
  5. W5 vs TulsaW 52–20
  6. W7 at Florida AtlanticW 41–37
  7. W8 at MemphisL 44–52
  8. W9 vs TulaneL 37–45
  9. W11 vs ArmyL 3–14
  10. W12 at UTSAL 27–48
  11. W13 vs East CarolinaL 28–40
  12. W14 at TempleW 24–17

2023

5-7
D-I rank
#106
Rating
52.7
Listed games · 12
LLWWLWLLLLWW
414 pts scored445 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs CaliforniaL 21–58
  2. W2 at Florida InternationalL 39–46
  3. W3 at Louisiana TechW 40–37
  4. W5 vs Abilene ChristianW 45–31
  5. W6 at NavyL 24–27
  6. W7 vs TempleW 45–14
  7. W8 at TulaneL 28–35
  8. W9 vs MemphisL 42–45
  9. W10 vs UTSAL 29–37
  10. W11 at SMUL 21–45
  11. W12 at TulsaW 35–28
  12. W13 vs UABW 45–42

2022

7-6
D-I rank
#89
Rating
56.6
Listed games · 13
WLWLLWWLWWLWL
441 pts scored409 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at UTEPW 31–13
  2. W1 vs SMUL 10–48
  3. W2 vs Texas SouthernW 59–27
  4. W3 at UNLVL 27–58
  5. W4 at MemphisL 34–44
  6. W5 vs Florida AtlanticW 45–28
  7. W7 vs Louisiana TechW 47–27
  8. W8 at UTSAL 27–31
  9. W9 at Western KentuckyW 40–13
  10. W10 vs Florida InternationalW 52–14
  11. W11 at UABL 21–41
  12. W13 vs RiceW 21–17
  13. W14 at UTSAL 27–48