Passing
TOL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- TOL offense
- #38
- SAC defense
- #119
EPA comparison
0.33
#38
0.34
#119
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 10 · Wed Nov 4 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
TOL 89.0%11.0% SAC
- Projected margin
- TOL by 19.3
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- TOL 38 to TOL 1
- Win probability
- TOL 89.0%
Current team profiles
Toledo
Sacramento StateWhen Toledo has the ball
Rushing
TOL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- TOL offense
- #55
- SAC defense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
0.03
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
SAC defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TOL offense
- #81
- SAC defense
- #41
Success rates
43%
#81
37%
#41
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#36
0.13
#97
EPA / play
1.44
#3
1.40
#129
Explosiveness
14%
#45
11%
#130
Havoc
When Sacramento State has the ball
Passing
TOL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TOL defense
- #79
- SAC offense
- #125
EPA comparison
0.17
#79
-0.01
#125
Pass EPA
Rushing
TOL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TOL defense
- #34
- SAC offense
- #129
EPA comparison
-0.04
#34
-0.09
#129
Rush EPA
Drive success
TOL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TOL defense
- #10
- SAC offense
- #94
Success rates
34%
#10
41%
#94
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#43
-0.07
#131
EPA / play
1.32
#109
1.00
#138
Explosiveness
14%
#97
17%
#114
Havoc
Current key players
ToledoQBKhamoni Robinson
21 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
87.830/729
WRAdjatay Dabbs
25 rec · 367 yds · 4 TD
84.125/2069
RBAutavius Ison
175 yds · 1 TD · 4.5 YPC
82.554/1044
CBIsrael Petite
23 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.7
- Coverage
- 80.5
- Targets allowed
- 23
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 121
- Passer rating allowed
- 74.7
- Missed tackles
- 2
80.953/2969
LBJulian Fox
36 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.7
- Coverage
- 82.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.872/1796
SNicholas Thompson
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.5
- Coverage
- 72.3
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- -6
- Passer rating allowed
- 116.7
- Missed tackles
- 1
75.7169/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Kalvin Gilbert Jr. · WRout · 2026-10-10
Gilbert is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Trenton Jones · WRout · 2026-10-10
Jones is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Tucker Kelleher · TEout · 2026-10-10
Kelleher is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
Sacramento StateQBJaylen Patterson
— yds · — TD · — INT
77.892/729
RBDaniel Swinney
139 yds · 1 TD · 5.0 YPC
80.181/1044
LBDiego Davis
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.0
- Coverage
- 61.5
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.096/1796
SJoshua Holani
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.2
- Coverage
- 63.6
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.5109/2969
LBLeki Holani
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.5
- Coverage
- 67.1
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.5200/1796
WRMatt Coleman
26 rec · 369 yds · 3 TD
74.3138/2069
Availability reports · 8
- Elijah Huddle · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Huddle is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jamar Curtis · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Curtis is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jordan Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Ajon Bryant · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Bryant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Bryant Collins · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Curron Borders · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Borders is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Davion Godley · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Godley is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Kenneth Peevy · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Peevy is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
TOLToledo
SACSacramento State
vs
Offense
87.8
#28 of 138
QB
Quarterback
77.8
#70 of 138
81.3
#26 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.9
#54 of 138
75.2
#33 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.0
#79 of 138
68.5
#77 of 138
TE
Tight ends
68.6
#75 of 138
69.2
#59 of 138
OL
Offensive line
64.7
#98 of 138
Defense
74.4
#60 of 138
DL
Defensive line
75.0
#54 of 138
75.7
#53 of 138
LB
Linebackers
74.3
#67 of 138
74.6
#40 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.2
#95 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Toledo
opponent
Sacramento State
Hhome+25.2
MASSMassachusetts#134-29.0Hhome
Hhome+17.8
BGSUBowling Green#144-28.0Aaway
Aaway+15.0
BALLBall State#164-6.8Aaway
Aaway+10.8
EMUEastern Michigan#131-11.0Aaway
Aaway+7.7
OHIOOhio#107-8.9Hhome