CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
FAU 41.4%58.6% TLSA
Projected margin
TLSA by 3.3
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
FAU 15 to TLSA 22
Win probability
TLSA 58.6%

Current team profiles

Florida Atlantic
Tulsa

When Florida Atlantic has the ball

Passing

FAU offense
Higher-ranked profile
FAU offense
#60
TLSA defense
#82
EPA comparison
0.26
#60
0.18
#82
Pass EPA

Rushing

TLSA defense
Higher-ranked profile
FAU offense
#72
TLSA defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA

Drive success

FAU offense
Higher-ranked profile
FAU offense
#53
TLSA defense
#74
Success rates
45%
#53
41%
#74
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#59
0.03
#54
EPA / play
1.21
#89
1.14
#29
Explosiveness
15%
#74
13%
#116
Havoc

When Tulsa has the ball

Passing

FAU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FAU defense
#103
TLSA offense
#108
EPA comparison
0.27
#103
0.09
#108
Pass EPA

Rushing

TLSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
FAU defense
#112
TLSA offense
#21
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
0.23
#21
Rush EPA

Drive success

FAU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FAU defense
#63
TLSA offense
#117
Success rates
40%
#63
39%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#117
0.14
#74
EPA / play
1.47
#137
1.22
#78
Explosiveness
16%
#72
15%
#69
Havoc

Current key players

Florida Atlantic
QBCaden Veltkamp
1425 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
85.539/729
DBWallace Foster IV
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.8
Coverage
84.8
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
1
83.037/2969
DBTyclean Luman
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.7
Missed tackles
1
77.8101/2969
WRKelby Valsin
40 rec · 512 yds · 5 TD
75.9111/2069
DBJK Johnson
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
45.5
Coverage
82.2
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
19
Passer rating allowed
51.3
Missed tackles
3
75.2186/2969
WREaston Messer
30 rec · 438 yds · 3 TD
74.8127/2069
Tulsa
QBDexter Williams II
340 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
64.2222/729
RBSeth Davis
90 yds · 1 TD · 10.0 YPC
88.714/1044
TEJackson Shockley
1 rec · 22 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
48.5
Run blocking
65.5
Penalties
0
87.18/1017
DBDevin Robinson
19 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
80.6
Coverage
76.0
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
62
Passer rating allowed
92.5
Missed tackles
3
79.077/2969
LBDax Collins
39 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
84.8
Coverage
58.3
Pressures
12
Pass-rush snaps
24
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
76.7146/1796
CBCaldra Williford
16 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
74.2
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
65
Passer rating allowed
158.3
Missed tackles
2
75.4178/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Jimmy Calloway · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Calloway is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against the Owls on Saturday, Octob

  • Grayson Tempest · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tempest is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against the Owls on Saturday, Octobe

Position units

Position-unit comparison

FAU
TLSA
vs
Offense
85.5
#36 of 138
QB
64.2
#121 of 138
73.0
#97 of 138
RB
84.4
#13 of 138
74.1
#42 of 138
WR
67.0
#120 of 138
58.9
#128 of 138
TE
87.1
#8 of 138
70.4
#50 of 138
OL
68.5
#64 of 138
Defense
75.3
#51 of 138
DL
73.1
#68 of 138
65.1
#134 of 138
LB
71.4
#93 of 138
75.6
#27 of 138
DB
74.5
#41 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Florida Atlantic
opponent
Tulsa
H+8.0
NAVY#93
-8.0A
A-10.9
UNT#64
-1.0H
A-8.8
ARMY#53
-2.8H
H-8.1
UTSA#73
-12.8A
H+4.9
RICE#133
+0.2A