CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Thu Oct 29 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
FAU 24.7%75.3% UNT
Projected margin
UNT by 10.9
Projected total
66
80% outcome range
FAU 8 to UNT 29
Win probability
UNT 75.3%

Current team profiles

Florida Atlantic
North Texas

When Florida Atlantic has the ball

Passing

FAU offense
Higher-ranked profile
FAU offense
#60
UNT defense
#98
EPA comparison
0.26
#60
0.25
#98
Pass EPA

Rushing

UNT defense
Higher-ranked profile
FAU offense
#72
UNT defense
#56
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
0.02
#56
Rush EPA

Drive success

FAU offense
Higher-ranked profile
FAU offense
#53
UNT defense
#78
Success rates
45%
#53
41%
#78
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#59
0.08
#76
EPA / play
1.21
#89
1.24
#81
Explosiveness
15%
#74
17%
#52
Havoc

When North Texas has the ball

Passing

UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
FAU defense
#103
UNT offense
#12
EPA comparison
0.27
#103
0.49
#12
Pass EPA

Rushing

UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
FAU defense
#112
UNT offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
0.14
#55
Rush EPA

Drive success

UNT offense
Higher-ranked profile
FAU defense
#63
UNT offense
#30
Success rates
40%
#63
48%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#117
0.30
#18
EPA / play
1.47
#137
1.33
#21
Explosiveness
16%
#72
10%
#12
Havoc

Current key players

Florida Atlantic
QBCaden Veltkamp
1425 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
85.539/729
DBWallace Foster IV
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.8
Coverage
84.8
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
1
83.037/2969
DBTyclean Luman
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.7
Missed tackles
1
77.8101/2969
WRKelby Valsin
40 rec · 512 yds · 5 TD
75.9111/2069
DBJK Johnson
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
45.5
Coverage
82.2
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
19
Passer rating allowed
51.3
Missed tackles
3
75.2186/2969
WREaston Messer
30 rec · 438 yds · 3 TD
74.8127/2069
North Texas
QBTayven Jackson
1510 yds · 10 TD · 4 INT
90.223/729
TEJerious Singletary
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
81.9
Penalties
0
82.819/1017
RBJahiem White
571 yds · 8 TD · 6.7 YPC
81.263/1044
WRTJ Chukwurah
7 rec · 92 yds · 1 TD
80.454/2069
CBKeshawn Davila
8 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.5
Coverage
79.7
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
16
Passer rating allowed
16.7
Missed tackles
4
78.488/2969
WRKyle Koch
11 rec · 163 yds · 2 TD
78.074/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Corri Milliner · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Milliner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Navy on October 24th.

  • James Tyre · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tyre is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

  • Drew Clemens · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Clemens is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

  • Victor Aderungboye · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Aderungboye is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Navy on October 24th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

FAU
UNT
vs
Offense
85.5
#36 of 138
QB
90.2
#22 of 138
73.0
#97 of 138
RB
77.8
#48 of 138
74.1
#42 of 138
WR
77.0
#27 of 138
58.9
#128 of 138
TE
82.8
#19 of 138
70.4
#50 of 138
OL
64.9
#96 of 138
Defense
75.3
#51 of 138
DL
76.3
#42 of 138
65.1
#134 of 138
LB
76.4
#49 of 138
75.6
#27 of 138
DB
74.2
#43 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Florida Atlantic
opponent
North Texas
H+4.9
RICE#133
+13.1H
H+8.0
NAVY#93
-0.1A
A-3.3
TLSA#98
+1.0A
H-8.1
UTSA#73
-5.2A