CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 6:00 PM ET
Don Shula Award
Forecast win probability
FIU 51.2%48.8% FAU
Projected margin
FIU by 0.8
Projected total
60
80% outcome range
FIU 22 to FAU 21
Win probability
FIU 51.2%
FinalFIU 10 · FAU 16model had -0.8, off by 6.8

Current team profiles

Florida International
Florida Atlantic

When Florida International has the ball

Passing

FAU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU offense
#107
FAU defense
#103
EPA comparison
0.10
#107
0.27
#103
Pass EPA

Rushing

FAU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU offense
#129
FAU defense
#112
EPA comparison
-0.09
#129
0.15
#112
Rush EPA

Drive success

FAU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU offense
#115
FAU defense
#63
Success rates
39%
#115
40%
#63
Success rate
More metrics
-0.01
#124
0.18
#117
EPA / play
1.13
#116
1.47
#137
Explosiveness
16%
#98
16%
#72
Havoc

When Florida Atlantic has the ball

Passing

FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU defense
#14
FAU offense
#60
EPA comparison
-0.05
#14
0.26
#60
Pass EPA

Rushing

FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU defense
#29
FAU offense
#72
EPA comparison
-0.06
#29
0.10
#72
Rush EPA

Drive success

FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU defense
#11
FAU offense
#53
Success rates
34%
#11
45%
#53
Success rate
More metrics
-0.07
#14
0.18
#59
EPA / play
1.14
#28
1.21
#89
Explosiveness
18%
#31
15%
#74
Havoc

Current key players

Florida International
QBZach Marker
92 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
72.7132/729
RBJayden Ford
11 yds · 0 TD · 11.0 YPC
89.013/1044
WRMaguire Anderson
24 rec · 383 yds · 2 TD
79.362/2069
LBCam Davis
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
78.3115/1796
DBRyan Gadson
15 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
76.9
Targets allowed
20
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
71
Passer rating allowed
66.9
Missed tackles
2
77.0127/2969
DBJai-Ayviauynn Celestine
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
83.8
Coverage
73.1
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
33.3
Missed tackles
2
76.2151/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Ayden Passley · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Passley is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octob

  • Kevin Schaeffer · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Schaeffer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octo

  • Noah Sidan · KQues. · 2026-10-08

    Sidan is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, October

Florida Atlantic
QBCaden Veltkamp
1425 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
85.539/729
DBWallace Foster IV
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.8
Coverage
84.8
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
1
83.037/2969
DBTyclean Luman
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.7
Missed tackles
1
77.8101/2969
WRKelby Valsin
40 rec · 512 yds · 5 TD
75.9111/2069
DBJK Johnson
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
45.5
Coverage
82.2
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
19
Passer rating allowed
51.3
Missed tackles
3
75.2186/2969
WREaston Messer
30 rec · 438 yds · 3 TD
74.8127/2069
Position units

Position-unit comparison

FIU
FAU
vs
Offense
72.7
#92 of 138
QB
85.5
#36 of 138
74.8
#73 of 138
RB
73.0
#97 of 138
71.2
#72 of 138
WR
74.1
#42 of 138
60.0
#120 of 138
TE
58.9
#128 of 138
62.6
#118 of 138
OL
70.4
#50 of 138
Defense
76.1
#45 of 138
DL
75.3
#51 of 138
75.9
#52 of 138
LB
65.1
#134 of 138
72.6
#63 of 138
DB
75.6
#27 of 138
Common opponents