AVRCFB Model
All rankings
SEC

Texas

Longhorns0-03rd in SEC
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium · Austin, TX · 100,119
Rank —
9
Rating
76.2
TeamBlue-chip roster
OffenseQuarterback-driven, loaded at the skill spotsweak point: offensive line, 84th
DefenseStrong front seven

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
vs#59Texas State
99%
Sep 547-14p›
2
vs#1Ohio State
29%
Sep 1221-28p›
3
vs#62UTSA
95%
Sep 2038-16p›
4
at#17Tennessee
55%
Sep 2629-28p›
6
vs#11OklahomaNGolden Hat
60%
Oct 1025-22p›
7
vs#25Florida
80%
Oct 1730-19p›
8
vs#14Ole Miss
67%
Oct 2429-24p›
9
vs#45Mississippi State
92%
Oct 3135-16p›
10
at#24Missouri
67%
Nov 729-23p›
11
at#20LSU
66%
Nov 1427-21p›
12
vs#40Arkansas
91%
Nov 2137-19p›
13
at#8Texas A&MLone Star Showdown (all-sports trophy; no traditional football traveling trophy)
40%
Nov 2825-28p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#3773
Talent
#1977
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB8th
RB3rd
WR11th
TE64th
OL84th
DL15th
LB11th
DB48th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named10 ratedavg 57.92 top-252025 ratings
X76.6
E. Mosley
WR · JR30th
LT79.9
L. Seymore
OL · SR40th
LG27.2
C. Robertson
OL · SR240th
C18.2
R. Sweeney
OL · SR275th
RG18.2
J. Chatman
OL · JR276th
RT—
B. Baker
OL · JR
TE53.9
E. Winston
TE · SO100th
SL64.6
R. Wingo
WR · JR87th
Z71.0
C. Coleman
WR · JR49th
QB86.3
A. Manning
QB · JR8th
RB82.9
H. Smothers
RB · JR14th

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Arch ManningJR
86.3
8th QB
RB
Hollywood SmothersJR
82.9
14th RB
WR
Emmett Mosley VJR
76.6
30th WR
WR
Cam ColemanJR
71.0
49th WR
TE
Emaree WinstonSO
53.9
100th TE
Defense
LB
Rasheem BilesSR
93.7
2nd LB
LB
Justin CryerSR
77.5
85th LB
DB
Jelani McDonaldSR
81.4
75th DB
DB
Kade PhillipsSO
76.2
137th DB
DB
Graceson LittletonSO
72.0
191st DB

Injury report

9 out · 3 starters
out
Lake Travis player
08-10
out
Arch ManningQBstarter
08-18
out
LTLT
08-18
out
all-sec starting left tackleOL
08-18
out
North Texas player
08-19
out
care
08-20
out
Ty'Anthony SmithLB
08-22
out
After Missing
08-28
out
TexasOL
08-28
questionable
D. McCutcheonWR
08-15
questionable
T. GoosbyOG
08-19
probable
Jonah WilliamsOL
08-16
probable
unknownOL
08-18
probable
BellRB
08-21
probable
CryerRB
08-21
probable
PhillipsTE
08-21
probable
Laurence SeymoreOL
08-22
probable
Cam ColemanWRstarter
08-25
probable
Justin CryerLBstarter
08-26
probable
Mike ElkoRB
08-28

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

23%–70% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W13
at#8Texas A&M
43% lose70% win
±5.5
likely move
in odds
40% to win
W4
at#17Tennessee
40% lose66% win
±5.5
likely move
in odds
54% to win
W6
at#11Oklahoma
39% lose65% win
±5.2
likely move
in odds
59% to win
W8
vs#14Ole Miss
36% lose64% win
±5.1
likely move
in odds
66% to win
W11
at#20LSU
38% lose63% win
±4.4
likely move
in odds
65% to win
W10
at#24Missouri
37% lose63% win
±4.3
likely move
in odds
66% to win
W2
vs#1Ohio State
48% lose70% win
±3.2
likely move
in odds
31% to win
W7
vs#25Florida
35% lose60% win
±3.1
likely move
in odds
78% to win