Passing
SAC offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SAC offense
- #125
- BALL defense
- #132
EPA comparison
-0.01
#125
0.45
#132
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
SAC 33.2%66.8% BALL
- Projected margin
- BALL by 6.8
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- SAC 12 to BALL 25
- Win probability
- BALL 66.8%
Current team profiles
Sacramento State
Ball StateWhen Sacramento State has the ball
Rushing
SAC offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SAC offense
- #129
- BALL defense
- #133
EPA comparison
-0.09
#129
0.25
#133
Rush EPA
Drive success
SAC offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SAC offense
- #94
- BALL defense
- #114
Success rates
41%
#94
45%
#114
Success rate
More metrics
-0.07
#131
0.32
#136
EPA / play
1.00
#138
1.44
#135
Explosiveness
17%
#114
13%
#113
Havoc
When Ball State has the ball
Passing
BALL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SAC defense
- #119
- BALL offense
- #92
EPA comparison
0.34
#119
0.13
#92
Pass EPA
Rushing
SAC defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SAC defense
- #63
- BALL offense
- #100
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
0.03
#100
Rush EPA
Drive success
SAC defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SAC defense
- #41
- BALL offense
- #128
Success rates
37%
#41
36%
#128
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#97
0.05
#107
EPA / play
1.40
#129
1.38
#13
Explosiveness
11%
#130
18%
#125
Havoc
Current key players
Sacramento StateQBJaylen Patterson
— yds · — TD · — INT
77.892/729
RBDaniel Swinney
139 yds · 1 TD · 5.0 YPC
80.181/1044
LBDiego Davis
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.0
- Coverage
- 61.5
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.096/1796
SJoshua Holani
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.2
- Coverage
- 63.6
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.5109/2969
LBLeki Holani
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.5
- Coverage
- 67.1
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.5200/1796
WRMatt Coleman
26 rec · 369 yds · 3 TD
74.3138/2069
Availability reports · 8
- Elijah Huddle · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Huddle is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jamar Curtis · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Curtis is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jordan Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Ajon Bryant · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Bryant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Bryant Collins · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Curron Borders · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Borders is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Davion Godley · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Godley is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
- Kenneth Peevy · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Peevy is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.
Ball StateQBKeldric Luster
662 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT
67.4185/729
RBElijah Jackson
25 yds · 0 TD · 6.2 YPC
80.668/1044
DBGabe Aramboles
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.6
- Coverage
- 71.7
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 91.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.2220/2969
LBKaleb Stewart
23 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.9
- Coverage
- 60.9
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.9260/1796
DBQuentavius Scandrett
25 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 74.3
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 60
- Passer rating allowed
- 94.4
- Missed tackles
- 3
70.9387/2969
LBLayton Starks
12 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.6
- Coverage
- 66.6
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 66
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
68.2443/1796
Availability reports · 6
- Isaiah Thacker · WRout · 2026-10-10
Thacker is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Derion Talbert · WRout · 2026-09-26
Talbert is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Cole Coonrod · TEout · 2026-10-10
Coonrod is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jalen Bonds · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Bonds is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
- Mason Riggins · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Riggins is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will play against the Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
- Char'Rese Breveard · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Breveard is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
SACSacramento State
BALLBall State
vs
Offense
77.8
#70 of 138
QB
Quarterback
67.4
#112 of 138
76.9
#54 of 138
RB
Running backs
80.2
#35 of 138
70.0
#79 of 138
WR
Receivers
64.8
#130 of 138
68.6
#75 of 138
TE
Tight ends
58.7
#130 of 138
64.7
#98 of 138
OL
Offensive line
66.4
#86 of 138
Defense
75.0
#54 of 138
DL
Defensive line
68.0
#121 of 138
74.3
#67 of 138
LB
Linebackers
68.5
#116 of 138
70.2
#95 of 138
DB
Secondary
67.8
#118 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Sacramento State
opponent
Ball State
Hhome-29.0
MASSMassachusetts#134+2.1Aaway
Aaway-28.0
BGSUBowling Green#144-5.4Aaway
Hhome-2.6
KENTKent State#161-13.0Aaway
Aaway-13.8
CMUCentral Michigan#138-4.4Hhome
Hhome-19.3
TOLToledo#80-15.0Hhome
Hhome-8.9
OHIOOhio#107-10.2Aaway