Passing
NDSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU offense
- #47
- SAC defense
- #119
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.34
#119
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 10:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NDSU 92.7%7.3% SAC
- Projected margin
- NDSU by 21.8
- Projected total
- 49
- 80% outcome range
- NDSU 41 to NDSU 3
- Win probability
- NDSU 92.7%
FinalNDSU 31 · SAC 10model had -21.8, off by 0.8
Current team profiles
North Dakota State
Sacramento StateWhen North Dakota State has the ball
Rushing
SAC defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU offense
- #93
- SAC defense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.04
#93
0.03
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
SAC defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU offense
- #91
- SAC defense
- #41
Success rates
42%
#91
37%
#41
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#81
0.13
#97
EPA / play
1.28
#39
1.40
#129
Explosiveness
14%
#59
11%
#130
Havoc
When Sacramento State has the ball
Passing
NDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU defense
- #2
- SAC offense
- #125
EPA comparison
-0.15
#2
-0.01
#125
Pass EPA
Rushing
NDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU defense
- #10
- SAC offense
- #129
EPA comparison
-0.15
#10
-0.09
#129
Rush EPA
Drive success
NDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU defense
- #46
- SAC offense
- #94
Success rates
38%
#46
41%
#94
Success rate
More metrics
-0.15
#4
-0.07
#131
EPA / play
0.99
#3
1.00
#138
Explosiveness
17%
#45
17%
#114
Havoc
Current key players
North Dakota StateQBNathan Hayes
995 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
86.932/729
SWalker Braaten
— tkl · — PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 92.9
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 60.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
93.41/2969
LBDonovan Woolen
33 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.5
- Coverage
- 74.6
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 23
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
88.220/1796
WRJackson Williams
22 rec · 358 yds · 1 TD
85.823/2069
WRJordan McCants
2 rec · 79 yds · 1 TD
78.171/2069
CBMarion Moore
8 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.6
- Coverage
- 76.2
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.1121/2969
Availability reports · 9
- Braylon Toliver · RBout · 2026-10-09
Toliver is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Cash Danner · TEout · 2026-10-09
Danner is out of commission due to and undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Drake Schlosser · WRout · 2026-10-09
Schlosser is out of commission due to an undisclosed injury and, he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Kye Schlichting · WRout · 2026-10-09
Schlichting is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- N. Nelson · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Nelson is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Brandon Walton · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Walton is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Cortez LeGrant · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
LeGrant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Henry Nelson · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Nelson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Jonathan Harvey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Harvey is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
Sacramento StateQBJaylen Patterson
— yds · — TD · — INT
77.892/729
RBDaniel Swinney
139 yds · 1 TD · 5.0 YPC
80.181/1044
LBDiego Davis
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.0
- Coverage
- 61.5
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.096/1796
SJoshua Holani
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.2
- Coverage
- 63.6
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.5109/2969
LBLeki Holani
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.5
- Coverage
- 67.1
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.5200/1796
WRMatt Coleman
26 rec · 369 yds · 3 TD
74.3138/2069
Availability reports · 8
- Elijah Huddle · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Huddle is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jamar Curtis · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Curtis is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jordan Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Ajon Bryant · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Bryant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Bryant Collins · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Curron Borders · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Borders is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Davion Godley · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Godley is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Kenneth Peevy · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Peevy is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NDSUNorth Dakota State
SACSacramento State
vs
Offense
86.9
#30 of 138
QB
Quarterback
77.8
#70 of 138
73.8
#87 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.9
#54 of 138
79.1
#14 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.0
#79 of 138
72.4
#49 of 138
TE
Tight ends
68.6
#75 of 138
71.9
#35 of 138
OL
Offensive line
64.7
#98 of 138
Defense
77.3
#32 of 138
DL
Defensive line
75.0
#54 of 138
77.4
#42 of 138
LB
Linebackers
74.3
#67 of 138
79.5
#3 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.2
#95 of 138