CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Fri Nov 27 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
TULN 30.9%69.1% USF
Projected margin
USF by 7.5
Projected total
51
80% outcome range
TULN 11 to USF 26
Win probability
USF 69.1%

Current team profiles

Tulane
South Florida

When Tulane has the ball

Passing

USF defense
Higher-ranked profile
TULN offense
#119
USF defense
#75
EPA comparison
0.04
#119
0.16
#75
Pass EPA

Rushing

USF defense
Higher-ranked profile
TULN offense
#55
USF defense
#37
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
-0.03
#37
Rush EPA

Drive success

USF defense
Higher-ranked profile
TULN offense
#133
USF defense
#100
Success rates
34%
#133
43%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#97
0.06
#67
EPA / play
1.57
#1
1.00
#5
Explosiveness
20%
#132
15%
#84
Havoc

When South Florida has the ball

Passing

USF offense
Higher-ranked profile
TULN defense
#109
USF offense
#72
EPA comparison
0.29
#109
0.22
#72
Pass EPA

Rushing

USF offense
Higher-ranked profile
TULN defense
#107
USF offense
#45
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
0.16
#45
Rush EPA

Drive success

USF offense
Higher-ranked profile
TULN defense
#81
USF offense
#35
Success rates
42%
#81
48%
#35
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#112
0.18
#56
EPA / play
1.20
#62
1.12
#122
Explosiveness
11%
#135
11%
#22
Havoc

Current key players

Tulane
QBZeon Chriss-Gremillion
64 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
72.4134/729
RBJohnnie Daniels
168 yds · 2 TD · 3.9 YPC
78.996/1044
LBMakai Williams
20 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.2
Coverage
68.2
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
21
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
76.4151/1796
LBJean Claude Joseph III
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.4
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.4277/1796
WRZycarl Lewis Jr.
1 rec · 28 yds · 0 TD
72.2189/2069
WRBredell Richardson
7 rec · 85 yds · 0 TD
71.9195/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Jamauri McClure · RBout · 2026-09-27

    McClure is managing a foot injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Zycarl Lewis Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Lewis Jr. is bothered by a left injury, and his status is unknown against Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Maurice Turner · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Turner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Antwaun Parham · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Parham is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

South Florida
QBMichael Van Buren Jr.
896 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
87.231/729
RBTray Kinkle
67 yds · 0 TD · 13.4 YPC
84.343/1044
LBZavier Hamilton
27 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.0
Coverage
66.1
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
14
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
75.4171/1796
SIsrael Boyce
17 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.1
Coverage
72.7
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
75.1193/2969
WRKenny Odom
1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD
74.8128/2069
LBChristian Smith
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.6196/1796
Availability reports · 3
  • Cameron Seldon · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Seldon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Arhmad Branch · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Branch is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.

  • Jaden Alexis · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Alexis is battling with an undisclosed injury, and and it is unclear if he will play against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TULN
USF
vs
Offense
72.4
#94 of 138
QB
87.2
#29 of 138
75.5
#68 of 138
RB
83.2
#19 of 138
69.7
#85 of 138
WR
72.3
#54 of 138
65.0
#89 of 138
TE
60.4
#116 of 138
61.6
#122 of 138
OL
68.3
#65 of 138
Defense
78.4
#21 of 138
DL
72.2
#81 of 138
72.1
#86 of 138
LB
74.6
#63 of 138
67.8
#120 of 138
DB
72.3
#67 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Tulane
opponent
South Florida
A-3.0
ARMY#53
+4.0A
H0.0
UTSA#73
-7.0A
H-1.6
MEM#70
+3.2H