AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Mid-American

Sacramento State

Hornets0-06th in Mid-American
Hornet Stadium · Sacramento, CA · 21,195
Rank —
111
Rating
35.0
TeamTalent-poor roster
OffenseUnprovenweak point: quarterback, 140th
DefenseUnprovenweak point: linebacker, 152nd

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
at#112Eastern Michigan
13%
Aug 2919-34p›
1
vsMississippi Valley State
100%
Sep 546-11p›
2
at#87Fresno State
44%
Sep 1327-29p›
3
vs#81North Dakota State
56%
Sep 2029-27p›
4
vs#138Massachusetts
98%
Sep 2642-13p›
6
at#114Bowling Green
61%
Oct 1029-25p›
7
vs#101Ohio
65%
Oct 1731-26p›
8
at#136Ball State
82%
Oct 2434-22p›
9
vs#128Kent State
86%
Oct 3136-22p›
10
vs#73Toledo
53%
Nov 428-27p›
11
at#107Central Michigan
61%
Nov 1130-26p›
13
at#90Hawai'i
44%
Nov 2827-29p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#13839
Talent
#13830
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB140th
RB137th
WR144th
DL104th
LB152nd
DB159th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named3 ratedavg 41.42025 ratings
X38.4
M. Coleman
WR · SR657th
LT—
B. Summers
OL · SR
LG—
G. Blank
OL · FR
C—
J. Guilbert
OL · JR
RG—
S. Key
OL · SR
RT—
V. Soifua
OL · SR
TE—
J. Williams
TE · SR
SL—
J. Fresques
WR · SO
Z—
J. Wilson
WR · SR
QB39.5
C. Conklin
QB · JR283rd
RB46.2
C. Rhaney
RB · SO403rd

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Carson ConklinJR
39.5
283rd QB
RB
Cincere RhaneySO
46.2
403rd RB
WR
Matt ColemanSR
38.4
657th WR
Defense
LB
Tim ThomasSR
28.6
803rd LB
S
Boogsie SilveraSR
33.6
1181st DB

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

0%–4% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W10
vs#73Toledo
0% lose3% win
±0.8
likely move
in odds
53% to win
W7
vs#101Ohio
0% lose2% win
±0.7
likely move
in odds
64% to win
W11
at#107Central Michigan
0% lose2% win
±0.6
likely move
in odds
60% to win
W6
at#114Bowling Green
1% lose2% win
±0.5
likely move
in odds
60% to win
W3
vs#81North Dakota State
1% lose2% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
55% to win
W13
at#90Hawai'i
1% lose2% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
44% to win
W8
at#136Ball State
0% lose2% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
80% to win
W1
atMississippi Valley State
1% lose4% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
14% to win