Passing
WMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BGSU offense
- #87
- WMU defense
- #65
EPA comparison
0.15
#87
0.12
#65
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
BGSU 27.0%73.0% WMU
- Projected margin
- WMU by 9.7
- Projected total
- 47
- 80% outcome range
- BGSU 9 to WMU 28
- Win probability
- WMU 73.0%
Current team profiles
Bowling GreenWestern MichiganWhen Bowling Green has the ball
Rushing
WMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BGSU offense
- #136
- WMU defense
- #47
EPA comparison
-0.12
#136
0.00
#47
Rush EPA
Drive success
WMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BGSU offense
- #123
- WMU defense
- #105
Success rates
38%
#123
44%
#105
Success rate
More metrics
-0.03
#126
0.06
#64
EPA / play
1.05
#134
1.08
#16
Explosiveness
17%
#109
13%
#109
Havoc
When Western Michigan has the ball
Passing
BGSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BGSU defense
- #75
- WMU offense
- #92
EPA comparison
0.16
#75
0.13
#92
Pass EPA
Rushing
WMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BGSU defense
- #121
- WMU offense
- #51
EPA comparison
0.18
#121
0.15
#51
Rush EPA
Drive success
WMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BGSU defense
- #117
- WMU offense
- #85
Success rates
46%
#117
42%
#85
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#95
0.14
#73
EPA / play
1.24
#82
1.15
#108
Explosiveness
14%
#107
13%
#42
Havoc
Current key players
Bowling GreenQBAustin Novosad
-1 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
61.2259/729
FBLeo Kemp
30 yds · 1 TD · 6.0 YPC
85.236/1044
WRWinn Sharp
15 rec · 217 yds · 1 TD
72.4184/2069
TETrent Taylor
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 68.4
- Penalties
- 0
69.899/1017
SKal-El Pascal
38 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.4
- Coverage
- 69.3
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 67
- Passer rating allowed
- 99.5
- Missed tackles
- 5
69.7463/2969
LBCashmire Lewis
22 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.9
- Coverage
- 61.5
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
68.9416/1796
Availability reports · 3
- Austin Clay · WRout · 2026-09-26
Clay is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Isaiah Dawson · WRout · 2026-10-10
Dawson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Ke'Marion Baldwin · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Baldwin is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Ball State on Saturday, October 17th.
Western MichiganQBTrey Petty
54 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
90.815/729
LBJustyce Betts
35 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 87.8
- Coverage
- 78.1
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
88.121/1796
WRAveion Chenault
18 rec · 272 yds · 1 TD
82.240/2069
LBDillon Moore
28 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.1
- Coverage
- 68.3
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 2
80.775/1796
RBJalen Buckley
287 yds · 5 TD · 4.6 YPC
77.6122/1044
TENate Levicki
8 rec · 112 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 63.6
- Run blocking
- 68.3
- Penalties
- 0
75.545/1017
Availability reports · 1
- Michael Dersa · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Dersa is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Chippewas on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
BGSUBowling Green
WMUWestern Michigan
vs
Offense
61.2
#128 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.8
#15 of 138
76.8
#56 of 138
RB
Running backs
68.5
#126 of 138
64.1
#134 of 138
WR
Receivers
69.5
#88 of 138
69.8
#66 of 138
TE
Tight ends
75.5
#36 of 138
60.3
#130 of 138
OL
Offensive line
60.3
#131 of 138
Defense
68.9
#117 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.6
#28 of 138
62.2
#138 of 138
LB
Linebackers
78.8
#28 of 138
67.0
#125 of 138
DB
Secondary
68.9
#112 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Bowling Green
opponent
Western Michigan
Hhome+4.2
KENTKent State#161+31.0Hhome
Aaway-17.8
TOLToledo#80-10.7Aaway
Aaway-2.8
BUFBuffalo#149+3.0Aaway
Aaway+4.0
M-OHMiami (OH)#115+3.6Hhome