CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 11:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SAC 20.4%79.6% HAW
Projected margin
HAW by 12.7
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
SAC 6 to HAW 31
Win probability
HAW 79.6%

Current team profiles

Sacramento State
Hawai'i

When Sacramento State has the ball

Passing

HAW defense
Higher-ranked profile
SAC offense
#125
HAW defense
#89
EPA comparison
-0.01
#125
0.20
#89
Pass EPA

Rushing

HAW defense
Higher-ranked profile
SAC offense
#129
HAW defense
#128
EPA comparison
-0.09
#129
0.21
#128
Rush EPA

Drive success

SAC offense
Higher-ranked profile
SAC offense
#94
HAW defense
#125
Success rates
41%
#94
46%
#125
Success rate
More metrics
-0.07
#131
0.22
#125
EPA / play
1.00
#138
1.17
#41
Explosiveness
17%
#114
13%
#109
Havoc

When Hawai'i has the ball

Passing

HAW offense
Higher-ranked profile
SAC defense
#119
HAW offense
#114
EPA comparison
0.34
#119
0.07
#114
Pass EPA

Rushing

SAC defense
Higher-ranked profile
SAC defense
#63
HAW offense
#116
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA

Drive success

SAC defense
Higher-ranked profile
SAC defense
#41
HAW offense
#115
Success rates
37%
#41
39%
#115
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#97
0.02
#118
EPA / play
1.40
#129
1.13
#118
Explosiveness
11%
#130
17%
#112
Havoc

Current key players

Sacramento State
QBJaylen Patterson
— yds · — TD · — INT
77.892/729
RBDaniel Swinney
139 yds · 1 TD · 5.0 YPC
80.181/1044
LBDiego Davis
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.0
Coverage
61.5
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
79.096/1796
SJoshua Holani
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
84.2
Coverage
63.6
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
77.5109/2969
LBLeki Holani
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.5
Coverage
67.1
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.5200/1796
WRMatt Coleman
26 rec · 369 yds · 3 TD
74.3138/2069
Availability reports · 8
  • Elijah Huddle · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Huddle is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jamar Curtis · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Curtis is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jordan Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ajon Bryant · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Bryant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bryant Collins · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Curron Borders · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Borders is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Davion Godley · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Godley is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Kenneth Peevy · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Peevy is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

Hawai'i
QBMicah Alejado
1361 yds · 4 TD · 3 INT
60.9261/729
LBJulian Smith
5 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.1
Coverage
63.5
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
81.266/1796
LBMatteus Ioane
7 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.7
Coverage
81.5
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
80.082/1796
RBDeVon Rice
276 yds · 3 TD · 4.7 YPC
77.3127/1044
WRTama Uiliata
27 rec · 245 yds · 1 TD
76.5101/2069
DBJeremiah Hughes
11 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.0
Coverage
73.6
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
64
Passer rating allowed
71.8
Missed tackles
2
74.4213/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • Robert Haynes IV · WRout · 2026-09-03

    Haynes IV is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Pofele Ashlock · WRout · 2026-10-05

    Ashlock is nursing an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Carson Brown · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Brown is dealing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Tre' Griffiths · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Griffiths is dealing with an undisclosed injury and it is unclear if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Anthony Hickman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hickman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Isaac Jaramilla-Phe · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jaramilla-Phe is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17t

  • Oakie Salave'a · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Salave'a is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will kit up against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

SAC
HAW
vs
Offense
77.8
#70 of 138
QB
60.9
#129 of 138
76.9
#54 of 138
RB
75.5
#69 of 138
70.0
#79 of 138
WR
70.1
#78 of 138
68.6
#75 of 138
TE
72.7
#46 of 138
64.7
#98 of 138
OL
58.5
#137 of 138
Defense
75.0
#54 of 138
DL
72.8
#73 of 138
74.3
#67 of 138
LB
78.9
#27 of 138
70.2
#95 of 138
DB
68.5
#115 of 138
Common opponents