Passing
No comparison
- MVSU offense
- —
- SAC defense
- #119
EPA comparison
—
0.34
#119
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 10:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MVSU 0.9%99.1% SAC
- Projected margin
- SAC by 37.9
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- SAC 17 to SAC 58
- Win probability
- SAC 99.1%
FinalMVSU 0 · SAC 52model had +37.9, off by 14.1
Current team profiles
Mississippi Valley State
Sacramento StateWhen Mississippi Valley State has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- MVSU offense
- —
- SAC defense
- #63
EPA comparison
—
0.03
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- MVSU offense
- #121
- SAC defense
- #41
Success rates
38%
#121
37%
#41
Success rate
More metrics
-0.09
#124
0.13
#97
EPA / play
0.16
#124
1.40
#129
Explosiveness
—
11%
#130
Havoc
When Sacramento State has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- MVSU defense
- —
- SAC offense
- #125
EPA comparison
—
-0.01
#125
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- MVSU defense
- —
- SAC offense
- #129
EPA comparison
—
-0.09
#129
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- MVSU defense
- #62
- SAC offense
- #94
Success rates
43%
#62
41%
#94
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#63
-0.07
#131
EPA / play
0.21
#68
1.00
#138
Explosiveness
—
17%
#114
Havoc
Current key players
Mississippi Valley StateLBJavieane Stevens
27 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 4.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.3
- Coverage
- 71.0
- Pressures
- 17
- Pass-rush snaps
- 93
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.110/1054
LBAmar'e Pam
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.873/1054
DLChrist Kore
27 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 87.2
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 118
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.685/1549
OLDondiago Collins
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 79.3
- Run blocking
- 71.7
- Penalties
- 2
75.536/1368
DBJoey Davis
19 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.9
- Coverage
- 71.9
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 71
- Passer rating allowed
- 34.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
73.9192/1765
DBTyrell Johnson
8 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.1
- Coverage
- 67.7
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 142
- Passer rating allowed
- 109.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.8202/1765
Sacramento StateQBJaylen Patterson
— yds · — TD · — INT
77.892/729
RBDaniel Swinney
139 yds · 1 TD · 5.0 YPC
80.181/1044
LBDiego Davis
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.0
- Coverage
- 61.5
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.096/1796
SJoshua Holani
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.2
- Coverage
- 63.6
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.5109/2969
LBLeki Holani
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.5
- Coverage
- 67.1
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.5200/1796
WRMatt Coleman
26 rec · 369 yds · 3 TD
74.3138/2069
Availability reports · 8
- Elijah Huddle · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Huddle is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jamar Curtis · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Curtis is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jordan Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Ajon Bryant · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Bryant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Bryant Collins · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Curron Borders · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Borders is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Davion Godley · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Godley is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Kenneth Peevy · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Peevy is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MVSUMississippi Valley State
SACSacramento State
vs
Offense
42.0
#125 of 125
QB
Quarterback
77.8
#70 of 138
60.6
#124 of 126
RB
Running backs
76.9
#54 of 138
62.8
#118 of 126
WR
Receivers
70.0
#79 of 138
56.7
#112 of 124
TE
Tight ends
68.6
#75 of 138
63.0
#78 of 125
OL
Offensive line
64.7
#98 of 138
Defense
70.0
#73 of 126
DL
Defensive line
75.0
#54 of 138
78.8
#10 of 126
LB
Linebackers
74.3
#67 of 138
71.1
#66 of 126
DB
Secondary
70.2
#95 of 138