Passing
BGSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SAC offense
- #125
- BGSU defense
- #75
EPA comparison
-0.01
#125
0.16
#75
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SAC 31.6%68.4% BGSU
- Projected margin
- BGSU by 7.5
- Projected total
- 44
- 80% outcome range
- SAC 11 to BGSU 28
- Win probability
- BGSU 68.4%
FinalSAC 10 · BGSU 38model had +7.5, off by 20.5
Current team profiles
Sacramento StateBowling GreenWhen Sacramento State has the ball
Rushing
BGSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SAC offense
- #129
- BGSU defense
- #121
EPA comparison
-0.09
#129
0.18
#121
Rush EPA
Drive success
SAC offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SAC offense
- #94
- BGSU defense
- #117
Success rates
41%
#94
46%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
-0.07
#131
0.13
#95
EPA / play
1.00
#138
1.24
#82
Explosiveness
17%
#114
14%
#107
Havoc
When Bowling Green has the ball
Passing
BGSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SAC defense
- #119
- BGSU offense
- #87
EPA comparison
0.34
#119
0.15
#87
Pass EPA
Rushing
SAC defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SAC defense
- #63
- BGSU offense
- #136
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
-0.12
#136
Rush EPA
Drive success
SAC defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SAC defense
- #41
- BGSU offense
- #123
Success rates
37%
#41
38%
#123
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#97
-0.03
#126
EPA / play
1.40
#129
1.05
#134
Explosiveness
11%
#130
17%
#109
Havoc
Current key players
Sacramento StateQBJaylen Patterson
— yds · — TD · — INT
77.892/729
RBDaniel Swinney
139 yds · 1 TD · 5.0 YPC
80.181/1044
LBDiego Davis
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.0
- Coverage
- 61.5
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.096/1796
SJoshua Holani
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.2
- Coverage
- 63.6
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.5109/2969
LBLeki Holani
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.5
- Coverage
- 67.1
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.5200/1796
WRMatt Coleman
26 rec · 369 yds · 3 TD
74.3138/2069
Availability reports · 8
- Elijah Huddle · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Huddle is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jamar Curtis · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Curtis is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jordan Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Ajon Bryant · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Bryant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Bryant Collins · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Curron Borders · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Borders is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Davion Godley · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Godley is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Kenneth Peevy · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Peevy is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
Bowling GreenQBAustin Novosad
-1 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
61.2259/729
FBLeo Kemp
30 yds · 1 TD · 6.0 YPC
85.236/1044
WRWinn Sharp
15 rec · 217 yds · 1 TD
72.4184/2069
TETrent Taylor
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 68.4
- Penalties
- 0
69.899/1017
SKal-El Pascal
38 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.4
- Coverage
- 69.3
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 67
- Passer rating allowed
- 99.5
- Missed tackles
- 5
69.7463/2969
LBCashmire Lewis
22 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.9
- Coverage
- 61.5
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
68.9416/1796
Availability reports · 3
- Austin Clay · WRout · 2026-09-26
Clay is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Isaiah Dawson · WRout · 2026-10-10
Dawson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Ke'Marion Baldwin · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Baldwin is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Ball State on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
SACSacramento State
BGSUBowling Green
vs
Offense
77.8
#70 of 138
QB
Quarterback
61.2
#128 of 138
76.9
#54 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.8
#56 of 138
70.0
#79 of 138
WR
Receivers
64.1
#134 of 138
68.6
#75 of 138
TE
Tight ends
69.8
#66 of 138
64.7
#98 of 138
OL
Offensive line
60.3
#130 of 138
Defense
75.0
#54 of 138
DL
Defensive line
68.9
#117 of 138
74.3
#67 of 138
LB
Linebackers
62.2
#138 of 138
70.2
#95 of 138
DB
Secondary
67.0
#125 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Sacramento State
opponent
Bowling Green
Hhome-29.0
MASSMassachusetts#134+10.1Hhome
Aaway-6.8
BALLBall State#164+5.4Hhome
Hhome-2.6
KENTKent State#161+4.2Hhome
Hhome-19.3
TOLToledo#80-17.8Aaway