AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 10:00 PM
Away
Mississippi Valley State
—
11p
#111Home
Sacramento State
0-0 · AVR 35.0
46p
MVSU 1%99% SAC
Spread
SAC -34.9
Total
57
Moneyline
MVSU—SAC—
Against the market
MVSU +0.6line SAC -35.5

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Sacramento State
RBCincere Rhaney
46.2403/514
QBCarson Conklin
39.5283/308
WRMatt Coleman
38.4657/777
SBoogsie Silvera
33.61181/1427
LBTim Thomas
28.6803/878

Projected margin

80% between 14 and 52
-14-7+7+14PKSAC +34.9MKT95% interval: 5 to 6080% interval: 14 to 52+14+52MVSU wins 1%SAC wins 99%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ SAC 46–11 MVSUSAC 42–35 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesSAC 46–32 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesSAC 49–28 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesSAC 53–25 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSAC 56–21 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSAC 60–18 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSAC 63–14 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesSAC 67–11 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesSAC 70–7 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesSAC 39–32 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesSAC 42–28 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSAC 46–25 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesSAC 49–21 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSAC 53–18 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSAC 56–14 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSAC 60–11 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesSAC 63–7 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSAC 67–4 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesSAC 35–28 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesSAC 39–25 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSAC 42–21 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSAC 46–18 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSAC 49–14 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSAC 53–11 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSAC 56–7 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSAC 60–4 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSAC 63–0 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesSAC 32–25 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesSAC 35–21 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSAC 39–18 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSAC 42–14 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSAC 46–11 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSAC 49–7 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSAC 53–4 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSAC 56–0 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)SAC 28–21 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesSAC 32–18 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSAC 35–14 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSAC 39–11 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSAC 42–7 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSAC 46–4 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSAC 49–0 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)SAC 25–18 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesSAC 28–14 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSAC 32–11 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesSAC 35–7 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSAC 39–4 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSAC 42–0 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)SAC 21–14 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesSAC 25–11 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesSAC 28–7 MVSU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesSAC 32–4 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSAC 35–0 MVSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalSAC +7SAC +21SAC +35SAC +49SAC +63margin →