AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 3:30 PM
Away
UT Rio Grande Valley
—
17p
#62Home
UTSA
0-0 · AVR 50.5
42p
RGV 4%96% UTSA
Spread
UTSA -25.4
Total
60
Moneyline
RGV+2226UTSA-2226
Against the market
RGV +3.1line UTSA -28.5

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
UTSA
LBCamron Cooper
81.644/878
LBElijah Baldwin
76.393/878
SJoel Rogers
76.0139/1427
RBWill Henderson III
74.536/514
WRAJ Wilson Jr.
72.940/777
QBOwen McCown
69.141/308

Projected margin

80% between 7 and 44
-14-7+7+14PKUTSA +25.4MKT95% interval: -3 to 5380% interval: 7 to 44+7+44RGV wins 4%UTSA wins 96%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ UTSA 46–18 RGVUTSA 42–42 RGV neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUTSA 46–39 RGV neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUTSA 49–35 RGV neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUTSA 53–32 RGV neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUTSA 56–28 RGV neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUTSA 60–25 RGV neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUTSA 63–21 RGV neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUTSA 67–18 RGV neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUTSA 70–14 RGV neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesUTSA 39–39 RGV neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUTSA 42–35 RGV neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUTSA 46–32 RGV neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUTSA 49–28 RGV neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUTSA 53–25 RGV neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUTSA 56–21 RGV neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUTSA 60–18 RGV neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUTSA 63–14 RGV neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUTSA 67–11 RGV neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesUTSA 35–35 RGV neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUTSA 39–32 RGV neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUTSA 42–28 RGV neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUTSA 46–25 RGV neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesUTSA 49–21 RGV neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesUTSA 53–18 RGV neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUTSA 56–14 RGV neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUTSA 60–11 RGV neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUTSA 63–7 RGV neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUTSA 32–32 RGV neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUTSA 35–28 RGV neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUTSA 39–25 RGV neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUTSA 42–21 RGV neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesUTSA 46–18 RGV neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesUTSA 49–14 RGV neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUTSA 53–11 RGV neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUTSA 56–7 RGV neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUTSA 60–4 RGV neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUTSA 28–28 RGV neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUTSA 32–25 RGV neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUTSA 35–21 RGV neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUTSA 39–18 RGV neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesUTSA 42–14 RGV neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesUTSA 46–11 RGV neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUTSA 49–7 RGV neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUTSA 53–4 RGV neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUTSA 56–0 RGV neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUTSA 25–25 RGV neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUTSA 28–21 RGV neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUTSA 32–18 RGV neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUTSA 35–14 RGV neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesUTSA 39–11 RGV neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesUTSA 42–7 RGV neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUTSA 46–4 RGV neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUTSA 49–0 RGV neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)UTSA 21–21 RGV neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUTSA 25–18 RGV neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUTSA 28–14 RGV neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUTSA 32–11 RGV neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUTSA 35–7 RGV neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUTSA 39–4 RGV neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUTSA 42–0 RGV neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)84777063564942totalPKUTSA +14UTSA +28UTSA +42UTSA +56margin →