Passing
FRES defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SAC offense
- #125
- FRES defense
- #49
EPA comparison
-0.01
#125
0.08
#49
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 10:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SAC 26.4%73.6% FRES
- Projected margin
- FRES by 10.0
- Projected total
- 46
- 80% outcome range
- SAC 10 to FRES 31
- Win probability
- FRES 73.6%
FinalSAC 3 · FRES 49model had +10.0, off by 36.0
Current team profiles
Sacramento StateFresno StateWhen Sacramento State has the ball
Rushing
FRES defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SAC offense
- #129
- FRES defense
- #56
EPA comparison
-0.09
#129
0.02
#56
Rush EPA
Drive success
FRES defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SAC offense
- #94
- FRES defense
- #83
Success rates
41%
#94
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
-0.07
#131
0.02
#51
EPA / play
1.00
#138
1.17
#43
Explosiveness
17%
#114
15%
#93
Havoc
When Fresno State has the ball
Passing
FRES offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SAC defense
- #119
- FRES offense
- #31
EPA comparison
0.34
#119
0.37
#31
Pass EPA
Rushing
SAC defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SAC defense
- #63
- FRES offense
- #113
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
-0.01
#113
Rush EPA
Drive success
SAC defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SAC defense
- #41
- FRES offense
- #108
Success rates
37%
#41
39%
#108
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#97
0.14
#72
EPA / play
1.40
#129
1.35
#17
Explosiveness
11%
#130
13%
#31
Havoc
Current key players
Sacramento StateQBJaylen Patterson
— yds · — TD · — INT
77.892/729
RBDaniel Swinney
139 yds · 1 TD · 5.0 YPC
80.181/1044
LBDiego Davis
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.0
- Coverage
- 61.5
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.096/1796
SJoshua Holani
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.2
- Coverage
- 63.6
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.5109/2969
LBLeki Holani
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.5
- Coverage
- 67.1
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.5200/1796
WRMatt Coleman
26 rec · 369 yds · 3 TD
74.3138/2069
Availability reports · 8
- Elijah Huddle · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Huddle is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jamar Curtis · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Curtis is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jordan Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Ajon Bryant · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Bryant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Bryant Collins · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Curron Borders · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Borders is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Davion Godley · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Godley is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Kenneth Peevy · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Peevy is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
Fresno StateQBJayden Mandal
1034 yds · 6 TD · 1 INT
69.6157/729
WRJaylen Garrison
1 rec · 17 yds · 0 TD
87.913/2069
DBSimeon Harris
24 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.2
- Coverage
- 89.7
- Targets allowed
- 21
- Rec allowed
- 12
- Yards allowed
- 94
- Passer rating allowed
- 28.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
87.715/2969
RBRayshon Luke
286 yds · 1 TD · 6.8 YPC
83.447/1044
LBJustin Johnson
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.7
- Coverage
- 78.2
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
82.659/1796
WRJosiah Freeman
25 rec · 322 yds · 2 TD
76.992/2069
Availability reports · 3
- Brandon Ramirez · RBout · 2026-08-11
Ramirez is out of action due to an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Rayshon Luke · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Luke is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against the State Aztecs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Harold Duvall · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Duvall is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the State Aztecs on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
SACSacramento State
FRESFresno State
vs
Offense
77.8
#70 of 138
QB
Quarterback
69.6
#102 of 138
76.9
#54 of 138
RB
Running backs
77.3
#52 of 138
70.0
#79 of 138
WR
Receivers
79.1
#13 of 138
68.6
#75 of 138
TE
Tight ends
64.3
#95 of 138
64.7
#98 of 138
OL
Offensive line
59.1
#136 of 138
Defense
75.0
#54 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.0
#87 of 138
74.3
#67 of 138
LB
Linebackers
72.3
#85 of 138
70.2
#95 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.5
#28 of 138