CFB
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All rankings
American Athletic

South Florida

Bulls4-25th in American Athletic
Raymond James Stadium · Tampa, FL · 65,828
TeamShort on both sides
OffenseMethodical running attack · solidweak point: explosiveness, 122nd
DefenseBend-don't-break · average · stout against the runweak point: getting off the field, 100th

The season

Best win
W 28-24 @ #53 Army
Wk 2 · Sep 12 · won as a 49% underdog
Worst loss
L 13-17 vs #108 Temple
Wk 5 · Oct 3 · lost as a 76% favorite

Schedule

model 4/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsFlorida International
    W 19–9
    Win chance 89%Model margin +16.7Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    atArmy
    W 28–24
    Win chance 49%Model margin -0.2Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsDelaware State
    W 59–17
    Win chance >99%Model margin +38.8Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atBowling Green
    W 14–6
    Win chance 96%Model margin +23.0Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    vsTemple
    L 13–17
    Win chance 76%Model margin +9.3Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 8
    atUTSA
    L 24–31
    Win chance 46%Model margin -1.5Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsKent State
    Win chance 94%Model margin +20.5Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsUAB
    Win chance 93%Model margin +20.2Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atEast Carolina
    Win chance 67%Model margin +5.9Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 13
    vsMemphis
    Win chance 59%Model margin +3.2Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atFlorida Atlantic
    Win chance 78%Model margin +10.3Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 27
    vsTulane
    Win chance 71%Model margin +7.5Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
49
#73 of 138
Defense efficiency
39
#86 of 138
Efficiency
#560.18
EPA / play
#670.06
#720.22
Pass
#750.16
#450.16
Rush
#37-0.03
#3548%
Success
#10043%
Big plays & havoc
#1221.12
Explosive
#51.00
#2211%
Havoc
#8415%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB29th
RB19th
WR54th
TE116th
OL65th
DL81st
LB63rd
DB67th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Michael Van Buren Jr.JR
896 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
87.2
31st QB
RB
Tray KinkleSO
67 yds · 0 TD · 13.4 YPC
84.3
43rd RB
WR
Kenny OdomSR
1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD
74.8
128th WR
WR
Bryson RodgersJR
22 rec · 240 yds · 1 TD
71.7
202nd WR
TE
Evan DanglerSR
1 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD
60.4
237th TE
Defense
LB
Zavier HamiltonSO
27 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
75.4
171st LB
LB
Christian SmithFR
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
74.6
196th LB
S
Israel BoyceJR
17 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
75.1
193rd DB
CB
Teddy FosterJR
13 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
74.4
214th DB
DB
Tayvion BeasleySR
16 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
73.6
248th DB

Injury report

3 listed
Ques.
Cameron SeldonWR

Seldon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, October 17th.

70.510-09
Ques.
Arhmad BranchWR

Branch is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.

63.410-09
Ques.
Jaden AlexisWR

Alexis is battling with an undisclosed injury, and and it is unclear if he will play against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.

44.1202510-09

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsKent State
    Playoff chance if win
    4.7%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.5%
  2. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsUAB
    Playoff chance if win
    4.7%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.0%
  3. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atEast Carolina
    Playoff chance if win
    6.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.1%
  4. Week 11 · Nov 13
    vsMemphis
    Playoff chance if win
    6.8%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.0%
  5. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atFlorida Atlantic
    Playoff chance if win
    5.6%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.9%
  6. Week 13 · Nov 27
    vsTulane
    Playoff chance if win
    6.0%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.8%

Past seasons

Year by year
+18.5 points since 2022
304560759052.5202248.6202356.8202471.02025
2022 52.52023 48.62024 56.82025 71.0

2025

9-3
D-I rank
#28
Rating
71.0
Listed games · 12
WWLWWWWLWLWW
516 pts scored280 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Boise StateW 34–7
  2. W2 at FloridaW 18–16
  3. W3 at MiamiL 12–49
  4. W4 vs South Carolina StateW 63–14
  5. W6 vs CharlotteW 54–26
  6. W7 at North TexasW 63–36
  7. W8 vs Florida AtlanticW 48–13
  8. W9 at MemphisL 31–34
  9. W11 vs UTSAW 55–23
  10. W12 at NavyL 38–41
  11. W13 at UABW 48–18
  12. W14 vs RiceW 52–3

2024

6-6
D-I rank
#88
Rating
56.8
Listed games · 12
WLWLLLWWLWWL
377 pts scored348 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Bethune-CookmanW 48–3
  2. W2 at AlabamaL 16–42
  3. W3 at Southern MissW 49–24
  4. W4 vs MiamiL 15–50
  5. W5 at TulaneL 10–45
  6. W7 vs MemphisL 3–21
  7. W8 vs UABW 35–25
  8. W10 at Florida AtlanticW 44–21
  9. W11 vs NavyL 7–28
  10. W12 at CharlotteW 59–24
  11. W13 vs TulsaW 63–30
  12. W14 at RiceL 28–35

2023

6-6
D-I rank
#130
Rating
48.6
Listed games · 12
LWLWWLLWLWLW
370 pts scored419 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at Western KentuckyL 24–41
  2. W2 vs Florida A&MW 38–24
  3. W3 vs AlabamaL 3–17
  4. W4 vs RiceW 42–29
  5. W5 at NavyW 44–30
  6. W6 at UABL 35–56
  7. W7 vs Florida AtlanticL 14–56
  8. W8 at UConnW 24–21
  9. W10 at MemphisL 50–59
  10. W11 vs TempleW 27–23
  11. W12 at UTSAL 21–49
  12. W13 vs CharlotteW 48–14

2022

1-11
D-I rank
#111
Rating
52.5
Listed games · 12
LWLLLLLLLLLL
336 pts scored494 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs BYUL 21–50
  2. W2 vs HowardW 42–20
  3. W3 at FloridaL 28–31
  4. W4 at LouisvilleL 3–41
  5. W5 vs East CarolinaL 28–48
  6. W6 at CincinnatiL 24–28
  7. W7 vs TulaneL 31–45
  8. W9 at HoustonL 27–42
  9. W10 at TempleL 28–54
  10. W11 vs SMUL 23–41
  11. W12 at TulsaL 42–48
  12. W13 vs UCFL 39–46