Mid-American

Sacramento State

Hornets1-513th in Mid-American

Hornet Stadium · Sacramento, CA · 21,195

TeamShort on both sides · undone by bad losses

OffensePoor attackweak point: explosiveness, 138th

DefenseStingy until it breaks · weak · stout against the runweak point: generating pressure, 130th

The season

Best win

W 52-0 vs #262 Mississippi Valley State

Wk 1 · Sep 5 · model had 100%

Worst loss

L 10-38 @ #144 Bowling Green

Wk 6 · Oct 10 · model had 29%

Schedule

model 6/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

Week 1 · Aug 29
atEastern Michigan
L 17–28
Win chance 32%Model margin -6.4Game details
Week 1 · Sep 5
vsMississippi Valley State
W 52–0
Win chance >99%Model margin +37.9Game details
Week 2 · Sep 12
atFresno State
L 3–49
Win chance 23%Model margin -10.0Game details
Week 3 · Sep 19
vsNorth Dakota State
L 10–31
Win chance 5%Model margin -21.8Game details
Week 4 · Sep 26
vsMassachusetts
L 6–35
Win chance 33%Model margin -5.8Game details
Week 6 · Oct 10
atBowling Green
L 10–38
Win chance 29%Model margin -7.5Game details
Week 7 · Oct 17
vsOhio
Win chance 25%Model margin -8.9Game details
Week 8 · Oct 24
atBall State
Win chance 31%Model margin -6.8Game details
Week 9 · Oct 31
vsKent State
Win chance 42%Model margin -2.6Game details
Week 10 · Nov 4
vsToledo
Win chance 8%Model margin -19.3Game details
Week 11 · Nov 11
atCentral Michigan
Win chance 15%Model margin -13.8Game details
Week 13 · Nov 29
atHawai'i
Win chance 17%Model margin -12.7Game details

Wk	Opponent	Win prob	Result	Model	± Exp	Game page
1	at#131Eastern Michigan	32%	L 17-28	-6.4âœ“	-5	›
1	vs#262Mississippi Valley State	100%	W 52-0	+37.9âœ“	+14	›
2	at#69Fresno State	23%	L 3-49	-10.0âœ“	-36	›
3	vs#61North Dakota State	5%	L 10-31	-21.8âœ“	+1	›
4	vs#134Massachusetts	33%	L 6-35	-5.8âœ“	-23	›
6	at#144Bowling Green	29%	L 10-38	-7.5âœ“	-21	›
7	vs#107Ohio	25%	Oct 17	-8.9	—	›
8	at#164Ball State	31%	Oct 24	-6.8	—	›
9	vs#161Kent State	42%	Oct 31	-2.6	—	›
10	vs#80Toledo	8%	Nov 4	-19.3	—	›
11	at#138Central Michigan	15%	Nov 11	-13.8	—	›
13	at#135Hawai'i	17%	Nov 29	-12.7	—	›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138

Offense efficiency

#132 of 138

Defense efficiency

#93 of 138

Efficiency

#131-0.07

EPA / play

#970.13

#125-0.01

Pass

#1190.34

#129-0.09

Rush

#630.03

#9441%

Success

#4137%

Big plays & havoc

#1381.00

Explosive

#1291.40

#11417%

Havoc

#13011%

Position groupsby overall player grade

QB70th

RB54th

WR79th

TE75th

OL98th

DL54th

LB67th

DB95th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade

Offense

Jaylen PattersonFR

â€” yds Â· â€” TD Â· â€” INT

77.8

92nd QB

Daniel SwinneyJR

139 yds Â· 1 TD Â· 5.0 YPC

80.1

81st RB

Matt ColemanSR

26 rec Â· 369 yds Â· 3 TD

74.3

138th WR

Onterrio Smith Jr.JR

22 rec Â· 240 yds Â· 1 TD

69.2

290th WR

Elijah HuddleSO

1 rec Â· 9 yds Â· 0 TD

68.6

120th TE

Defense

Diego DavisSR

5 tkl Â· 1.0 TFL Â· 1.0 sk

79.0

96th LB

Leki HolaniFR

11 tkl Â· 0.0 TFL Â· 0.0 sk

74.5

200th LB

Joshua HolaniFR

5 tkl Â· 0 PD Â· 0 INT

77.5

109th DB

Noah KingFR

3 tkl Â· 0 PD Â· 0 INT

71.9

337th DB

Dionte ThorntonSR

17 tkl Â· 1 PD Â· 0 INT

71.1

370th DB

Injury report

8 listed

Ques.

Elijah HuddleTE

Huddle is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

68.610-10

Ques.

Jamar CurtisRB

Curtis is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

65.010-10

Ques.

Jordan WilliamsTE

Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

54.310-10

Ques.

Ajon BryantWR

Bryant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

—10-10

Ques.

Bryant CollinsRB

Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

—10-10

Ques.

Curron BordersRB

Borders is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

—10-10

Ques.

Davion GodleyRB

Godley is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

83.6202510-10

Ques.

Kenneth PeevyWR

Peevy is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

—10-10

Past seasons

Year by year

-16.1 points since 2022

2022 60.82023 50.72024 42.22025 44.7

2025

7-5

D-I rank: #154
Rating: 44.7

2024

3-9

D-I rank: #167
Rating: 42.2

2023

7-4

D-I rank: #116
Rating: 50.7

2022

12-1

D-I rank: #69
Rating: 60.8