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American Athletic

Florida Atlantic

Owls4-17th in American Athletic
FAU Stadium · Boca Raton, FL · 29,419
TeamShort on both sides
OffenseAverage attackweak point: explosiveness, 89th
DefensePoor defenseweak point: big plays allowed, 137th

The season

Best win
W 16-10 vs #99 Florida International
Wk 3 · Sep 19 · won as a 48% underdog
Worst loss
L 21-66 @ #22 Florida
Wk 1 · Sep 5 · model had 7%

Schedule

model 4/5 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    atFlorida
    L 21–66
    Win chance 7%Model margin -20.5Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsNavy
    W 38–30
    Win chance 71%Model margin +7.3Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsFlorida International
    W 16–10
    Win chance 48%Model margin -0.8Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atUL Monroe
    W 45–17
    Win chance 77%Model margin +10.0Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    vsTexas Southern
    W 66–10
    Win chance >99%Model margin +40.7Game details
  6. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atArmy
    Win chance 26%Model margin -8.8Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsRice
    Win chance 64%Model margin +4.9Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 29
    atNorth Texas
    Win chance 21%Model margin -10.9Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 6
    vsUTSA
    Win chance 28%Model margin -8.1Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atTulsa
    Win chance 40%Model margin -3.3Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsSouth Florida
    Win chance 22%Model margin -10.3Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 27
    atEast Carolina
    Win chance 30%Model margin -7.1Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
51
#67 of 138
Defense efficiency
40
#85 of 138
Efficiency
#590.18
EPA / play
#1170.18
#600.26
Pass
#1030.27
#720.10
Rush
#1120.15
#5345%
Success
#6340%
Big plays & havoc
#891.21
Explosive
#1371.47
#7415%
Havoc
#7216%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB36th
RB97th
WR42nd
TE128th
OL50th
DL51st
LB134th
DB27th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Caden VeltkampSR
1425 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
85.5
39th QB
RB
Ethan ErvinSO
315 yds · 2 TD · 4.4 YPC
73.0
224th RB
WR
Kelby ValsinSR
40 rec · 512 yds · 5 TD
75.9
111th WR
WR
Easton MesserSR
30 rec · 438 yds · 3 TD
74.8
127th WR
TE
Brooks JohnsonSR
— rec · — yds · — TD
58.9
328th TE
Defense
LB
Joseph Sipp Jr.SR
33 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
74.6
195th LB
LB
Hector ChavezSO
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
61.3
793rd LB
DB
Wallace Foster IVJR
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
83.0
37th DB
DB
Tyclean LumanJR
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
77.8
101st DB
DB
JK JohnsonSR
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
75.2
186th DB

Past seasons

Year by year
-9.7 points since 2022
304050607057.3202255.7202346.6202447.62025
2022 57.32023 55.72024 46.62025 47.6

2025

4-8
D-I rank
#135
Rating
47.6
Listed games · 12
LWLLWWLLWLLL
354 pts scored436 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at MarylandL 7–39
  2. W2 vs Florida A&MW 56–14
  3. W3 at Florida InternationalL 28–38
  4. W5 vs MemphisL 26–55
  5. W6 at RiceW 27–21
  6. W7 vs UABW 53–33
  7. W8 at South FloridaL 13–48
  8. W9 at NavyL 32–42
  9. W11 vs TulsaW 40–21
  10. W12 at TulaneL 24–35
  11. W13 vs UConnL 45–48
  12. W14 vs East CarolinaL 3–42

2024

3-9
D-I rank
#135
Rating
46.6
Listed games · 12
LLWLWLLLLLLW
311 pts scored363 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at Michigan StateL 10–16
  2. W2 vs ArmyL 7–24
  3. W3 vs Florida InternationalW 38–20
  4. W4 at UConnL 14–48
  5. W5 vs WagnerW 41–10
  6. W7 vs North TexasL 37–41
  7. W8 at UTSAL 24–38
  8. W10 vs South FloridaL 21–44
  9. W11 at East CarolinaL 14–49
  10. W12 at TempleL 15–18
  11. W13 vs CharlotteL 27–39
  12. W14 at TulsaW 63–16

2023

4-8
D-I rank
#86
Rating
55.7
Listed games · 12
WLLLWWLWLLLL
285 pts scored306 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs MonmouthW 42–20
  2. W2 vs OhioL 10–17
  3. W3 at ClemsonL 14–48
  4. W4 at IllinoisL 17–23
  5. W6 vs TulsaW 20–17
  6. W7 at South FloridaW 56–14
  7. W8 vs UTSAL 10–36
  8. W9 at CharlotteW 38–16
  9. W10 at UABL 42–45
  10. W11 vs East CarolinaL 7–22
  11. W12 vs TulaneL 8–24
  12. W13 at RiceL 21–24

2022

5-7
D-I rank
#84
Rating
57.3
Listed games · 12
WLWLLLWLWWLL
357 pts scored319 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs CharlotteW 43–13
  2. W1 at OhioL 38–41
  3. W2 vs SE LouisianaW 42–9
  4. W3 vs UCFL 14–40
  5. W4 at PurdueL 26–28
  6. W5 at North TexasL 28–45
  7. W7 vs RiceW 17–14
  8. W8 at UTEPL 21–24
  9. W9 vs UABW 24–17
  10. W11 at Florida InternationalW 52–7
  11. W12 at Middle TennesseeL 21–49
  12. W13 vs Western KentuckyL 31–32