CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
TEM 25.7%74.3% USF
Projected margin
USF by 9.3
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
TEM 7 to USF 28
Win probability
USF 74.3%
FinalTEM 17 · USF 13model had +9.3, off by 13.3

Current team profiles

Temple
South Florida

When Temple has the ball

Passing

TEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
TEM offense
#47
USF defense
#75
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.16
#75
Pass EPA

Rushing

USF defense
Higher-ranked profile
TEM offense
#51
USF defense
#37
EPA comparison
0.15
#51
-0.03
#37
Rush EPA

Drive success

TEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
TEM offense
#77
USF defense
#100
Success rates
43%
#77
43%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#48
0.06
#67
EPA / play
1.22
#80
1.00
#5
Explosiveness
11%
#20
15%
#84
Havoc

When South Florida has the ball

Passing

USF offense
Higher-ranked profile
TEM defense
#107
USF offense
#72
EPA comparison
0.28
#107
0.22
#72
Pass EPA

Rushing

USF offense
Higher-ranked profile
TEM defense
#112
USF offense
#45
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
0.16
#45
Rush EPA

Drive success

USF offense
Higher-ranked profile
TEM defense
#122
USF offense
#35
Success rates
46%
#122
48%
#35
Success rate
More metrics
0.19
#119
0.18
#56
EPA / play
1.18
#51
1.12
#122
Explosiveness
10%
#137
11%
#22
Havoc

Current key players

Temple
QBAjani Sheppard
631 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
78.583/729
LBTyree Alualu
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.3
Coverage
91.1
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
90.310/1796
LBJordan Montgomery
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.6
Coverage
64.8
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
88.418/1796
CBEarl Kulp
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.0
Coverage
72.9
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
1
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
75.5175/2969
RBKeveun Mason
361 yds · 2 TD · 5.3 YPC
75.0178/1044
CBAdrian Laing
10 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
59.1
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
128
Passer rating allowed
78.0
Missed tackles
1
70.5413/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Coen Logan · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Logan is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Rameir Hardy · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hardy is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaxon Smolik · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Smolik is suffering with a foot injury, and it is undetermined if he will face 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Reis Stocksdale · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stocksdale is dealing with a hamstring injury, and it is unclear if he will face 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Samuel Brown V · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Brown is suffering with a undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will face 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

South Florida
QBMichael Van Buren Jr.
896 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
87.231/729
RBTray Kinkle
67 yds · 0 TD · 13.4 YPC
84.343/1044
LBZavier Hamilton
27 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.0
Coverage
66.1
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
14
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
75.4171/1796
SIsrael Boyce
17 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.1
Coverage
72.7
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
75.1193/2969
WRKenny Odom
1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD
74.8128/2069
LBChristian Smith
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.6196/1796
Availability reports · 3
  • Cameron Seldon · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Seldon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Arhmad Branch · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Branch is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.

  • Jaden Alexis · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Alexis is battling with an undisclosed injury, and and it is unclear if he will play against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TEM
USF
vs
Offense
78.5
#65 of 138
QB
87.2
#29 of 138
71.3
#109 of 138
RB
83.2
#19 of 138
64.7
#131 of 138
WR
72.3
#54 of 138
66.5
#84 of 138
TE
60.4
#116 of 138
67.6
#72 of 138
OL
68.3
#65 of 138
Defense
72.7
#75 of 138
DL
72.2
#81 of 138
84.8
#5 of 138
LB
74.6
#63 of 138
70.2
#93 of 138
DB
72.3
#67 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Temple
opponent
South Florida
A-13.1
MEM#70
+3.2H
A-5.1
ECU#94
+5.9A
H+9.2
UAB#137
+20.2H
H-4.0
ARMY#53
+4.0A