CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 10:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
OHIO 71.6%28.4% SAC
Projected margin
OHIO by 8.9
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
OHIO 28 to SAC 10
Win probability
OHIO 71.6%

Current team profiles

Ohio
Sacramento State

When Ohio has the ball

Passing

OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO offense
#92
SAC defense
#119
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
0.34
#119
Pass EPA

Rushing

OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO offense
#45
SAC defense
#63
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
0.03
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

SAC defense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO offense
#46
SAC defense
#41
Success rates
46%
#46
37%
#41
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#69
0.13
#97
EPA / play
1.11
#124
1.40
#129
Explosiveness
14%
#56
11%
#130
Havoc

When Sacramento State has the ball

Passing

OHIO defense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO defense
#116
SAC offense
#125
EPA comparison
0.33
#116
-0.01
#125
Pass EPA

Rushing

OHIO defense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO defense
#88
SAC offense
#129
EPA comparison
0.08
#88
-0.09
#129
Rush EPA

Drive success

OHIO defense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO defense
#88
SAC offense
#94
Success rates
42%
#88
41%
#94
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#106
-0.07
#131
EPA / play
1.27
#93
1.00
#138
Explosiveness
16%
#70
17%
#114
Havoc

Current key players

Ohio
QBLevi Davis
171 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.961/729
LBAlex Brown
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.051/1796
LBMichael Molnar
45 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.3
Coverage
73.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
31
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
82.858/1796
WRRiley Neer
23 rec · 337 yds · 4 TD
76.698/2069
WRZach Hackleman
1 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD
74.0149/2069
DBDarren James-Hamilton
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
44.9
Coverage
82.9
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
8
72.5306/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Rashad Perry · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Perry is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Hype Grand · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Grand is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against the Hornets on Saturday, October 17th.

Sacramento State
QBJaylen Patterson
— yds · — TD · — INT
77.892/729
RBDaniel Swinney
139 yds · 1 TD · 5.0 YPC
80.181/1044
LBDiego Davis
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.0
Coverage
61.5
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
79.096/1796
SJoshua Holani
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
84.2
Coverage
63.6
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
77.5109/2969
LBLeki Holani
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.5
Coverage
67.1
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.5200/1796
WRMatt Coleman
26 rec · 369 yds · 3 TD
74.3138/2069
Availability reports · 8
  • Elijah Huddle · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Huddle is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jamar Curtis · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Curtis is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jordan Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ajon Bryant · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Bryant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bryant Collins · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Curron Borders · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Borders is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Davion Godley · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Godley is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Kenneth Peevy · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Peevy is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Ohio on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

OHIO
SAC
vs
Offense
81.9
#52 of 138
QB
77.8
#70 of 138
67.8
#130 of 138
RB
76.9
#54 of 138
70.3
#77 of 138
WR
70.0
#79 of 138
60.0
#122 of 138
TE
68.6
#75 of 138
67.7
#69 of 138
OL
64.7
#98 of 138
Defense
70.5
#98 of 138
DL
75.0
#54 of 138
80.7
#17 of 138
LB
74.3
#67 of 138
66.7
#130 of 138
DB
70.2
#95 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Ohio
opponent
Sacramento State
H+17.0
CMU#138
-13.8A
H+10.2
BALL#164
-6.8A
H+5.8
EMU#131
-11.0A
H-7.7
TOL#80
-19.3H
A+3.0
KENT#161
-2.6H