AVRCFB Model
All rankings
American Athletic

UTSA

Roadrunners0-01st in American Athletic
Alamodome · San Antonio, TX · 36,582
Rank —
62
Rating
50.5
TeamOffense-leaning roster
OffenseUnprovenweak point: offensive line, 91st
DefenseUnproven

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
vsUT Rio Grande Valley
97%
Sep 542-17p›
2
at#59Texas State
49%
Sep 1231-31p›
3
at#9Texas
5%
Sep 2016-38p›
4
vs#129Colorado State
92%
Sep 2638-19p›
5
at#127Rice
86%
Oct 335-21p›
6
vs#78South Florida
69%
Oct 834-27p›
7
vs#82Navy
75%
Oct 1734-25p›
8
at#88Tulane
61%
Oct 2430-26p›
10
at#108Florida Atlantic
74%
Nov 635-26p›
11
vs#80North Texas
70%
Nov 1435-28p›
12
at#121UAB
79%
Nov 2136-26p›
13
vs#110Tulsa
86%
Nov 2836-21p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#6868
Talent
#10262
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB40th
RB44th
WR40th
TE51st
OL91st
DL83rd
LB18th
DB82nd

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named9 ratedavg 53.62025 ratings
X72.9
A. Wilson
WR · SR40th
LT48.7
J. Miller
OL · SR142nd
LG32.0
L. Lapeze
OL · SR216th
C18.4
J. Garth
OL · SR274th
RG—
B. Rios
OL · SR
RT—
D. Jones
OL · SR
TE58.2
B. Young
TE · JR67th
SL53.0
T. West
WR · JR226th
Z55.5
D. Amador
WR · JR165th
QB69.1
O. McCown
QB · SR41st
RB74.5
W. Henderson
RB · SO36th

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Owen McCownSR
69.1
41st QB
RB
Will Henderson IIISO
74.5
36th RB
WR
AJ Wilson Jr.SR
72.9
40th WR
WR
David Amador IIJR
55.5
165th WR
TE
Brandon Young Jr.JR
58.2
67th TE
Defense
LB
Camron CooperJR
81.6
44th LB
LB
Elijah BaldwinSO
76.3
93rd LB
S
Joel RogersSO
76.0
139th DB
S
Marcellus WilkersonSR
66.4
325th DB
CB
Lawrence Brown Jr.JR
57.1
563rd DB

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

4%–27% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W8
at#88Tulane
6% lose20% win
±4.1
likely move
in odds
61% to win
W6
vs#78South Florida
6% lose19% win
±3.7
likely move
in odds
67% to win
W11
vs#80North Texas
5% lose19% win
±3.7
likely move
in odds
69% to win
W7
vs#82Navy
5% lose18% win
±3.4
likely move
in odds
74% to win
W10
at#108Florida Atlantic
6% lose18% win
±2.9
likely move
in odds
73% to win
W12
at#121UAB
6% lose17% win
±2.4
likely move
in odds
77% to win
W13
vs#110Tulsa
4% lose17% win
±2.0
likely move
in odds
84% to win
W5
at#127Rice
5% lose16% win
±2.0
likely move
in odds
83% to win