CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Fri Oct 30 · 10:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
KENT 57.0%43.0% SAC
Projected margin
KENT by 2.6
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
KENT 21 to SAC 16
Win probability
KENT 57.0%

Current team profiles

Kent State
Sacramento State

When Kent State has the ball

Passing

KENT offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT offense
#114
SAC defense
#119
EPA comparison
0.07
#114
0.34
#119
Pass EPA

Rushing

SAC defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT offense
#126
SAC defense
#63
EPA comparison
-0.08
#126
0.03
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

SAC defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT offense
#134
SAC defense
#41
Success rates
33%
#134
37%
#41
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#130
0.13
#97
EPA / play
1.29
#34
1.40
#129
Explosiveness
18%
#122
11%
#130
Havoc

When Sacramento State has the ball

Passing

KENT defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT defense
#113
SAC offense
#125
EPA comparison
0.32
#113
-0.01
#125
Pass EPA

Rushing

KENT defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT defense
#93
SAC offense
#129
EPA comparison
0.10
#93
-0.09
#129
Rush EPA

Drive success

SAC offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT defense
#128
SAC offense
#94
Success rates
47%
#128
41%
#94
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#116
-0.07
#131
EPA / play
1.20
#55
1.00
#138
Explosiveness
14%
#101
17%
#114
Havoc

Current key players

Kent State
QBDru DeShields
752 yds · 3 TD · 5 INT
69.7156/729
DBDavion Pritchard
7 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
40.7
Coverage
81.1
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
26
Passer rating allowed
67.7
Missed tackles
0
75.4181/2969
WRJay Jay Etheridge
1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
73.5157/2069
LBSemaj Bridgeman
4 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
60.1
Coverage
69.2
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
49
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
71.7296/1796
WRDa'Realyst Clark
20 rec · 242 yds · 1 TD
71.6210/2069
LBHayden Dawahare
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.0
Coverage
75.3
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
19
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
1
71.2323/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Maurice Stephens · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stephens is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Dylan Armentrout · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Armentrout is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Eli Tucker · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tucker is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

  • William Bierfeldt · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bierfeldt is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

Sacramento State
QBJaylen Patterson
— yds · — TD · — INT
77.892/729
RBDaniel Swinney
139 yds · 1 TD · 5.0 YPC
80.181/1044
LBDiego Davis
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.0
Coverage
61.5
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
79.096/1796
SJoshua Holani
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
84.2
Coverage
63.6
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
77.5109/2969
LBLeki Holani
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.5
Coverage
67.1
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.5200/1796
WRMatt Coleman
26 rec · 369 yds · 3 TD
74.3138/2069
Availability reports · 8
  • Elijah Huddle · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Huddle is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jamar Curtis · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Curtis is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jordan Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ajon Bryant · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Bryant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bryant Collins · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Curron Borders · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Borders is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Davion Godley · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Godley is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Kenneth Peevy · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Peevy is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

KENT
SAC
vs
Offense
69.7
#101 of 138
QB
77.8
#70 of 138
63.5
#137 of 138
RB
76.9
#54 of 138
69.8
#83 of 138
WR
70.0
#79 of 138
60.2
#119 of 138
TE
68.6
#75 of 138
58.4
#138 of 138
OL
64.7
#98 of 138
Defense
67.4
#130 of 138
DL
75.0
#54 of 138
70.4
#102 of 138
LB
74.3
#67 of 138
65.1
#134 of 138
DB
70.2
#95 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Kent State
opponent
Sacramento State
A-4.2
BGSU#144
-28.0A
H+13.0
BALL#164
-6.8A
H-3.0
OHIO#107
-8.9H
A-5.8
EMU#131
-11.0A