CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Tue Nov 10 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
KENT 39.3%60.7% BGSU
Projected margin
BGSU by 4.2
Projected total
51
80% outcome range
KENT 14 to BGSU 23
Win probability
BGSU 60.7%

Current team profiles

Kent State
Bowling Green

When Kent State has the ball

Passing

BGSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT offense
#114
BGSU defense
#75
EPA comparison
0.07
#114
0.16
#75
Pass EPA

Rushing

BGSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT offense
#126
BGSU defense
#121
EPA comparison
-0.08
#126
0.18
#121
Rush EPA

Drive success

BGSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT offense
#134
BGSU defense
#117
Success rates
33%
#134
46%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#130
0.13
#95
EPA / play
1.29
#34
1.24
#82
Explosiveness
18%
#122
14%
#107
Havoc

When Bowling Green has the ball

Passing

BGSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT defense
#113
BGSU offense
#87
EPA comparison
0.32
#113
0.15
#87
Pass EPA

Rushing

KENT defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT defense
#93
BGSU offense
#136
EPA comparison
0.10
#93
-0.12
#136
Rush EPA

Drive success

BGSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENT defense
#128
BGSU offense
#123
Success rates
47%
#128
38%
#123
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#116
-0.03
#126
EPA / play
1.20
#55
1.05
#134
Explosiveness
14%
#101
17%
#109
Havoc

Current key players

Kent State
QBDru DeShields
752 yds · 3 TD · 5 INT
69.7156/729
DBDavion Pritchard
7 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
40.7
Coverage
81.1
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
26
Passer rating allowed
67.7
Missed tackles
0
75.4181/2969
WRJay Jay Etheridge
1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
73.5157/2069
LBSemaj Bridgeman
4 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
60.1
Coverage
69.2
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
49
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
71.7296/1796
WRDa'Realyst Clark
20 rec · 242 yds · 1 TD
71.6210/2069
LBHayden Dawahare
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.0
Coverage
75.3
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
19
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
1
71.2323/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Maurice Stephens · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stephens is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Dylan Armentrout · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Armentrout is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Eli Tucker · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tucker is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

  • William Bierfeldt · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bierfeldt is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

Bowling Green
QBAustin Novosad
-1 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
61.2259/729
FBLeo Kemp
30 yds · 1 TD · 6.0 YPC
85.236/1044
WRWinn Sharp
15 rec · 217 yds · 1 TD
72.4184/2069
TETrent Taylor
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
68.4
Penalties
0
69.899/1017
SKal-El Pascal
38 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.4
Coverage
69.3
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
67
Passer rating allowed
99.5
Missed tackles
5
69.7463/2969
LBCashmire Lewis
22 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
67.9
Coverage
61.5
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
68.9416/1796
Availability reports · 3
  • Austin Clay · WRout · 2026-09-26

    Clay is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Isaiah Dawson · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Dawson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Ke'Marion Baldwin · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Baldwin is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Ball State on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

KENT
BGSU
vs
Offense
69.7
#101 of 138
QB
61.2
#128 of 138
63.5
#137 of 138
RB
76.8
#56 of 138
69.8
#83 of 138
WR
64.1
#134 of 138
60.2
#119 of 138
TE
69.8
#66 of 138
58.4
#138 of 138
OL
60.3
#130 of 138
Defense
67.4
#130 of 138
DL
68.9
#117 of 138
70.4
#102 of 138
LB
62.2
#138 of 138
65.1
#134 of 138
DB
67.0
#125 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Kent State
opponent
Bowling Green
A+2.6
SAC#187
+28.0H
A-31.0
WMU#79
-9.7A
A-20.5
USF#76
-8.0H
H-5.0
M-OH#115
+4.0A
H+13.0
BALL#164
+5.4H