Tarleton State

24 teams: eleven conference champions take automatic bids and thirteen are chosen at large. The top eight are seeded and skip the first round. Automatic bid in 57% of runs.

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

Wk	Opponent	Result	Projected	Win prob
1	vs#208Prairie View A&M	W49–30	+21.8	88%
2	at#194McNeese	W27–24	+18.8	87%
3	vs#221Merrimack	W45–20	+30.0	97%
5	vs#260Chicago State	W56–21	+44.2	>99%
6	at#116Austin Peay	W40–32	+3.1	57%
7	vs#201Central ArkansasWin chance 94% · Margin 25.2	—	+25.2	94%
8	at#235West GeorgiaWin chance 75% · Margin 11.3	—	+11.3	75%
9	vs#196Eastern KentuckyWin chance 90% · Margin 21.2	—	+21.2	90%
10	vs#157Abilene ChristianWin chance 79% · Margin 13.5	—	+13.5	79%
11	at#153West FloridaWin chance 79% · Margin 13.2	—	+13.2	79%
12	at#176North AlabamaWin chance 84% · Margin 16.4	—	+16.4	84%

Roster and position units

Roster mean 76.5 · Offense 78.3 · Defense 74.6

Mean across rated position-depth slots; missing slots excluded. AVR aggregation of vendor player grades, not a vendor-issued team grade.

Mean overall grade of each unit’s top-rated players, as of week 6. Ranks are within FCS.