Passing
NEB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BGSU offense
- #87
- NEB defense
- #7
EPA comparison
0.15
#87
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
BGSU 2.3%97.7% NEB
- Projected margin
- NEB by 28.9
- Projected total
- 49
- 80% outcome range
- NEB 8 to NEB 47
- Win probability
- NEB 97.7%
FinalBGSU 7 · NEB 56model had +28.9, off by 20.1
Current team profiles
Bowling GreenNebraskaWhen Bowling Green has the ball
Rushing
NEB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BGSU offense
- #136
- NEB defense
- #63
EPA comparison
-0.12
#136
0.03
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
NEB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BGSU offense
- #123
- NEB defense
- #18
Success rates
38%
#123
34%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
-0.03
#126
-0.02
#35
EPA / play
1.05
#134
1.36
#120
Explosiveness
17%
#109
19%
#28
Havoc
When Nebraska has the ball
Passing
NEB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BGSU defense
- #75
- NEB offense
- #47
EPA comparison
0.16
#75
0.28
#47
Pass EPA
Rushing
NEB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BGSU defense
- #121
- NEB offense
- #3
EPA comparison
0.18
#121
0.33
#3
Rush EPA
Drive success
NEB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BGSU defense
- #117
- NEB offense
- #36
Success rates
46%
#117
48%
#36
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#95
0.31
#14
EPA / play
1.24
#82
1.38
#14
Explosiveness
14%
#107
13%
#37
Havoc
Current key players
Bowling GreenQBAustin Novosad
-1 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
61.2259/729
FBLeo Kemp
30 yds · 1 TD · 6.0 YPC
85.236/1044
WRWinn Sharp
15 rec · 217 yds · 1 TD
72.4184/2069
TETrent Taylor
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 68.4
- Penalties
- 0
69.899/1017
SKal-El Pascal
38 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.4
- Coverage
- 69.3
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 67
- Passer rating allowed
- 99.5
- Missed tackles
- 5
69.7463/2969
LBCashmire Lewis
22 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.9
- Coverage
- 61.5
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
68.9416/1796
Availability reports · 3
- Austin Clay · WRout · 2026-09-26
Clay is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Isaiah Dawson · WRout · 2026-10-10
Dawson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Ke'Marion Baldwin · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Baldwin is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Ball State on Saturday, October 17th.
NebraskaQBAnthony Colandrea
1142 yds · 13 TD · 2 INT
91.110/729
RBJamal Rule
333 yds · 5 TD · 7.9 YPC
86.229/1044
LBDerek Wacker
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.4
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.133/1796
LBOwen Chambliss
26 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.0
- Coverage
- 83.4
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 16
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
83.057/1796
CBAndrew Marshall
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.6
- Coverage
- 76.4
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 13
- Passer rating allowed
- 34.7
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.7104/2969
CBVictor Evans III
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.0
- Coverage
- 73.4
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 46
- Passer rating allowed
- 65.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.1269/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Riley Van Poppel · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Van Poppel is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.
- Larry Miles · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Miles is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.
- Carter Nelson · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Nelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but it is yet to established if he will play against the Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
BGSUBowling Green
NEBNebraska
vs
Offense
61.2
#128 of 138
QB
Quarterback
91.1
#11 of 138
76.8
#56 of 138
RB
Running backs
83.2
#18 of 138
64.1
#134 of 138
WR
Receivers
69.6
#86 of 138
69.8
#66 of 138
TE
Tight ends
67.3
#79 of 138
60.3
#130 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.7
#41 of 138
Defense
68.9
#117 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.8
#27 of 138
62.2
#138 of 138
LB
Linebackers
79.3
#25 of 138
67.0
#125 of 138
DB
Secondary
71.6
#74 of 138