AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 11:00 PM
Away
Delaware State
—
18p
#78Home
South Florida
0-0 · AVR 47.2
42p
DSU 4%96% USF
Spread
USF -24.2
Total
60
Moneyline
DSU+2178USF-2178
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
South Florida
LBMarShon Oxley
73.7114/878
STavin Ward
70.7218/1427
LBShamar Meikle
67.0191/878
CBJair Murphy
65.9337/1427
TEEvan Dangler
60.651/287
RBAlvon Isaac
60.0109/514

Projected margin

80% between 7 and 41
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKUSF +24.295% interval: 1.2 to 47.180% interval: 7.4 to 40.9+7+41DSU wins 4%USF wins 96%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ USF 42–21 DSUUSF 39–46 DSU neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesUSF 42–42 DSU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesUSF 46–39 DSU neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesUSF 49–35 DSU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUSF 53–32 DSU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesUSF 56–28 DSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUSF 60–25 DSU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUSF 63–21 DSU neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesUSF 67–18 DSU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesUSF 35–42 DSU neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesUSF 39–39 DSU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesUSF 42–35 DSU neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesUSF 46–32 DSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesUSF 49–28 DSU neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesUSF 53–25 DSU neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesUSF 56–21 DSU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesUSF 60–18 DSU neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesUSF 63–14 DSU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesUSF 32–39 DSU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesUSF 35–35 DSU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesUSF 39–32 DSU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUSF 42–28 DSU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesUSF 46–25 DSU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesUSF 49–21 DSU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesUSF 53–18 DSU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesUSF 56–14 DSU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUSF 60–11 DSU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesUSF 28–35 DSU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesUSF 32–32 DSU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesUSF 35–28 DSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSF 39–25 DSU neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesUSF 42–21 DSU neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesUSF 46–18 DSU neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesUSF 49–14 DSU neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesUSF 53–11 DSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUSF 56–7 DSU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesUSF 25–32 DSU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesUSF 28–28 DSU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesUSF 32–25 DSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUSF 35–21 DSU neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesUSF 39–18 DSU neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesUSF 42–14 DSU neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesUSF 46–11 DSU neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesUSF 49–7 DSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUSF 53–4 DSU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesUSF 21–28 DSU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesUSF 25–25 DSU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesUSF 28–21 DSU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUSF 32–18 DSU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesUSF 35–14 DSU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesUSF 39–11 DSU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesUSF 42–7 DSU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesUSF 46–4 DSU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUSF 49–0 DSU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesUSF 18–25 DSU neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesUSF 21–21 DSU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesUSF 25–18 DSU neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesUSF 28–14 DSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesUSF 32–11 DSU neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesUSF 35–7 DSU neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesUSF 39–4 DSU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesUSF 42–0 DSU neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)84777063564942totalDSU +7USF +7USF +21USF +35USF +49margin →