CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
DSU 0.2%99.8% USF
Projected margin
USF by 38.8
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
USF 19 to USF 59
Win probability
USF 99.8%
FinalDSU 17 · USF 59model had +38.8, off by 3.2

Current team profiles

Delaware State
South Florida

When Delaware State has the ball

Passing

No comparison
DSU offense
—
USF defense
#75
EPA comparison
—
0.16
#75
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
DSU offense
—
USF defense
#37
EPA comparison
—
-0.03
#37
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
DSU offense
#104
USF defense
#100
Success rates
40%
#104
43%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#101
0.06
#67
EPA / play
0.20
#63
1.00
#5
Explosiveness
—
15%
#84
Havoc

When South Florida has the ball

Passing

No comparison
DSU defense
—
USF offense
#72
EPA comparison
—
0.22
#72
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
DSU defense
—
USF offense
#45
EPA comparison
—
0.16
#45
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
DSU defense
#45
USF offense
#35
Success rates
43%
#45
48%
#35
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#14
0.18
#56
EPA / play
0.18
#20
1.12
#122
Explosiveness
—
11%
#22
Havoc

Current key players

Delaware State
QBUi Ale
1050 yds · 4 TD · 4 INT
85.217/370
DBJason Cole Jr.
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.4
Coverage
72.8
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
79.650/1765
DLQuoy Rainey
25 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.1
Pressures
10
Pass-rush snaps
100
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
76.393/1549
DBDerrick Thomasn Jr.
— tkl · — PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.0
Coverage
74.6
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
74.0189/1765
DBKemari Nix
39 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.0
Coverage
68.3
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
112
Passer rating allowed
133.3
Missed tackles
7
71.9277/1765
OLCJ Abell
Player detail
Pass blocking
51.4
Run blocking
75.6
Penalties
0
71.497/1368
South Florida
QBMichael Van Buren Jr.
896 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
87.231/729
RBTray Kinkle
67 yds · 0 TD · 13.4 YPC
84.343/1044
LBZavier Hamilton
27 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.0
Coverage
66.1
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
14
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
75.4171/1796
SIsrael Boyce
17 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.1
Coverage
72.7
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
75.1193/2969
WRKenny Odom
1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD
74.8128/2069
LBChristian Smith
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.6196/1796
Availability reports · 3
  • Cameron Seldon · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Seldon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Arhmad Branch · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Branch is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.

  • Jaden Alexis · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Alexis is battling with an undisclosed injury, and and it is unclear if he will play against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

DSU
USF
vs
Offense
85.2
#17 of 125
QB
87.2
#29 of 138
69.7
#79 of 126
RB
83.2
#19 of 138
67.9
#74 of 126
WR
72.3
#54 of 138
57.8
#107 of 124
TE
60.4
#116 of 138
68.9
#27 of 125
OL
68.3
#65 of 138
Defense
66.5
#106 of 126
DL
72.2
#81 of 138
66.2
#108 of 126
LB
74.6
#63 of 138
70.9
#71 of 126
DB
72.3
#67 of 138
Common opponents