Passing
MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS offense
- #36
- SAC defense
- #119
EPA comparison
0.35
#36
0.34
#119
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 9:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MASS 65.5%34.5% SAC
- Projected margin
- MASS by 5.8
- Projected total
- 48
- 80% outcome range
- MASS 27 to SAC 15
- Win probability
- MASS 65.5%
FinalMASS 35 · SAC 6model had -5.8, off by 23.2
Current team profiles
Massachusetts
Sacramento StateWhen Massachusetts has the ball
Rushing
MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS offense
- #61
- SAC defense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.13
#61
0.03
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
SAC defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS offense
- #66
- SAC defense
- #41
Success rates
44%
#66
37%
#41
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#45
0.13
#97
EPA / play
1.24
#68
1.40
#129
Explosiveness
12%
#27
11%
#130
Havoc
When Sacramento State has the ball
Passing
MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS defense
- #52
- SAC offense
- #125
EPA comparison
0.09
#52
-0.01
#125
Pass EPA
Rushing
MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS defense
- #27
- SAC offense
- #129
EPA comparison
-0.07
#27
-0.09
#129
Rush EPA
Drive success
MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS defense
- #57
- SAC offense
- #94
Success rates
39%
#57
41%
#94
Success rate
More metrics
-0.03
#31
-0.07
#131
EPA / play
1.10
#21
1.00
#138
Explosiveness
15%
#89
17%
#114
Havoc
Current key players
MassachusettsQBWilliam Watson III
820 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
85.143/729
LBTimmy Hinspeter
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.0
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.826/1796
RBCurtis Kimmons IV
262 yds · 3 TD · 5.8 YPC
82.156/1044
WRJabari Lewis
10 rec · 152 yds · 0 TD
78.766/2069
SJahmad Harmon
10 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.3
- Coverage
- 72.0
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 71
- Passer rating allowed
- 32.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.5144/2969
LBDinos Drossos
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.4
- Coverage
- 64.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.2209/1796
Availability reports · 3
- J. Washington · RBout · 2026-10-10
Washington has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Joseph Griffin Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Griffin is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.
- Dallas Elliott · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Elliott is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.
Sacramento StateQBJaylen Patterson
— yds · — TD · — INT
77.892/729
RBDaniel Swinney
139 yds · 1 TD · 5.0 YPC
80.181/1044
LBDiego Davis
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.0
- Coverage
- 61.5
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.096/1796
SJoshua Holani
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.2
- Coverage
- 63.6
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.5109/2969
LBLeki Holani
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.5
- Coverage
- 67.1
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.5200/1796
WRMatt Coleman
26 rec · 369 yds · 3 TD
74.3138/2069
Availability reports · 8
- Elijah Huddle · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Huddle is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jamar Curtis · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Curtis is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jordan Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Ajon Bryant · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Bryant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Bryant Collins · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Curron Borders · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Borders is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Davion Godley · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Godley is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Kenneth Peevy · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Peevy is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MASSMassachusetts
SACSacramento State
vs
Offense
85.1
#39 of 138
QB
Quarterback
77.8
#70 of 138
81.3
#29 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.9
#54 of 138
73.6
#45 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.0
#79 of 138
66.0
#86 of 138
TE
Tight ends
68.6
#75 of 138
63.7
#107 of 138
OL
Offensive line
64.7
#98 of 138
Defense
77.1
#34 of 138
DL
Defensive line
75.0
#54 of 138
77.4
#41 of 138
LB
Linebackers
74.3
#67 of 138
72.8
#59 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.2
#95 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Massachusetts
opponent
Sacramento State
Aaway-10.1
BGSUBowling Green#144-28.0Aaway
Hhome-24.0
EMUEastern Michigan#131-11.0Aaway
Aaway-25.2
TOLToledo#80-19.3Hhome
Hhome-2.1
BALLBall State#164-6.8Aaway