Passing
TENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX offense
- #60
- TENN defense
- #3
EPA comparison
0.26
#60
-0.13
#3
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
TEX 77.5%22.5% TENN
- Projected margin
- TEX by 10.6
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- TEX 28 to TENN 7
- Win probability
- TEX 77.5%
FinalTEX 20 · TENN 17model had -10.6, off by 7.6
Current team profiles
TexasTennesseeWhen Texas has the ball
Rushing
TENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX offense
- #93
- TENN defense
- #73
EPA comparison
0.04
#93
0.05
#73
Rush EPA
Drive success
TENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX offense
- #69
- TENN defense
- #46
Success rates
44%
#69
38%
#46
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#96
-0.08
#12
EPA / play
1.18
#97
1.06
#11
Explosiveness
17%
#110
22%
#6
Havoc
When Tennessee has the ball
Passing
TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX defense
- #20
- TENN offense
- #98
EPA comparison
0.00
#20
0.12
#98
Pass EPA
Rushing
TENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX defense
- #22
- TENN offense
- #6
EPA comparison
-0.09
#22
0.29
#6
Rush EPA
Drive success
TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
- TEX defense
- #25
- TENN offense
- #50
Success rates
35%
#25
45%
#50
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#23
0.20
#50
EPA / play
1.04
#7
1.21
#87
Explosiveness
21%
#10
16%
#98
Havoc
Current key players
TexasQBArch Manning
865 yds · 7 TD · 3 INT
74.8113/729
WRSterling Berkhalter
3 rec · 34 yds · 0 TD
83.729/2069
DBJelani McDonald
26 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.2
- Coverage
- 73.5
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 56
- Passer rating allowed
- 118.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.3149/2969
RBHollywood Smothers
198 yds · 2 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.1147/1044
DBGraceson Littleton
14 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 75.0
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.0161/2969
WRCam Coleman
11 rec · 194 yds · 4 TD
70.5246/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Trevor Goosby · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
Goosby is dealing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Zion Williams · DLQues. · 2026-10-11
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Kaliq Lockett · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Lockett is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Daylan McCutcheon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
McCutcheon is ailing from an illness, and it is unclear if he will play against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
TennesseeQBGeorge MacIntyre
148 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
79.673/729
RBDeSean Bishop
540 yds · 7 TD · 6.1 YPC
82.751/1044
DBDejuan Lane
17 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 64.0
- Coverage
- 85.8
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 81
- Passer rating allowed
- 67.2
- Missed tackles
- 5
80.457/2969
LBJeremiah Telander
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.8
- Coverage
- 86.1
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 59
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.9121/1796
DBTy Redmond
18 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.7
- Coverage
- 78.9
- Targets allowed
- 21
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 105
- Passer rating allowed
- 66.6
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.8132/2969
LBAmare Campbell
31 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.2
- Coverage
- 70.0
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 12
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.9259/1796
Availability reports · 4
- Wendell Moe Jr. · OGout · 2026-09-30
Moe Jr has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.
- Jaedon Harmon · LBout · 2026-09-07
Harmon has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to ACL tear.
- Javin Gordon · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Gordon is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October 17th.
- Bennett Brady · LSQues. · 2026-10-11
Brady is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up against Crimson Tide on Saturday, October
Position units
Position-unit comparison
TEXTexas
TENNTennessee
vs
Offense
74.8
#83 of 138
QB
Quarterback
79.6
#57 of 138
74.0
#82 of 138
RB
Running backs
82.0
#23 of 138
74.5
#37 of 138
WR
Receivers
69.8
#81 of 138
63.2
#103 of 138
TE
Tight ends
70.8
#60 of 138
76.6
#10 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.9
#36 of 138
Defense
77.9
#24 of 138
DL
Defensive line
81.6
#10 of 138
66.3
#127 of 138
LB
Linebackers
74.0
#70 of 138
70.6
#89 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.5
#50 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Texas
opponent
Tennessee
Hhome+22.3
ARKArkansas#71+7.0Aaway
Aaway+0.4
LSULSU#11+4.1Hhome
Aaway+0.4
TA&MTexas A&M#28-1.2Aaway