Passing
MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM offense
- #5
- USF defense
- #75
EPA comparison
0.56
#5
0.16
#75
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Thu Nov 12 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MEM 41.8%58.2% USF
- Projected margin
- USF by 3.2
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- MEM 15 to USF 22
- Win probability
- USF 58.2%
Current team profiles
Memphis
South FloridaWhen Memphis has the ball
Rushing
MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM offense
- #25
- USF defense
- #37
EPA comparison
0.22
#25
-0.03
#37
Rush EPA
Drive success
MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM offense
- #17
- USF defense
- #100
Success rates
50%
#17
43%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.28
#22
0.06
#67
EPA / play
1.26
#50
1.00
#5
Explosiveness
11%
#14
15%
#84
Havoc
When South Florida has the ball
Passing
MEM defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM defense
- #26
- USF offense
- #72
EPA comparison
0.01
#26
0.22
#72
Pass EPA
Rushing
USF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM defense
- #119
- USF offense
- #45
EPA comparison
0.16
#119
0.16
#45
Rush EPA
Drive success
USF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM defense
- #62
- USF offense
- #35
Success rates
40%
#62
48%
#35
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#72
0.18
#56
EPA / play
1.35
#117
1.12
#122
Explosiveness
17%
#57
11%
#22
Havoc
Current key players
MemphisQBMarcus Stokes
1371 yds · 14 TD · 3 INT
85.441/729
RBDallan Hayden
172 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
88.616/1044
LBTylon Nash
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.1
- Coverage
- 73.9
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.348/1796
TEHunter Tipton
19 rec · 367 yds · 5 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 54.9
- Run blocking
- 44.5
- Penalties
- 0
77.338/1017
CBEllis Ellis Jr.
9 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.5
- Coverage
- 72.4
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 43
- Passer rating allowed
- 73.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
76.4147/2969
WRJermane Hayes
22 rec · 242 yds · 2 TD
74.8130/2069
South FloridaQBMichael Van Buren Jr.
896 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
87.231/729
RBTray Kinkle
67 yds · 0 TD · 13.4 YPC
84.343/1044
LBZavier Hamilton
27 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.0
- Coverage
- 66.1
- Pressures
- 9
- Pass-rush snaps
- 14
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.4171/1796
SIsrael Boyce
17 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.1
- Coverage
- 72.7
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 4
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.1193/2969
WRKenny Odom
1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD
74.8128/2069
LBChristian Smith
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.0
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.6196/1796
Availability reports · 3
- Cameron Seldon · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Seldon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, October 17th.
- Arhmad Branch · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Branch is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.
- Jaden Alexis · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Alexis is battling with an undisclosed injury, and and it is unclear if he will play against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MEMMemphis
USFSouth Florida
vs
Offense
85.4
#38 of 138
QB
Quarterback
87.2
#29 of 138
87.3
#5 of 138
RB
Running backs
83.2
#19 of 138
68.2
#104 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.3
#54 of 138
77.3
#32 of 138
TE
Tight ends
60.4
#116 of 138
67.2
#75 of 138
OL
Offensive line
68.3
#65 of 138
Defense
69.7
#111 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.2
#81 of 138
75.3
#57 of 138
LB
Linebackers
74.6
#63 of 138
70.9
#83 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.3
#67 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Memphis
opponent
South Florida
Hhome+13.1
TEMTemple#108-4.0Hhome
Aaway+1.6
TULNTulane#85+7.5Hhome
Hhome+9.0
ARMYArmy#53+4.0Aaway
Hhome+25.0
UABUAB#137+20.2Hhome
Hhome+10.7
ECUEast Carolina#94+5.9Aaway