Passing
USF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USF offense
- #72
- FAU defense
- #103
EPA comparison
0.22
#72
0.27
#103
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
USF 74.7%25.3% FAU
- Projected margin
- USF by 10.3
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- USF 29 to FAU 8
- Win probability
- USF 74.7%
Current team profiles
South Florida
Florida AtlanticWhen South Florida has the ball
Rushing
USF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USF offense
- #45
- FAU defense
- #112
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
0.15
#112
Rush EPA
Drive success
USF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USF offense
- #35
- FAU defense
- #63
Success rates
48%
#35
40%
#63
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#56
0.18
#117
EPA / play
1.12
#122
1.47
#137
Explosiveness
11%
#22
16%
#72
Havoc
When Florida Atlantic has the ball
Passing
FAU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USF defense
- #75
- FAU offense
- #60
EPA comparison
0.16
#75
0.26
#60
Pass EPA
Rushing
USF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- USF defense
- #37
- FAU offense
- #72
EPA comparison
-0.03
#37
0.10
#72
Rush EPA
Drive success
FAU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USF defense
- #100
- FAU offense
- #53
Success rates
43%
#100
45%
#53
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#67
0.18
#59
EPA / play
1.00
#5
1.21
#89
Explosiveness
15%
#84
15%
#74
Havoc
Current key players
South FloridaQBMichael Van Buren Jr.
896 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
87.231/729
RBTray Kinkle
67 yds · 0 TD · 13.4 YPC
84.343/1044
LBZavier Hamilton
27 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.0
- Coverage
- 66.1
- Pressures
- 9
- Pass-rush snaps
- 14
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.4171/1796
SIsrael Boyce
17 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.1
- Coverage
- 72.7
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 4
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.1193/2969
WRKenny Odom
1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD
74.8128/2069
LBChristian Smith
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.0
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.6196/1796
Availability reports · 3
- Cameron Seldon · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Seldon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, October 17th.
- Arhmad Branch · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Branch is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.
- Jaden Alexis · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Alexis is battling with an undisclosed injury, and and it is unclear if he will play against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.
Florida AtlanticQBCaden Veltkamp
1425 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
85.539/729
DBWallace Foster IV
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.8
- Coverage
- 84.8
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
83.037/2969
DBTyclean Luman
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.7
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.8101/2969
WRKelby Valsin
40 rec · 512 yds · 5 TD
75.9111/2069
DBJK Johnson
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 45.5
- Coverage
- 82.2
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 19
- Passer rating allowed
- 51.3
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.2186/2969
WREaston Messer
30 rec · 438 yds · 3 TD
74.8127/2069
Position units
Position-unit comparison
USFSouth Florida
FAUFlorida Atlantic
vs
Offense
87.2
#29 of 138
QB
Quarterback
85.5
#36 of 138
83.2
#19 of 138
RB
Running backs
73.0
#97 of 138
72.3
#54 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.1
#42 of 138
60.4
#116 of 138
TE
Tight ends
58.9
#128 of 138
68.3
#65 of 138
OL
Offensive line
70.4
#50 of 138
Defense
72.2
#81 of 138
DL
Defensive line
75.3
#51 of 138
74.6
#63 of 138
LB
Linebackers
65.1
#134 of 138
72.3
#67 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.6
#27 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
South Florida
opponent
Florida Atlantic
Aaway+5.9
ECUEast Carolina#94-7.1Aaway
Aaway+4.0
ARMYArmy#53-8.8Aaway
Hhome+10.0
FIUFlorida International#99+6.0Hhome
Aaway-7.0
UTSAUTSA#73-8.1Hhome