AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 3 · Sun Sep 20 · 2:30 AM
#81Away
North Dakota State
1-0 · AVR 46.6
27p
#111Home
Sacramento State
0-0 · AVR 35.0
29p
NDSU 45%55% SAC
Spread
SAC -1.9
Total
57
Moneyline
NDSU+123SAC-123
Margin σ
14.6

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Sacramento State
RBCincere Rhaney
46.2403/514
QBCarson Conklin
39.5283/308
WRMatt Coleman
38.4657/777
SBoogsie Silvera
33.61181/1427
LBTim Thomas
28.6803/878

Projected margin

80% between -15 and 19
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKSAC +1.995% interval: -22 to 25.980% interval: -15.4 to 19.3-15+19NDSU wins 45%SAC wins 55%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ SAC 28–28 NDSUSAC 25–53 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesSAC 28–49 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesSAC 32–46 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesSAC 35–42 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesSAC 39–39 NDSU neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesSAC 42–35 NDSU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSAC 46–32 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesSAC 49–28 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesSAC 53–25 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesSAC 21–49 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesSAC 25–46 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesSAC 28–42 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesSAC 32–39 NDSU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesSAC 35–35 NDSU neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesSAC 39–32 NDSU neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesSAC 42–28 NDSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSAC 46–25 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesSAC 49–21 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesSAC 18–46 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesSAC 21–42 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesSAC 25–39 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSAC 28–35 NDSU neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesSAC 32–32 NDSU neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesSAC 35–28 NDSU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesSAC 39–25 NDSU neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSAC 42–21 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesSAC 46–18 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesSAC 14–42 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesSAC 18–39 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesSAC 21–35 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesSAC 25–32 NDSU neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesSAC 28–28 NDSU neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesSAC 32–25 NDSU neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesSAC 35–21 NDSU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesSAC 39–18 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesSAC 42–14 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesSAC 11–39 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesSAC 14–35 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesSAC 18–32 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSAC 21–28 NDSU neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesSAC 25–25 NDSU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesSAC 28–21 NDSU neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesSAC 32–18 NDSU neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSAC 35–14 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesSAC 39–11 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesSAC 7–35 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesSAC 11–32 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesSAC 14–28 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesSAC 18–25 NDSU neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSAC 21–21 NDSU neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesSAC 25–18 NDSU neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesSAC 28–14 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesSAC 32–11 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesSAC 35–7 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesSAC 4–32 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesSAC 7–28 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesSAC 11–25 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesSAC 14–21 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSAC 18–18 NDSU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSAC 21–14 NDSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSAC 25–11 NDSU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesSAC 28–7 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesSAC 32–4 NDSU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomes77706356494235totalNDSU +28NDSU +14PKSAC +14SAC +28margin →