CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Wed Nov 11 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
SAC 18.8%81.2% CMU
Projected margin
CMU by 13.8
Projected total
51
80% outcome range
SAC 5 to CMU 32
Win probability
CMU 81.2%

Current team profiles

Sacramento State
Central Michigan

When Sacramento State has the ball

Passing

CMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
SAC offense
#125
CMU defense
#71
EPA comparison
-0.01
#125
0.15
#71
Pass EPA

Rushing

CMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
SAC offense
#129
CMU defense
#107
EPA comparison
-0.09
#129
0.14
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

SAC offense
Higher-ranked profile
SAC offense
#94
CMU defense
#126
Success rates
41%
#94
47%
#126
Success rate
More metrics
-0.07
#131
0.15
#108
EPA / play
1.00
#138
1.11
#24
Explosiveness
17%
#114
15%
#90
Havoc

When Central Michigan has the ball

Passing

SAC defense
Higher-ranked profile
SAC defense
#119
CMU offense
#130
EPA comparison
0.34
#119
-0.06
#130
Pass EPA

Rushing

CMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
SAC defense
#63
CMU offense
#45
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
0.16
#45
Rush EPA

Drive success

SAC defense
Higher-ranked profile
SAC defense
#41
CMU offense
#119
Success rates
37%
#41
38%
#119
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#97
0.06
#103
EPA / play
1.40
#129
1.24
#66
Explosiveness
11%
#130
14%
#50
Havoc

Current key players

Sacramento State
QBJaylen Patterson
— yds · — TD · — INT
77.892/729
RBDaniel Swinney
139 yds · 1 TD · 5.0 YPC
80.181/1044
LBDiego Davis
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.0
Coverage
61.5
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
79.096/1796
SJoshua Holani
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
84.2
Coverage
63.6
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
77.5109/2969
LBLeki Holani
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.5
Coverage
67.1
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.5200/1796
WRMatt Coleman
26 rec · 369 yds · 3 TD
74.3138/2069
Availability reports · 8
  • Elijah Huddle · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Huddle is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jamar Curtis · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Curtis is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jordan Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ajon Bryant · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Bryant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bryant Collins · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Curron Borders · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Borders is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Davion Godley · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Godley is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Kenneth Peevy · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Peevy is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

Central Michigan
QBAngel Flores
201 yds · 1 TD · 2 INT
76.4101/729
DBCoen Ali
10 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
81.2
Coverage
88.0
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
46.3
Missed tackles
2
88.114/2969
DBJustin Taylor
27 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.6
Coverage
89.0
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
27
Passer rating allowed
11.5
Missed tackles
2
84.826/2969
RBJayden Clerveaux
219 yds · 1 TD · 5.9 YPC
77.6123/1044
DBKameran Hayward
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.2
Coverage
77.3
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
33
Passer rating allowed
27.1
Missed tackles
0
75.6172/2969
TEGavin Spillers
1 rec · 8 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
51.1
Run blocking
70.6
Penalties
0
71.772/1017
Availability reports · 2
  • J. Allen · TEout · 2026-09-15

    VanWetzinga is sidelined with a knee injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Rusty VanWetzinga IV · FBQues. · 2026-10-10

    VanWetzinga is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Broncos on Saturday, October 17

Position units

Position-unit comparison

SAC
CMU
vs
Offense
77.8
#70 of 138
QB
76.4
#76 of 138
76.9
#54 of 138
RB
73.2
#94 of 138
70.0
#79 of 138
WR
64.3
#133 of 138
68.6
#75 of 138
TE
71.7
#53 of 138
64.7
#98 of 138
OL
65.5
#92 of 138
Defense
75.0
#54 of 138
DL
70.5
#99 of 138
74.3
#67 of 138
LB
67.5
#123 of 138
70.2
#95 of 138
DB
78.4
#8 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Sacramento State
opponent
Central Michigan
A-11.0
EMU#131
+2.7N
A-6.8
BALL#164
+4.4A
H-8.9
OHIO#107
-17.0A