Passing
MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS offense
- #36
- BGSU defense
- #75
EPA comparison
0.35
#36
0.16
#75
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MASS 25.6%74.4% BGSU
- Projected margin
- BGSU by 10.1
- Projected total
- 50
- 80% outcome range
- MASS 8 to BGSU 29
- Win probability
- BGSU 74.4%
Current team profiles
Massachusetts
Bowling GreenWhen Massachusetts has the ball
Rushing
MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS offense
- #61
- BGSU defense
- #121
EPA comparison
0.13
#61
0.18
#121
Rush EPA
Drive success
MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS offense
- #66
- BGSU defense
- #117
Success rates
44%
#66
46%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#45
0.13
#95
EPA / play
1.24
#68
1.24
#82
Explosiveness
12%
#27
14%
#107
Havoc
When Bowling Green has the ball
Passing
MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS defense
- #52
- BGSU offense
- #87
EPA comparison
0.09
#52
0.15
#87
Pass EPA
Rushing
MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS defense
- #27
- BGSU offense
- #136
EPA comparison
-0.07
#27
-0.12
#136
Rush EPA
Drive success
MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS defense
- #57
- BGSU offense
- #123
Success rates
39%
#57
38%
#123
Success rate
More metrics
-0.03
#31
-0.03
#126
EPA / play
1.10
#21
1.05
#134
Explosiveness
15%
#89
17%
#109
Havoc
Current key players
MassachusettsQBWilliam Watson III
820 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
85.143/729
LBTimmy Hinspeter
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.0
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.826/1796
RBCurtis Kimmons IV
262 yds · 3 TD · 5.8 YPC
82.156/1044
WRJabari Lewis
10 rec · 152 yds · 0 TD
78.766/2069
SJahmad Harmon
10 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.3
- Coverage
- 72.0
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 71
- Passer rating allowed
- 32.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.5144/2969
LBDinos Drossos
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.4
- Coverage
- 64.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.2209/1796
Availability reports · 3
- J. Washington · RBout · 2026-10-10
Washington has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Joseph Griffin Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Griffin is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.
- Dallas Elliott · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Elliott is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.
Bowling GreenQBAustin Novosad
-1 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
61.2259/729
FBLeo Kemp
30 yds · 1 TD · 6.0 YPC
85.236/1044
WRWinn Sharp
15 rec · 217 yds · 1 TD
72.4184/2069
TETrent Taylor
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 68.4
- Penalties
- 0
69.899/1017
SKal-El Pascal
38 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.4
- Coverage
- 69.3
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 67
- Passer rating allowed
- 99.5
- Missed tackles
- 5
69.7463/2969
LBCashmire Lewis
22 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.9
- Coverage
- 61.5
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
68.9416/1796
Availability reports · 3
- Austin Clay · WRout · 2026-09-26
Clay is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Isaiah Dawson · WRout · 2026-10-10
Dawson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Ke'Marion Baldwin · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Baldwin is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Ball State on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MASSMassachusetts
BGSUBowling Green
vs
Offense
85.1
#39 of 138
QB
Quarterback
61.2
#128 of 138
81.3
#29 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.8
#56 of 138
73.6
#45 of 138
WR
Receivers
64.1
#134 of 138
66.0
#86 of 138
TE
Tight ends
69.8
#66 of 138
63.7
#107 of 138
OL
Offensive line
60.3
#130 of 138
Defense
77.1
#34 of 138
DL
Defensive line
68.9
#117 of 138
77.4
#41 of 138
LB
Linebackers
62.2
#138 of 138
72.8
#59 of 138
DB
Secondary
67.0
#125 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Massachusetts
opponent
Bowling Green
Hhome-2.1
BALLBall State#164+5.4Hhome
Aaway-10.2
BUFBuffalo#149-2.8Aaway
Aaway-25.2
TOLToledo#80-17.8Aaway
Hhome-1.0
M-OHMiami (OH)#115+4.0Aaway
Aaway+29.0
SACSacramento State#187+28.0Hhome