AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 12:00 PM
Away
Tarleton State
—
23p
#114Home
Bowling Green
0-0 · AVR 34.6
25p
TAR 48%52% BGSU
Spread
BGSU -1.7
Total
48
Moneyline
TAR+110BGSU-110
Against the market
TAR +0.8line BGSU -2.5

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Bowling Green
CBJoJo Johnson
79.791/1427
LBDorian Pringle
69.1161/878
DBJayT Jackson
69.1259/1427
SKal-El Pascal
65.6342/1427
LBAndrew Hines III
64.8216/878
QBAustin Novosad
53.1119/308

Projected margin

80% between -18 and 21
-14-7+7+14PKBGSU +1.7MKT95% interval: -28 to 3280% interval: -18 to 21-18+21TAR wins 48%BGSU wins 52%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ BGSU 25–25 TARBGSU 21–49 TAR neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesBGSU 25–46 TAR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesBGSU 28–42 TAR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesBGSU 32–39 TAR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesBGSU 35–35 TAR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBGSU 39–32 TAR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBGSU 42–28 TAR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesBGSU 46–25 TAR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesBGSU 49–21 TAR neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesBGSU 18–46 TAR neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesBGSU 21–42 TAR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesBGSU 25–39 TAR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesBGSU 28–35 TAR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBGSU 32–32 TAR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesBGSU 35–28 TAR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBGSU 39–25 TAR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBGSU 42–21 TAR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesBGSU 46–18 TAR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesBGSU 14–42 TAR neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesBGSU 18–39 TAR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesBGSU 21–35 TAR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBGSU 25–32 TAR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesBGSU 28–28 TAR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesBGSU 32–25 TAR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesBGSU 35–21 TAR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBGSU 39–18 TAR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesBGSU 42–14 TAR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesBGSU 11–39 TAR neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesBGSU 14–35 TAR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesBGSU 18–32 TAR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBGSU 21–28 TAR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesBGSU 25–25 TAR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesBGSU 28–21 TAR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesBGSU 32–18 TAR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBGSU 35–14 TAR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesBGSU 39–11 TAR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesBGSU 7–35 TAR neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesBGSU 11–32 TAR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesBGSU 14–28 TAR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBGSU 18–25 TAR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesBGSU 21–21 TAR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesBGSU 25–18 TAR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesBGSU 28–14 TAR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBGSU 32–11 TAR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesBGSU 35–7 TAR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesBGSU 4–32 TAR neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesBGSU 7–28 TAR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesBGSU 11–25 TAR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesBGSU 14–21 TAR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBGSU 18–18 TAR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesBGSU 21–14 TAR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesBGSU 25–11 TAR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBGSU 28–7 TAR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesBGSU 32–4 TAR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesBGSU 0–28 TAR neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesBGSU 4–25 TAR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesBGSU 7–21 TAR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesBGSU 11–18 TAR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBGSU 14–14 TAR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBGSU 18–11 TAR neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBGSU 21–7 TAR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesBGSU 25–4 TAR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesBGSU 28–0 TAR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomes70635649423528totalTAR +28TAR +14PKBGSU +14BGSU +28margin →