Passing
BGSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL offense
- #92
- BGSU defense
- #75
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
0.16
#75
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
BALL 36.8%63.2% BGSU
- Projected margin
- BGSU by 5.4
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- BALL 13 to BGSU 24
- Win probability
- BGSU 63.2%
Current team profiles
Ball StateBowling GreenWhen Ball State has the ball
Rushing
BALL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL offense
- #100
- BGSU defense
- #121
EPA comparison
0.03
#100
0.18
#121
Rush EPA
Drive success
BGSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL offense
- #128
- BGSU defense
- #117
Success rates
36%
#128
46%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#107
0.13
#95
EPA / play
1.38
#13
1.24
#82
Explosiveness
18%
#125
14%
#107
Havoc
When Bowling Green has the ball
Passing
BGSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL defense
- #132
- BGSU offense
- #87
EPA comparison
0.45
#132
0.15
#87
Pass EPA
Rushing
BALL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL defense
- #133
- BGSU offense
- #136
EPA comparison
0.25
#133
-0.12
#136
Rush EPA
Drive success
BALL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL defense
- #114
- BGSU offense
- #123
Success rates
45%
#114
38%
#123
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#136
-0.03
#126
EPA / play
1.44
#135
1.05
#134
Explosiveness
13%
#113
17%
#109
Havoc
Current key players
Ball StateQBKeldric Luster
662 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT
67.4185/729
RBElijah Jackson
25 yds · 0 TD · 6.2 YPC
80.668/1044
DBGabe Aramboles
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.6
- Coverage
- 71.7
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 91.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.2220/2969
LBKaleb Stewart
23 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.9
- Coverage
- 60.9
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.9260/1796
DBQuentavius Scandrett
25 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 74.3
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 60
- Passer rating allowed
- 94.4
- Missed tackles
- 3
70.9387/2969
LBLayton Starks
12 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.6
- Coverage
- 66.6
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 66
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
68.2443/1796
Availability reports · 6
- Isaiah Thacker · WRout · 2026-10-10
Thacker is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Derion Talbert · WRout · 2026-09-26
Talbert is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Cole Coonrod · TEout · 2026-10-10
Coonrod is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jalen Bonds · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Bonds is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
- Mason Riggins · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Riggins is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will play against the Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
- Char'Rese Breveard · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Breveard is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
Bowling GreenQBAustin Novosad
-1 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
61.2259/729
FBLeo Kemp
30 yds · 1 TD · 6.0 YPC
85.236/1044
WRWinn Sharp
15 rec · 217 yds · 1 TD
72.4184/2069
TETrent Taylor
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 68.4
- Penalties
- 0
69.899/1017
SKal-El Pascal
38 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.4
- Coverage
- 69.3
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 67
- Passer rating allowed
- 99.5
- Missed tackles
- 5
69.7463/2969
LBCashmire Lewis
22 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.9
- Coverage
- 61.5
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
68.9416/1796
Availability reports · 3
- Austin Clay · WRout · 2026-09-26
Clay is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Isaiah Dawson · WRout · 2026-10-10
Dawson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Ke'Marion Baldwin · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Baldwin is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Ball State on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
BALLBall State
BGSUBowling Green
vs
Offense
67.4
#112 of 138
QB
Quarterback
61.2
#128 of 138
80.2
#35 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.8
#56 of 138
64.8
#130 of 138
WR
Receivers
64.1
#134 of 138
58.7
#130 of 138
TE
Tight ends
69.8
#66 of 138
66.4
#86 of 138
OL
Offensive line
60.3
#130 of 138
Defense
68.0
#121 of 138
DL
Defensive line
68.9
#117 of 138
68.5
#116 of 138
LB
Linebackers
62.2
#138 of 138
67.8
#118 of 138
DB
Secondary
67.0
#125 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Ball State
opponent
Bowling Green
Hhome+6.8
SACSacramento State#187+28.0Hhome
Aaway-13.0
KENTKent State#161+4.2Hhome
Aaway+2.1
MASSMassachusetts#134+10.1Hhome
Hhome-15.0
TOLToledo#80-17.8Aaway
Hhome-0.2
BUFBuffalo#149-2.8Aaway