Passing
USF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USF offense
- #72
- ARMY defense
- #98
EPA comparison
0.22
#72
0.25
#98
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
USF 48.3%51.7% ARMY
- Projected margin
- ARMY by 0.2
- Projected total
- 51
- 80% outcome range
- USF 18 to ARMY 19
- Win probability
- ARMY 51.7%
FinalUSF 28 · ARMY 24model had +0.2, off by 4.2
Current team profiles
South Florida
ArmyWhen South Florida has the ball
Rushing
USF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USF offense
- #45
- ARMY defense
- #122
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
0.19
#122
Rush EPA
Drive success
USF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USF offense
- #35
- ARMY defense
- #92
Success rates
48%
#35
42%
#92
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#56
0.17
#113
EPA / play
1.12
#122
1.38
#124
Explosiveness
11%
#22
13%
#111
Havoc
When Army has the ball
Passing
USF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- USF defense
- #75
- ARMY offense
- #88
EPA comparison
0.16
#75
0.14
#88
Pass EPA
Rushing
ARMY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USF defense
- #37
- ARMY offense
- #1
EPA comparison
-0.03
#37
0.36
#1
Rush EPA
Drive success
ARMY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USF defense
- #100
- ARMY offense
- #5
Success rates
43%
#100
53%
#5
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#67
0.30
#16
EPA / play
1.00
#5
1.04
#135
Explosiveness
15%
#84
8%
#4
Havoc
Current key players
South FloridaQBMichael Van Buren Jr.
896 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
87.231/729
RBTray Kinkle
67 yds · 0 TD · 13.4 YPC
84.343/1044
LBZavier Hamilton
27 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.0
- Coverage
- 66.1
- Pressures
- 9
- Pass-rush snaps
- 14
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.4171/1796
SIsrael Boyce
17 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.1
- Coverage
- 72.7
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 4
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.1193/2969
WRKenny Odom
1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD
74.8128/2069
LBChristian Smith
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.0
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.6196/1796
Availability reports · 3
- Cameron Seldon · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Seldon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, October 17th.
- Arhmad Branch · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Branch is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.
- Jaden Alexis · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Alexis is battling with an undisclosed injury, and and it is unclear if he will play against the Navy on Saturday, 17th Oct.
ArmyQBEthan Washington
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
80.369/729
WRZach Mundell
159 rush yds · 3 TD · 11 car
85.922/2069
LBKai Woolfolk
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.6
- Coverage
- 62.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.479/1796
WRSamari Howard
293 rush yds · 1 TD · 27 car
78.369/2069
RBCarson Smith
100 yds · 1 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.6139/1044
LBRyan Wells
— tkl · — TFL · — sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.6
- Coverage
- 61.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.9222/1796
Availability reports · 7
- Bryson Luter · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Lutur is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Florida Atlantic on October 17th.
- Brady Anderson · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Anderson is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Tulane on Saturday.
- Godspower Nwawuihe · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Nwawuihe is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.
- Parker Poloskey · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Poloskey is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.
- Ronan Boyle · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Boyle is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.
- Brady Mott · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Mott is managing with a undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face the Florida Atlantic on October 17th.
- Noah Dolbin · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Dolbin is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Florida Atlantic on October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
USFSouth Florida
ARMYArmy
vs
Offense
87.2
#29 of 138
QB
Quarterback
80.3
#55 of 138
83.2
#19 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.4
#79 of 138
72.3
#54 of 138
WR
Receivers
80.5
#10 of 138
60.4
#116 of 138
TE
Tight ends
67.1
#81 of 138
68.3
#65 of 138
OL
Offensive line
82.0
#1 of 138
Defense
72.2
#81 of 138
DL
Defensive line
69.7
#110 of 138
74.6
#63 of 138
LB
Linebackers
73.4
#76 of 138
72.3
#67 of 138
DB
Secondary
68.9
#113 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
South Florida
opponent
Army
Hhome+3.2
MEMMemphis#70-9.0Aaway
Hhome-4.0
TEMTemple#108+4.0Aaway
Hhome+7.5
TULNTulane#85+3.0Hhome
Aaway+5.9
ECUEast Carolina#94+4.4Hhome
Aaway+10.3
FAUFlorida Atlantic#88+8.8Hhome