CFB
Model
All rankings
American Athletic

UTSA

Roadrunners5-14th in American Athletic
Alamodome · San Antonio, TX · 36,582
TeamMiddle of the pack
OffenseMethodical running attack · solidweak point: explosiveness, 114th
DefenseBend-don't-break · average · built to defend the passweak point: generating pressure, 119th

The season

Best win
W 31-26 @ #55 Texas State
Wk 2 · Sep 12 · model had 57%
Worst loss
L 6-30 @ #7 Texas
Wk 3 · Sep 19 · model had 1%

Schedule

model 6/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsUT Rio Grande Valley
    W 45–16
    Win chance 97%Model margin +24.6Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    atTexas State
    W 31–26
    Win chance 57%Model margin +2.2Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    atTexas
    L 6–30
    Win chance 1%Model margin -33.1Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    vsColorado State
    W 59–45
    Win chance 77%Model margin +10.1Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    atRice
    W 16–14
    Win chance 83%Model margin +12.7Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 8
    vsSouth Florida
    W 31–24
    Win chance 54%Model margin +1.5Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsNavy
    Win chance 72%Model margin +7.7Game details
  8. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atTulane
    Win chance 50%Model margin 0.0Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 6
    atFlorida Atlantic
    Win chance 73%Model margin +8.1Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsNorth Texas
    Win chance 65%Model margin +5.2Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atUAB
    Win chance 83%Model margin +12.6Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsTulsa
    Win chance 83%Model margin +12.8Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
55
#57 of 138
Defense efficiency
35
#93 of 138
Efficiency
#340.23
EPA / play
#680.06
#780.19
Pass
#600.11
#120.26
Rush
#930.10
#3847%
Success
#8041%
Big plays & havoc
#1141.14
Explosive
#341.15
#2712%
Havoc
#11913%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB107th
RB11th
WR100th
TE96th
OL95th
DL113th
LB71st
DB97th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Mark WiepertFR
— yds · — TD · — INT
68.6
178th QB
RB
A'Marion PetersonJR
194 yds · 4 TD · 7.2 YPC
89.2
12th RB
WR
DJ Allen Jr.SR
18 rec · 269 yds · 2 TD
76.0
109th WR
WR
David Amador IIJR
19 rec · 147 yds · 1 TD
65.3
449th WR
TE
Brandon Young Jr.JR
4 rec · 16 yds · 2 TD
64.0
175th TE
Defense
LB
Camron CooperJR
14 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
77.5
127th LB
LB
Brandon TuckerSR
44 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
73.2
252nd LB
CB
Zach MorrisSR
9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
76.4
146th DB
CB
Asaad ChapmanJR
10 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
71.3
363rd DB
S
Joel RogersSO
20 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
70.4
414th DB

Injury report

1 out
out
Bryson DonnellRB

Donnell has been out of lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

56.5202510-10

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsNavy
    Playoff chance if win
    3.5%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.9%
  2. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atTulane
    Playoff chance if win
    4.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.1%
  3. Week 10 · Nov 6
    atFlorida Atlantic
    Playoff chance if win
    3.5%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.8%
  4. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsNorth Texas
    Playoff chance if win
    3.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.6%
  5. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atUAB
    Playoff chance if win
    3.1%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.8%
  6. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsTulsa
    Playoff chance if win
    3.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    0.8%

Past seasons

Year by year
-4.0 points since 2022
405060708064.9202260.7202356.2202460.92025
2022 64.92023 60.72024 56.22025 60.9

2025

6-6
D-I rank
#67
Rating
60.9
Listed games · 12
LLWWLWLWLWWL
405 pts scored355 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at Texas A&ML 24–42
  2. W2 vs Texas StateL 36–43
  3. W3 vs Incarnate WordW 48–20
  4. W4 at Colorado StateW 17–16
  5. W6 at TempleL 21–27
  6. W7 vs RiceW 61–13
  7. W8 at North TexasL 17–55
  8. W10 vs TulaneW 48–26
  9. W11 at South FloridaL 23–55
  10. W12 at CharlotteW 28–7
  11. W13 vs East CarolinaW 58–24
  12. W14 vs ArmyL 24–27

2024

6-6
D-I rank
#90
Rating
56.2
Listed games · 12
WLLWLLWLWWWL
387 pts scored376 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Kennesaw StateW 28–16
  2. W2 at Texas StateL 10–49
  3. W3 at TexasL 7–56
  4. W4 vs Houston ChristianW 45–7
  5. W5 at East CarolinaL 20–30
  6. W7 at RiceL 27–29
  7. W8 vs Florida AtlanticW 38–24
  8. W9 at TulsaL 45–46
  9. W10 vs MemphisW 44–36
  10. W12 vs North TexasW 48–27
  11. W13 vs TempleW 51–27
  12. W14 at ArmyL 24–29

2023

8-4
D-I rank
#62
Rating
60.7
Listed games · 12
LWLLWWWWWWWL
380 pts scored296 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at HoustonL 14–17
  2. W2 vs Texas StateW 20–13
  3. W3 vs ArmyL 29–37
  4. W4 at TennesseeL 14–45
  5. W6 at TempleW 49–34
  6. W7 vs UABW 41–20
  7. W8 at Florida AtlanticW 36–10
  8. W9 vs East CarolinaW 41–27
  9. W10 at North TexasW 37–29
  10. W11 vs RiceW 34–14
  11. W12 vs South FloridaW 49–21
  12. W13 at TulaneL 16–29

2022

11-2
D-I rank
#48
Rating
64.9
Listed games · 13
LWLWWWWWWWWWW
503 pts scored345 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs HoustonL 35–37
  2. W2 at ArmyW 41–38
  3. W3 at TexasL 20–41
  4. W4 vs Texas SouthernW 52–24
  5. W5 at Middle TennesseeW 45–30
  6. W6 vs Western KentuckyW 31–28
  7. W7 at Florida InternationalW 30–10
  8. W8 vs North TexasW 31–27
  9. W10 at UABW 44–38
  10. W11 vs Louisiana TechW 51–7
  11. W12 at RiceW 41–7
  12. W13 vs UTEPW 34–31
  13. W14 vs North TexasW 48–27