CFB
Model
All rankings
Mid-American

Bowling Green

Falcons2-49th in Mid-American
Doyt L. Perry Stadium · Bowling Green, OH · 24,000
TeamOvermatched
OffenseStuck in the mud passing attack · poorweak point: run game, 136th
DefenseBuilt to defend the pass · weakweak point: run defense, 121st

The season

Best win
W 24-20 @ #115 Miami (OH)
Wk 5 · Oct 3 · won as a 19% underdog
Worst loss
L 13-20 vs #128 Tarleton State
Wk 1 · Sep 5 · lost as a 61% favorite

Schedule

model 4/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsTarleton State
    L 13–20
    Win chance 61%Model margin +3.8Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    L 7–56
    Win chance 2%Model margin -28.9Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    L 7–55
    Win chance 2%Model margin -29.1Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    L 6–14
    Win chance 4%Model margin -23.0Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    W 24–20
    Win chance 19%Model margin -12.1Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    W 38–10
    Win chance 71%Model margin +7.5Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    Win chance 66%Model margin +5.4Game details
  8. Week 8 · Oct 24
    Win chance 42%Model margin -2.8Game details
  9. Week 9 · Oct 31
    Win chance 24%Model margin -9.7Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 11
    Win chance 62%Model margin +4.2Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    Win chance 9%Model margin -17.8Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    Win chance 77%Model margin +10.1Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
8
#136 of 138
Defense efficiency
23
#111 of 138
Efficiency
#126-0.03
EPA / play
#950.13
#870.15
Pass
#750.16
#136-0.12
Rush
#1210.18
#12338%
Success
#11746%
Big plays & havoc
#1341.05
Explosive
#821.24
#10917%
Havoc
#10714%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB128th
RB56th
WR134th
TE66th
OL130th
DL117th
LB138th
DB125th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Austin NovosadJR
-1 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
61.2
259th QB
FB
Leo KempSR
30 yds · 1 TD · 6.0 YPC
85.2
36th RB
WR
Winn SharpSO
15 rec · 217 yds · 1 TD
72.4
184th WR
WR
Pierce St GemeSO
— rec · — yds · — TD
60.0
758th WR
TE
Trent TaylorFR
— rec · — yds · — TD
69.8
99th TE
Defense
LB
Cashmire LewisFR
22 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
68.9
416th LB
LB
Sanders EllisJR
14 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
59.7
902nd LB
S
Kal-El PascalJR
38 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
69.7
463rd DB
S
D'kyah BanksSO
6 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
68.1
588th DB
DB
Drey BraxtonJR
21 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
68.1
590th DB

Injury report

2 out
out
Austin ClayWR

Clay is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

68.9202509-26
out
Isaiah DawsonWR

Dawson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

82.9202510-10
Ques.
Ke'Marion BaldwinRB

Baldwin is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Ball State on Saturday, October 17th.

68.510-10

Past seasons

Year by year
-4.4 points since 2022
304050607051.8202255.6202358.6202447.52025
2022 51.82023 55.62024 58.62025 47.5

2025

4-8
D-I rank
#139
Rating
47.5
Listed games · 12
WLWLLWLLLLLW
246 pts scored291 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs LafayetteW 26–7
  2. W2 at CincinnatiL 20–34
  3. W3 vs LibertyW 23–13
  4. W4 at LouisvilleL 17–40
  5. W5 at OhioL 20–35
  6. W7 vs ToledoW 28–23
  7. W8 vs Central MichiganL 6–27
  8. W9 at Kent StateL 21–24
  9. W10 vs BuffaloL 3–28
  10. W11 at Eastern MichiganL 21–27
  11. W13 vs AkronL 16–19
  12. W14 at MassachusettsW 45–14

2024

7-5
D-I rank
#77
Rating
58.6
Listed games · 12
WLLLWLWWWWWL
321 pts scored243 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs FordhamW 41–17
  2. W2 at Penn StateL 27–34
  3. W4 at Texas A&ML 20–26
  4. W5 vs Old DominionL 27–30
  5. W6 at AkronW 27–20
  6. W7 vs Northern IllinoisL 7–17
  7. W8 vs Kent StateW 27–6
  8. W9 at ToledoW 41–26
  9. W11 at Central MichiganW 23–13
  10. W12 vs Western MichiganW 31–13
  11. W13 at Ball StateW 38–13
  12. W14 vs Miami (OH)L 12–28

2023

7-5
D-I rank
#87
Rating
55.6
Listed games · 12
LWLLWLWWWWLW
316 pts scored282 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at LibertyL 24–34
  2. W2 vs Eastern IllinoisW 38–15
  3. W3 at MichiganL 6–31
  4. W4 vs OhioL 7–38
  5. W5 at Georgia TechW 38–27
  6. W6 at Miami (OH)L 0–27
  7. W7 at BuffaloW 24–14
  8. W8 vs AkronW 41–14
  9. W10 vs Ball StateW 24–21
  10. W11 at Kent StateW 49–19
  11. W12 vs ToledoL 31–32
  12. W13 at Western MichiganW 34–10

2022

6-6
D-I rank
#117
Rating
51.8
Listed games · 12
LLWLWLWWWLWL
286 pts scored399 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at UCLAL 17–45
  2. W2 vs Eastern KentuckyL 57–59
  3. W3 vs MarshallW 34–31
  4. W4 at Mississippi StateL 14–45
  5. W5 at AkronW 31–28
  6. W6 vs BuffaloL 7–38
  7. W7 vs Miami (OH)W 17–13
  8. W8 at Central MichiganW 34–18
  9. W10 vs Western MichiganW 13–9
  10. W11 vs Kent StateL 6–40
  11. W12 at ToledoW 42–35
  12. W13 at OhioL 14–38